moonslav59

Until you guys stop adding injury prone players, every season will be a roll of the dice.

Sox OPS Leaders (60+ PAs) .883 Yoshida .872 Duran .853 Devers .843 Duvall .831 Turner .798 Verdugo .774 Casas .743 Refsnyder .709 Wong .702 Reyes .701 Tapia (Gone) .684 EValdez .665 McGuire .659 Arroyo .596 Kike .545 Chang

The Sox OPS Against leaders for the season have some surprising names, certainly from the perspective of the view before opening day: 60+ PAs .534 Martin .577 Bernardino .584 Murphy .633 Paxton .671 Jansen .679 Schreiber .689 Crawford .690 Bello .695 Houck .699 Pivetta .739 Sale (2.87 ERA last 8 games) .748 Wink .765 Walter .785 Brasier (Gone) .841 Whitlock .841 Bleier .844 Garza .904 Ort .969 Kluber

How about a shout out to Pivetta, Bernardino and Murphy? Who would have thought they'd be big keys to the Sox resurgence? OPS Against last 14 days: (PAs) .000 Joely (9) .143 Jansen (7) .391 Pivetta (40) .410 Berndarino (18) .504 Murphy (32) .517 Martin (14) .665 Crawford (41) .686 Winckowski (21) Look back even farther... Last 28 days: .422 Pivetta (70) .449 Berndarino (37) .532 Martin .619 Paxton .670 Murphy .670 Bello .729 Crawford .765 Walter .766 Jansen

Another 5 minute block? I'm terrified!

I think a guy like Castillo would have gotten more, several years ago, but yes. It still costs a lot for a rental ace. Note: Castillo had one more arb year left, so he was not a "rental."

We had 5 first rounders? Another perfect post.

We are less than 2 weeks away from the trade deadline and will be seeing players coming off the IL and rehab stints, shortly. We have several players with options, but there still might be some tough choices to make. As we head towards the part of the season where winning becomes more important than keeping roster options numbers up, we may end up needing to trade someone or DFA a helpful player to make room for everybody. Chances are "everybody" won't be healthy all at the same time, but here is how I see it. This is what I consider our best 26 and 40. Red= lock for 26 man Black= on 40 but in the minors (have options remaining) Blue= trade or DFA Underlined= bubble or near bubble players with no options remaining Paxton, Bello, Sale, Whitlock, Houck, Kluber Crawford, Pivetta, Winckowski, Walter, Murphy, Mata (to 60 IL?) Jansen, Martin, Schreiber, Bernardino, Joely, Bleier, Ort, Mills & Kelly (60 Day), Scott, Faria, Garza Wong, McGuire, Alfaro Casas, Turner, Dalbec Arroyo, Kike or Reyes, EValdez Story, Chang, Mondesi (60 IL), Hamilton Devers Yoshida, Refsnyder Duran, Duvall (trade?), Rafaela Verdugo, Abreu 25 in red plus 1 from Kike, Reyes (Duvall?)

True, but there is plenty of time and enough head to head match-ups to put making the POs in our own hands.

It may be worth it to get 2-3 starts out of one of these two. Their time might be short, as they could be DFA'd once pitchers start returning from the IL.

Fangraphs says the Braves have a 100% chance to make the playoffs. That's good enough for me. Other NL Teams: % 95 LAD 78 SFG 71 MIL & PHI 57 AZ 51 MIA 6 teams make the playoffs, and 7 have better than a 50% chance at making them. They give the Braves a 25% chance at winning the WS. The Dodgers and Rays are at 12%. In the AL, there are no locks, but the Rays come close: 97 TBR 84 TEX 79 BAL (one more loss than TBR) 77 TOR 69 MIN (2 more losses than BOS) 65 HOU (many injuries) Only 6 teams have a 50%+ chance at the playoffs. 36 NYY 33 BOS 30 CLE 15 SEA

The "playoff value" should be more for teams with better chances of making them. The seasonal value means more to teams like the Sox. BTW, the Braves are a lock. Book it.

I doubt they add value for the playoffs. You’d think the value would then be greater for the Braves than the Sox, since the Braves are a lock to make the playoffs.

Looks that way.

With the inflation rate as it is, deferred money loses more value than upfront or non deferred money. We offered a fair contract that was about the market rate. I wised we had countered with more, but I don’t think the Betts case is in the same category as Lester or Bogey.

Sure there is. Why get nothing for a departing player? It’s better to get less than you hoped for than nothing. Comp pick cases are different, but in those instances, all you need in return is a value greater than the comp pick to make the deal worthy.

Your first sentence needs editing.

Golden opportunity to gain on everyone slips away. Our pen has been great and even miraculous in its depth.

This is his first MLB season. In his first 10 games, he had 2 bad ones, before tonight. He had one kinda bad game with 2 unearned runs. He may turn out to be a stinker, but 3 bad games in 11 is not a horrific start to a career.

SDP 9-1 TOR FINAL LAD 10-3 BAL in 8th TEX 2-1 TBR in 7th LAA 2-0 NYY in 2nd COL 4-3 HOU in 6th

They did offer him just about the same as he took from LAD, so I'm not sure the thing about him "not being the kind of player they'd pay..." is a bit harsh. I do wish we'd have signed him.

Ref has been a top 10 batter v LHPs from 2022 to 2023. It's no slight on Duvall, but your point is still valid. We aren't sitting Duran, despite his issues v LHPs. Same with Dugo. Yoshida can DH, but we ain't sittin' Turner or Casas to make that happen. I've been saying for weeks, I think we trade Duvall... maybe a three way deal with others added that gets us a good starting pitcher.

Agreed, especially since we already passed the Yanks. We need to pass one more. I put them in this order: 1. TOR (one more sweep and we've caught them) 2. TEX (I think they will have some issues, soon.) 3. HOU (Many injuries give us hope, here.) 4. TBR/BAL tied (I'm not convinced they have clinched.)

Yes, and the salary is pro-rated as part of the value. They just updated their values as you can see with Duran's big boost. BTV is not perfect, but their values have been proven to be pretty accurate.

Abreu and Rafaela homered in Woo's loss. POR is losing in the 9th. Rehabbing Reyes is at 2-4 w a 2B (1.044 in AAA) Meidroth 2-4 Sikes 2-3 w HR & BB Mayer 2-5 GRE losing in 9th 2-5 Anthony (1.270) 2-5 Castro w 2B 3-5 B Gonz w 2B 1-3 Paulino w 2 BB SAL lost with nothing to report.