I agree.
In terms of counting on returning players, I see it tis way:
I'm counting on Schreiber and Reyes, because both are looking good in rehab. I'm not sure how we squeeze Reyes into the 26 with Chang, Kike and Arroyo already in the MI mix and maybe Story coming back in mid August.
Maybe I'm overly optimistic on a Story return and positive contribution. Maybe by Sept 1st?
I'm not counting on anything from Sale. Been there- done that, too many times. I will only add that before my hopes were two-fold with him:
1) He can come back and pitch for a longer stretch.
2) He can regain most of his previous form.
I do think part 2 was answered in May.
Out of Houck and Whitlock, I'm counting on one to come back and do well. I'd love to see both come back to the pen, but we'd need to add a couple starters. (I do worry that they might come back and linger around 4.50-5.50 or worse.)
I'm okay with Alfaro, so the McGuire return is not essential.
If we feel like we should be buyers, and right now, I think we should be , but without trading top prospects. Acquire 2 decent SP'ers with hopes the pen gets a big boost from returning pitchers.
It is hard to imagine a pen "boost," right now, because our pen has been near perfect, of late.
I could see us dumping Kike or trading Duvall. Maybe a three way trade with Duvall, where we add a prospect (Walter?), the third team adds a prospect and the other team sends us a decent and reliable SP'er. We may have to trade Paulino and Mata for another decent SP, but more like a 5th starter type.