moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I'm not sure we ever take the big plunge on a trade for an ace, again. Bloom might have to be handcuffed. I have mixed feelings about making a big trade. We've been pretty lucky with our returns, but any trade is a gamble. We just seem to do better with trades than FAs.
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Diaz had a 1.933 OPS! (Okay- just 3 ABs)
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Hard to identify it as being a lack of instincts or skills. It seemed to me, and maybe others, that Duran lacked instincts and could not "be fixed" on D, since "you can't teach/learn instincts." Ellsbury was abe to turn it around, but not overnight- like Duran seemingly just did.
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Trying to come up with a package that does not include Mayer, Bleis or Drohan is just about impossible. I doubt larger packages that would have to include some combination of these gets it done.... Rafaela Yorke Romero Anthony E R-C Walter Mata
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The Brewers will not extend all their SP'ers, so even as a contender, they may move to move Burnes or Woodruff. The Guardians don't seem to want to spend big, and they may fall out of contention by the end of July. Hard to know what the Twins ever think.
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The Bleier DFA just may never happen.
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It might take a while to find his stride, and of course, we can't expect what he gave us those first 2 weeks.
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It's hard to know who might be available and most would take an extension, at a reasonable cost, to be worth trading several top prospects to get. 3.5 B Singer 2.5 yrs Gallen Cease Keller 1.5 yrs Bieber Burnes Woodruff (Alex Cobb) 0.5 Giolito S Gray Montgomery Snell
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Kinda what I'm getting at. It's hard to know.
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The Red Sox starting rotation -- long term
moonslav59 replied to Fan_since_Boggs's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Is this really a better homegrown/acquired before MLB experience pitching system than recent years? 2023 Bello Whitlock (Rule 5) Houck Crawford Winckowski (Trade) Perales E R-C Mata Walter Wikelman Murphy Guerrero Fernandez Ort (MiLB Rule 5) Kelly (MiLB FA) 2018 ERod (Trade) Beeks Houck Barnes Workman Walden H Velazquez B Johnson Poyner Groome Mata DHern Cuevas Lakins Shawaryn Feltman Scherff 2013 Lester Buchholz D Bard Alex Wilson Workman Webster and de la Rosa (Trade) Owens Ranaudo 2007 Lester Papelbon Buchholz Dice-K (IFA) Masterson Bard Okajima (IFA) Delcarmen Gabbard Hagadone 2004 Lowe Lester Papelbon DiNardo A Alvarez -
.413 OPS Against in 34 starts is off-the-charts. His 36:9 K:BB is pretty impressive, too.
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Great news! Despite Wikelman's unremarkable start to 2023, could he be boosted to AA?
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In system: Bello Houck Crawford (Mata, Walter, Murphy) All DD pitchers. Wink came in the Beni trade.
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How do you personally spot "instinct?" What does it look like?
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3 to PIT, too. It seems we played them at the wrong time of their season.
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I think our best chance at passing someone ahead of us is BAL. TOR might be second. Maybe TEX imploses, despite all the top talent they added, recently. NYY has a putrid offense and is almost always injury prone. HOU is too good to realistically hope we can pass. The Rays are in a class by themselves. For those who call us TB North, I wish!
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Perhaps what I, and perhaps others, have always thought of as "instincts" was not really so.
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It's hard to think out rotation can't or won't improve over the first quarter's results. Possible? Yes. Probably? No. In a way, that is not optimism but something that should be expected. How much it improves will be the key. The offense should be strong. If some surprise players fall off, others that are underperforming (Casas, Kike, Arroyo & Devers) and returning players (Story & Duvall) should take up the slack or even improve the offense. Pens are always tough to project. We improved it, on paper, and that is really all a GM can do. Now, we have to just hope the expectations are met.
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Just don't call it "realism."
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Too bad there aren't 4 WC teams, because whoever finishes last in the vaunted ALE will miss out, no matter how much better they might be over another division winner or two. In this sense, all ALE teams were helped, equally by the changes made, but it will help us beat out any non ALE team threatening to squeeze out an ALE team for a WC slot. Right now, TEX and HOU are looking pretty good and should win a WC slot, so the ALE 4th and 5th place teams may miss out.
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When 12 of the top 13 seasons from our pitchers since 1999, which is almost a quarter of a century, are from pitchers we traded for, it is pretty shocking. There seems to be two obvious solutions that are not mutually excluding of each other: 1. Create a better system at identifying and developing young pitchers via the draft and IFA signings. (The ERod trade was great, too, as was the Whitlock Rule 5 addition, but we need to up the traditional way.) 2. Keep trading for aces from a farm system we seem to do very well loading up with quality everyday players.
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I'm saying the improvement seems like it is not just related to tracking better. It seems like his instincts have improved. Anticipation, quickness of first step and the direction of that first step.
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It's only mid May, but it is interesting to note we are just... 4.5 GB the second best record in MLB (BAL) 4.0 behind the 3rd (LAD) 3.5 the 4th (ATL) 2.5 the 5th (TEX) 1.5 the 6th (TOR) 1.0 the 7th (AZ) 0.5 the 8th (HOU, MIL, NYY) That being said, parity has also created us being only... 4.5 GA of 23rd (CHC) 4.0 ahead of 22nd (CLE & SDP) 3.5 ahead of 18-20th (DET, SFG & PHI) 3.0 of 17th (NYM) 2.5 of 16th (SEA) 2.0 of 15th (LAA) 1.5 of 14th (MIA) 0.5 of 13th (PIT) 0.0 of 12th (MIN)
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A look at our top OPS+ leaders is an eye-opener. I included those with small sample sizes by noting their PA totals. All others are over 90 PAs: 303 Duvall 37 176 Reyes 20 168 Duran 136 Yoshida 135 Verdugo 118 Devers 115 Turner 110 Valdez 59 104 Refsnyder 78 90 Casas 86 Wong 81 McGuire 74 81 Tapia 64 77 Arroyo 79 74 Kike 38 Dalbec 13 35 Chang 47 OPS+ Against (PAs Against if under 45) -100 Garza 6 48 Sheriff 8 66 Martin 66 Wink 68 Paxton 20 70 Craford 88 Schreiber 92 Houck 105 Sale 110 Jansen 112 Bernardino 117 Brasier (DFA'd) 117 Joely 6 125 Bleier 127 Littell (Gone) 129 Bello 130 Kelly 34 (may be lost for the season w injury) 137 Kluber 141 Pivetta 155 Whitlock 161 Ort 176 Reyes 7
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The dreaded west coast road trip is upon us, one of three this year, but is is not our typical left coast trip. The AL teams are split up into three trips: This one: 3 SDP, 3 LAA, off day 3 AZ Mid July (a short one): 3 CWS & 3 OAK End July: 3 SFG & 3 SEA (at the trade deadline)
