moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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It's hard to grade the last 4 years of farm building, because Bloom took mostly HS players earlier in the draft. I did expect to see more changes in the areas you mentioned, especially on finding and developing pitchers.
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As the song says, "two out of three ain't bad." (We did compete in 1 of the 3 years that should count, too.)
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It just goes to show how complex fixing a baseball team can be. It looks like we "fixed" the black hole problem, but got worse.
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So, he's saying at 2B: Arroyo> KIke
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I hardly ever agree with Tomase. I'm not sure what to make of this.
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The guy who went to HOU did okay, too, and he is available, now.
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Just put the house on stilts.
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The Red Sox starting rotation -- long term
moonslav59 replied to Fan_since_Boggs's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Bello could be a solid #2, but I'd prefer counting on him as our #3, next year. I'd prefer the rest anchor a great pen: Whitlock, Houck, Wink, Craw, Schreiber, Martin & Jansen. That means we need a 1, 2, 4, & 5, but my guess is at least 1-2 of those first 4 will be starters. JH will pray Sale is back as the #1 or #2. How many teams add 3 SP'ers in an off season and go on to a ring? -
This is looking so much like 2022.
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Oh, well...
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Not counting just the errors, but how many 4 out innings do our pitchers need to get through?
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Going out on a limb with a gut feeling. Turner hits a walk off HR. Bam!
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POR won 9-1. Some nice box score lines: 3-4 Hickey w 5th HR 1-3 Kavadas w 10th HR and BB 1-4 Meidroth w 4th HR 1-4 Rafaela 2 2B & BB 1-4 Mayer (.550 OPS in short time in AA) Sharp 6 IP, 6H, 1 ER, 2BB, 6K Woo lost 3-0 Not much to report. GRE lost bigly. Encarnacion did well: 5 IP, 3H, 0 ER, 3BB, 5K 3-3 Jordan w 2B & BB 1-4 Anthony w 2B SAL lost bigly as Dean got rocked DSL 5-6 Cespedes 3-4 Paniagua w 2BB 3-5 Nunez 2-4 Semerite w BB 2-4 Prado w BB 2-4 Linarez 2-5 F Jimenez 2-6 Y Ruiz FCL 2-2 Jones w 2BB 2-3 Salazar w 2B 2-4 Yuten w 2B & BB 2-4 Pierre
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Let's hope he passes this test.
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They know they can trade prospects for the here and now, but I think that is not part of "the plan," either. I'm not so sure Bloom is hoarding prospects on his own. It's an organizational choice, IMO. No prospects were traded before or during 2019, either. 4.5 years highest prospects trade? Aldo Ramirez (9th on SPs) for Schwarber Jason Groome (NR when traded/6th in Spring '21) for Ferguson, Rosier and Hosmer Michael Chavis (NR when traded) for Austin Davis Other prospects were traded for prospects: 22 Seabold for PTBNL 25 German for Denlinger (I'm probably missing some other minor ones.) Proof this plan is not about the here and now.
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21 GAMES at 3.4 R/G.
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Remember the "Black Holes in the Line Up" criticism? Here are some interesting numbers: All slots at .725 or lower are listed. 2018: Best Sox team ever! .607 8th slot .667 7th slot .684 6th slot .704 9th slot 2019: .616 9th .723 7th .725 8th 2020: Maybe the worst Sox team I have seen live. .638 8th .678 9th .711 7th 2021 .671 9th .674 7th 2022: .570 8th YUK! .642 9th .665 1st WOW! .724 6th 2023: .659 9th .684 7th .723 3rd WOW! 2021 and 2023 are the only 2 years with 2 slots below .723! Not 2018 or 2019.
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The worst 10 game scoring stretch I could find in April was 41 runs (4.1 per game) That worst stretch was better than all of June and our most recent 21 game stretch: 4.7 R/Gm May (122 runs/26 games) 3.4 R/Gm June (41 runs/12 games) 3.4 R.Gm since May 20th (71 runs/21 games) It's 4.3 since May 1st.
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DRS 2018 vs Pro-Rated 2023 1B + 5 Moreland -15 Casas 2B -12 Nunez -8 Valdez, -2 Arroyo 3B -11 Devers 2018 -5 Devers 2023 SS -8 Bogey -10 Kike, -2 Arroyo
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I think it has been worse than we say it is, but we’ve lucked out on not losing more games from poor D. If you count the games we lost from great D by our oops plus the ones we lost from bad D, it’s enough to maybe tie us for the last WC slot. You are looking at dWAR from B-R, which is fine, but I trust fangraphs DRS and UZR/150 more, and they say 2018 was a plus on both counts.
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Team DRS since 2004 79 '17 69 '16 64 '12 51 '14 22 '13 18 '11 17 '08 10 '18 5 '19 4 '21 2 '07 1 '20 (short season pro-rates to about 2.5) 0 '10 -2 '15 -4 '22 -26 '04 -35 '05 -15 '23 (prorated to about -37) -56 '09 -57 '06 UZR/150 7.2 '14 7.2 '08 6.7 '18 5.3 '11 5.2 '16 3.7 '23 (I don't know how.) 3.6 '12 0.6 to 3.3: '19, '17, '13, '07, '21, '20 -1.3 to -2.5: '05, '15, '06, '22, '10 Worst: -8.8 2004 Only 2004 was a minus D winning team.
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Great SS defense is one of my favorite things to watch. Too bad, it has often been our opponent's SS doing the spectacular. The difference about this year, is that the surrounding cast sucks, too.
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Fangraphs has these team farm rankings: Red= Playoff Bound 1. BAL 2. CIN 3. LAD 4. BOS 5. NYM 6. TBR 7. PIT 8. AZ 9. CLE 10. MN (These teams had good farms a few years ago, but many prospects graduated and are leading their team to wins, now: 13. NYY, 17. HOU, 21. TOR, 28. ATL) It is very hard to win and maintain a top 10 farm, every season. ATL, HOU, TBR and LAD have probably come the closest. I'm sure someone can add other teams or show I am wrong about one of those 4, I listed. 2021 top farms 1. BAL 3. TBR 8. NYY 9. BOS 13. LAD 22. ATL 25. HOU 2019: 1. TBR 3. LAD 6. ATL 10. BAL 24. HOU 30. BOS
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It doesn't really bother me. It's more fun watching playoff games than regular season games, and it makes a ton of money, which helps pay for the drop in MLB attendance over the years.
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SIX, which is more than double the amount a crapshoot would predict. Lost WS in 2003 (NYY) Lost WS 2004 (STL) 3rd best team (BOS) won Lost NLCS 2005 (STL) 2nd best team (CWS) won Lost in NLDS (NYM tied w NYY) and ALDS (NYY) 2006 Won WS (BOS tied w CLE for best record) 2007 Lost in ALDS (LAA) 2nd best lost in WS (TBR) 2008 Won WS (NYY) 2009 Lost in NLCS (PHI) 2010 Lost in NLDS (PHI) 2011 Lost in NLDS (WSH) 2012 Won WS (BOS) 2013 (STL tied & lost WS) Lost ALDS (LAA) 2014 Lost NLDS (STL) 2015 Won WS (CHC) 2016 Lost WS (LAD) 2017 to 3rd best team (HOU 101 wins) Won WS (BOS) 2018 Lost WS (HOU) 2019 Won WS (LAD) vs 2nd bestam (TBR) short season 2020 Lost NLCS (LAD) 2021 Lost NLDS (LAD) 2nd best team (HOU) won 2022 For a 5 year stretch the best team won 3 times and lost in the WS the 2 other times. That blows away any idea that the playoffs are random (or a true crapshoot.) To me, it's farther away from being a crapshoot than it is being one. Just my opinion.
