moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Agreed. I really don't think we are that many players away from strong contention. The 2 SP'er slots are major, but it's only 2 slots and we have over $50M, minimum, unless JH goes cheaper than the tax line. I think Bloom left a decent foundation for the next GM to finish filling out those 2-4 slots. Can we finally go with quality over quantity?
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Here are the worst LF'ers in 2023, according to OAA: -19 Schwarber -12 Profar -11 Beni -9 Yoshi -9 Soto -8 de la Cruz It shows Yoshida at 0 on balls hit "in" and -2 going "back," so that jives with the short wall preventing missed plays in those directions. He's -4 to the left and -4 to the right. My guess is, if he played in Yankee Stadium, he might be -6 back, -4 in, -4 to his right and -6 to his left.
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I'm not so sure we'd have gone over, this year had we stayed under, last year. We didn't even edge up to the line, as it was. The improved draft picks and bonus money did not hurt in 2023. In theory, had he traded JD or had a fire sale, in 2022, maybe some of the returns would have been helping us in 2023, but the vast majority of trades "missed out on" due to indecisiveness seemed like "for the future" trades, and the criticism seems to be mostly, in an overall sense, that he valued the future too much and the now, too little. I'm with you on the indecisiveness being hurtful, but I was not all about the here and now, all along.
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Those SSs seem from so long ago! (Gonzo, reese and Cora, too.)
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Devers signs 11 year $331 million extension
moonslav59 replied to Jasonbay44's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Indeed. I do see my eye test matching up with my views on Sox defenders, this year, though. -
I'm not so sure Mayer is untouchable. We have several other Sss in the system, and Story for 4 more years. We aren't trading Bello, Anthony or Teel. I doubt we'd trade Casas over Mayer. If we can't part with #5 on this list, then not much will have changed.
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I agree. They will be looking to trade one from Burnes or Woodruff, and then maybe extend the other. They are still in a winning window and are not a super low-spending team. Other teams are more likely partners. KCR: Singer PIT: M Keller MIA: Luzardo or Garrett Maybe AZ: Gallen CWS: Cease CLE: Bieber
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Okay. Got it. I already recognized my mistake.
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A long standing Sox tradition seems to have been that we can lean into having a big bat but poor defensive LF'er, because the short LF allows for limited range to be less important, and the wall can stop the b all from rolling forever away from the bozo defender we put out there. I'm not sure it always worked. Conversely, we have often had plus defenders in RF. I'm not sure why SS defense has rarely seemed to b e a high priority,
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Devers signs 11 year $331 million extension
moonslav59 replied to Jasonbay44's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
My eye test matches up better with OAA than DRS and UZR/150. LOL! -
I get that, and I agree. His indecisiveness crippled the team. My point was about the leaked stories of missed trades seem to mostly be about trading vets for prospects, while saying out of the other side of their moth, that Bloom neglected the here and now.
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Those two might put us over the first line, by themselves, unless we shed salary, somehow (trade Yoshi, Dugo or Sale?) If the priority is to stay below the second line, we should have enough to sign Gray, Montgomery, Duvall and a very good LH'd RP'er. We can also pay Dugo & Pivetta's arb raises or even extend Dugo. SP: Gray, Montgomery, Bello, Crawford, 1 from Pivetta/Sale/Houck LR: Whitlock, 2 from Houck, Pivetta or Sale SR: Jansen, Martin, Schreiber, Winckowski, Bernardino C: Wong, McGuire 1B: Casas (Duvall/Devers) 2B: Urias, Reyes SS: Story (Reyes) 3B: Devers (Urias) LF: Duran, Refsnyder (Yoshida) CF: Rafaela, Duvall RF: Dugo (Duvall/Abreu) DH: Yoshida
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Soxprospects.com... http://news.soxprospects.com/2023/09/cup-of-coffee-drive-win-second-sal.html Player of the Day: Kristian Campbell ended his great 2023 season on a high note with three hits and a home run in Greenville's title-clincher. After eight games with the FCL Red Sox, where he posted a .391 batting average and a 1.082 OPS, Campbell was called up to Greenville. He had a nice regular season, with an .822 OPS in 14 games and had an even better postseason. It was a successful first professional season for the 21-year old shortstop.
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To me, they are being a bit hypocritical. They are saying Bloom's major defect was building for the here and now, and I don't disagree. Then, they blast him for not making (or being "indecisive") on deals that would have been trading away here and now players for prospects (and the future.) I'm not saying the criticism is unfounded or off base, but did they want him to trade JD, Sale, Nate and others, or not? They are trying to have it both ways.
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Devers signs 11 year $331 million extension
moonslav59 replied to Jasonbay44's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It seems way more accurate than UZR/150 and a little better than DRS. -
Gray & Montgomery would do it for me, if we lose out on Yamamoto.
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I'd look to give them Yorke and Abreu, but if it was him or nogo, I'd probably do it and then sign Duvall or trade Dugo & Yorke for a RH'd CF'er who can play D and hit okay
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I'm not talking Kluber at $10M/1. I'm thinking... $70M/2 Kershaw (36 y/o) $25M/1 Morton (40) $112M/4 Gray (34)
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SP: Peralta (for Mayer/Yorke/Drohan) SP: Gray SP: Bello SP: Crawford SP: Sale/Pivetta (when Sale is out due to getting struck by a meteor or from a nasty narwhal bite or whatever) CL: Jansen RP: Martin RP: Winckowski RP: Houck RP: Whitlock RP: Schreiber RP: Bernardino RP: Pivetta (FA or MiLB call up for Sale injury) C: Wong 1b: Casas 2b: Urias 3b: Devers SS: Story LF: Duran CF: Duvall/Rafaela RF: Verdugo DH: Yoshida BN: McGuire BN: Reyes BN: Refsnyder BN: OF- Abreu AAA
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I think our best chance at getting two of the top 30 or so SP'ers in MLB is to trade for one and outbid everyone else for another. I can't see us paying bigtime for 2 FA SP'ers. I suppose we might sign one top tier and one near the bottom of tier two, but even that is likely just a pipe dream. I don't like trading top prospects, but I think we have to bite the bullet and find a GM who likes some of our top prospects as much or more than we do. We need to guess right, twice: 1. Pick the right top prospect or two to trade. 2. Pick the right guy to trade for, and hopefully get him to extend. The, #3, guess right on who to sign. What's the chances we go 3 for 3? If we get one wrong, it has to be #1, not #2 or #3. It is one reason, I'd prefer we try and add 3 SP'ers, even if all are tier two. One idea would be to limit the risk by signing a mid 30's or older pitcher to a shorter term deal.
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It's not about his numbers, when he pitches. I'd put him at #3, if I knew he could give 140+ IP. The guy just cannot be relied upon to stay healthy. Planning on him to give even 26 starts is planning for failure after failure. If he gives us 26-32, great! But, that should never be what we plan on. EVER!!!!
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True, and the awful D makes the pitching look worse than it really was. Despite Story's return, our overall OAA numbers are still frightening: -50 BOS -30 CIN -26 MIA -22 CWS -17 OAK -13 ATL -13 LAA We are still worse than the 3rd and 4th worst team's combined (26+22=48) We are still barely better than the worst 3, 4 and 5 combined (22+17+13=52)
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Devers signs 11 year $331 million extension
moonslav59 replied to Jasonbay44's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It's not like Kike was winning games with his bat. We won despite Kike. -
Okay. It does look that way, but even 5 is too high.
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Travis Shaw was not really a prospect when traded, but he put up a couple season's of good numbers, and we got squat, but your point is a good one. Kopech, Margot and Moncada have been okay, when healthy, but none look to be as good as Devers, Bello and Casas. Hell, Duran and Rafaela may end up better than each of these guys. Espinal is the unsung one that got away (5.2 bWAR.) Beeks looked like he might be good, but not so much, anymore. Hell, as little as Bloom has traded away, Springs might be better than anyone DD traded.
