moonslav59

Crawford vs Montgomery It would be nice to see Crawford move closer to cementing a slot in next year's rotation. It would be nice to play spoiler. It would be nice to see a win, for once. 1. Rafaela CF 2. Devers 3B 3. Ref LF 4. Duvall RF 5. Reyes SS 6. Story DH 7. Dalbec 1B 8. Urias 2B 9. Wong C

Cots has this for 2024: AAV in $Ms 29.1 Devers 25.6 Sale 23.3 Story 18.0 Yoshida 16.0 Jansen 7.50 Martin 4.69 Whitlock 2.00 Refsnyder Team Option: 4.25 Joely ($500K buyout) Arbs Verdugo 3 of 3 (6.3M>? 10.5?) Pivetta 3 of 3 (5.35>? 7.5?) L Urias 3 of 4 (4.7>? 5.5?) McGuire 2 of 3 (1.23>? 2.0?) Schreiber 1 of 3 (750K>? 1.5?) (I think we either settle before arb or go to arb with all 5) The rest are pre-arbs and minor leaguers. $126M guaranteed ($131 w Joely) +$27M Arbs Total $153M ($158M w Joely) 12.0 Pre arb 2.0 0-3 bonus pool 2.5 minors on 40 16.5 player benefits Grand Total $183 to $188M Tax Line 1 $237M: $54M to spend Tax Line 2 $257M: $74M to spend Please let me know, if I missed someone or something.

Rafaela & Abreu, too.

Change will only be for the good, if the next guy is better and or the team philosophy on spending changes, too.

Good one!

He did play the 14th most games of anyone on the farm, but if they think he could use some more work, fine with me!

I have it closer to $70M to stay under the second line, but if we cut some salary, somewhere maybe... Even $70M is... $24M AAV SP + $22M AAV SP + 20M AAV SP + 4M RP We could trade some arb guys like Pivetta or Urias. Maybe find a taker for Yoshi plus some cash. Is Sale still wanted by that deranged GM?

I meant to add: Pivetta from May 28 to now: 26 gams and 83.1 IP 3.56 ERA and 3.61 FIP

As up and down as Pivetta has been, and there have been some pretty long ups and some very awful downs, hid final numbers haven't changed much with the Sox: 2021: 4.53 ERA (4.28 FIP) 2022: 4.56 ERA (4.42) 2023: 4.48 ERA (4.28) His WHIP improved a lot, as did his K/BB ratio: '21-'22: 1.345 WHIP and 2.54 K/BB 2023: 1.189 and 3.46 In 2021, he had a 9 start streak at 3.81 (3.13 FIP.) In 2022, he had a 20 start streak at 3.62 (3.73 FIP) In 2023, he went 2 months with a 1.51 ERA (2.42 FIP) in 15 games and 36 IP

There is still time to “develop” him into who we want him to be.

Is college rankings speculative and biased towards prestigious schools or not?

Hey, it worked! Right after he said that, Red and thousands of others ran to buy season tickets!

All that being said, I do think Ohio State is better. They have been for a long time, and the academic qualifications to get into ND and stay on the team puts them at a continuous disadvantage vs many other teams. It's been that way for so long, it's hard to imagine this year will break the mold. Even if ND wins, it doesn't mean they are better than Ohio State on any given day.

So is speculating on past prestige a better indicator of value than speculating on how good Teel is based on his past performances? I know it's not an equal comp, but don't both involve speculation and bias?

The NCAA rankings are often a joke. That's one reason they formed the BCS. They used to switch up the criteria from year to year. I remember because they used to say a head to head game broke a tie, but ND beat FSU, and they changed the formula. (ND lost to BC, but had the same record as FSU.) With so many teams having the same record, the rankings are based on whatever each voter wants to use. Many speculate on values based on what the team did the previous season and how many key players they lost. The opening day rankings set the tone for the season, and they are based n 0-0 records for all teams. So, team A beats the 0-0 number one team and whoopdie freakin doo, they jump up in the rankings. Of course the NCAA ranking are way different from minor league rankings or even MLB's "power rankings," But they all have speculative nature to them. There really is no way of knowing just how good some of these NCAA teams are, until late in the season, and even then, a key injury or a trend change can be hard to spot. I feel pretty confident in saying the final #1 team in NCAA rankings has not always been the best team, and one can argue the best teams don't always win it all, anyway, for various reasons, including bad luck.

I get the sneaky feeling Houck ends up starting in 2024. Whitlock will be in the pen. Crawford and Pivetta are unknown and may depend on how many we sign and how many are healthy.

No, I'm not. BTW, the rankings are not based on W-L records. ALA is ahead of undefeated teams. It is based on speculation by AP writers and coaches on the values and potential of players some have never seen play.

lmao! He'd be a utility guy on the '07 team.

If we get two really good SP'er, I'd be content. If we set the budget at just below the second tax line, we'd have enough for 3 via free agency, and enough left over for a LH'd RP'er and maybe Duvall. (We won't, though.) SP1 Acquisition SP2 Acquisition SP3 Bello SP4 Crawford SP5 Pivetta/Sale (Gambrell, Wikelman, Perales, Drohan, Hagenman) Closer Jansen RP2 Martin RP3 Houck RP4 Whitlock RP5 (Pivetta or Sale) RP6 Schreiber RP7 Winckowski RP8 LH RP Acquisition or Joely (Bernardino, ZKelly, Mills, Murphy, Mata, Walter, Robertson, Guerrero) C Wong, McGuire (Scott/Teel/Joh Garcia) 1B Casas (Dalbec/Jordan) 2B Urias, Reyes (Yorke, EValdez/Bonaci) SS Story (DHam, Mayer, Zanetello, Romero, Cespedes) 3B Devers (Meidroth, Lugo, Paulino, CCoffey, Anderson) LF: Duran, Refsnyder (Rosier) CF: Duvall, Rafaela (Anthony, Bleis) RF: Dugo, Abreu (Sikes, Castro) DH: Yoshida (Hickey/Kavadas)

No doubt. OSU is the fave for a reason. Home field might help set the stage for un upset, but it would be an upset, if it happens. OSU looks better, on paper. (Rankings matter in college football but not minor league baseball.)

He's just a suspect, until he delivers in the bigs... -Ole Red

BTW, using hyperbole after a great game by Dugo has nothing to do with "optimism."

You really took those off the cuff statements to heart? Wow! Like I really meant "Mookie who?" Geesh. Wow!

Since 2019 is meaningless, since the Sale trade ended after 2019. The Sale trade was for 3 years (2017-2019.) Kopech has a 4.6 career bWAR and 1.9 career fWAR with more to come. Sale gave us 14.5 bWAR and 17.4 fWAR. from 2017-2019. I doubt Kopech catches him. Maybe Kopech + Moncada and others might come closer.

Okay. I was just going by what you said about watching more baseball, again.