I think they just needed to give Story a day off, and with Reyes out, it made more sense to play Rafaela at SS and have Refsnyder play over DHam.
I'm not sure if a big prospect deal is in the works this winter (or ever again,) but I think the timing is right.
Who we choose to trade would be an issue of contention, and it might just come down to who another GM values more than Bloom & Co. do.
Some important questions from last winter got answered, although nothing is ever a sure bet in MLB, I think management feels "safe" going with...
Wong & McGuire at catcher (maybe protect Stepen Scott and knowing we have Teel in the system)
Casas at 1B, although he needs to improve his defense. (I think he will DH some, when Yoshida "rests" or plays LF.)
Story at SS is a lock. I also think we feel better about Reyes and Urais as back up than we did with Yang and DHam.
Devers at 3B is a lock, despite our talk of moving him to 1B. It ain't happening, unless we trade Casas or decide to move casas to FT DH and go with Yoshida in LF. (Nope)
The OF has question marks, but we have several good options and several more very promising choices:
LF: Duran/Refsnyder platoon with Yoshida as DH and LF back-up.
CF: Rafaela with Abreu and Duran as back-ups.
RF: Dugo with Abreu and Ref as back-ups.
DH: Yoshida with casas as back-up.
We may add OF depth- someone like the 2023 Duvall or someone who can play 3B/1B like the 2023 Turner or maybe even a middle infielder who might also be able to play CF, not like the 2023 Kike.
Our pen looks solid, as long as we don't have to overuse it, and if we can add enough SP'er to the mx, so we can have 2-3 of these guys as long men, it could be one of the pest pens in MLB:
Whitlock
Houck
Pivetta
Crawford
(All have shown they do better in long relief than starting. If somehow we could go with all 4 in the pen, I'd say this could be the best pen in Sox history.
Jansen, Martin, Schreiber, Winckowski, Crawford, Houck, Pivetta & Whitlock
(Depth: Bernardino, Joely, Kelly, Mills, Murphy, Walter, Mata, Gambrell...)
That leaves at least 2-3 SP slots to fill, but we all know we will put Houck and or Crawford/Pivetta in the rotation and maybe just add 1 or 2, effectively just replacing Kluber. (SAD!)
IMO, we should sign one major FA SP'er: the guy from Japan or Urias or some other SP'er on the younger side of 31 or 32. (Two would be great.) And/or trade some top talent for a solid #2 type. Since far away propsects don't carry the trade value they used to, it does not make sense, to me, to trade Anthony, Bleis or Zanetello.
I know some fans will get upset when I mention trading some top prospects, and think I am devaluing them or wanting to "dump" them, but the fact is, you have to give something to get something, and our farm and system is weak on pitching and strong on everyday players. So, who do we have that other GMs want and who are 1-2 years away from the bigs?
Here is the BTV values given to the ones I am listing here and SP's ranking and ETA to the bigs listed as well:
1. 59.3 Mayer (late '24)
4. 6.4 (wow!) Rafaela ('24) I ahave to think many GMs value him higher than 6.4.
5. N/A Teel (late '25: I doubt we deal him)
6. 19.0 Yorke (late '24)
7. 4.2 Perales (SP's says ETA is 2026)
8. 3.9 Wikelman (mid '25)
Now, we are getting away from "top prospects status, but they could be enticing pieces to a package or bundled up to take the place of one top prospect.)
10. Romero
11. Drohan
12. Bonaci
13. Walter
16. Meidroth
17. EValdez
18. Hickey
19. Jordaan
21. Mata
22. DHam
23. Abreu
Vet values that could possibly be traded:
46.6 Casas (Devers to 1B and sign a 3Bman or play Urias at 3B)
39.1 Bello (defeats the purpose of adding SP'ers)
27.1 Houck (see Bello)
25.1 Duran (see high?)
16.8 Crawford (sell high?)
13.1 Yoshida (seems overvalued at 13.1)
9.5 Dugo (one year left)
7.0 Schreiber (Has he been just smoke & mirrors?)
6.2 Wink (some numbers show him to be near or below average.)
So, to get a very good controllable pitcher, it looks like it has to be Mayer + 1-2 second tier prospects or Rafaela and Yorke plus maybe Perales or Wikelman, unless we consider Houck.
I'm not advocating trading any of these guys, but if you had to trade from one of these choices, who do you choose?
Mayer + Romero and Hickey
Casas + Hickey
Rafaela, Yorke and Hickey
Duran + Yorke and Hickey
Houck + Yorke and ____?
Dugo, Yorke and Perales + ____?