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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Crawford is never starting in AAA. I think I said Schreiber or Bernardino might have to, if everyone was healthy and Mata made the 26. Whitlock and Crawford can easily get 100-140 IP from the pen. Add that to 180 from Monty, and we are near 450 IP, total. I like that better than 180-200 from Burnes, 80-120 from Murphy and 60-70 from Kelly or Robertson. (maybe 300-350 IP)
  2. moonslav59
    All true, and if not all about 2024, then maybe. The comp looks like this to me: Burnes, Kelly & N Robertson/Murphy vs Monty, Whitlock & Crawford The last group could give is 450+ IP.
  3. moonslav59
    Burnes > Monty, Crawford and Whitlock? I'm not sure I agree, but I really like Birnes. (Not sure how you figure the pay differential, as someone would take Crawford and Whit's place on the roster.)
  4. moonslav59
    Interesting to see STL already sign 3 SP'ers: Gray, Lynn and Gibson- not that the last 2 were highly sought after.
  5. moonslav59
    The second part of that sentence is the kicker. How much better is he? Is the differential in skill worth the pay difference PLUS Crawford and Whitlock? Monty, Whitlock & Crawford > Burnes ???
  6. moonslav59
    Bieber's arm issue is scary, otherwise, he'd be a no-brainer.
  7. moonslav59
    I think MIL takes that deal. I'd prefer Yorke and one of Cutter/Whitlock.
  8. moonslav59
    I don't know much about their 3 young OF'ers, but none had very good numbers in MLB in 2023, and the chances that all 3 do well is not great. I think they'd want Rafaela or maybe Duran. I'm not sure about Yorke. It's hard to know how much GMs value Wikelman, Perales, Drohan or Mata.
  9. moonslav59
    If we could get Burnes at a discount rate, then it's worth it. Burnes may be better than Snell and Monty, but not by enough to give up top prospects for s light upgrade and a bigger budget hit.
  10. moonslav59
    Yorke and EValdez play 2B not SS. They may be looking to trade Yelich, next, so maybe they want Duran or Rafaela.
  11. moonslav59
    Correction: Burnes has a BTV of 32.0 not 38.4.
  12. moonslav59
    Bleis is probably too far away to be a major Brewer target, so maybe Duran plus another significant player. BTV values: 60 Mayer 42 Anthony (I'd rather trade Mayer than Anthony or Teel.) 38 Casas 34 Bello 30 Duran 29 Bleis 27 Crawford 20 Houck 18 Teel 17 Yorke 17 Rafaela 14 Schreiber 12 Whitlock 11 Wink BTV has Burnes at 38.4, so a trade of Duran + Wink fits, or .... Rafaela + Yorke (maybe the best offer) Duran, EValdez + Drohan Duran, Perales + Meidroth Not sure MIL accepts any of these.
  13. moonslav59
    But then why not sign a pitcher and save the prospects?
  14. moonslav59
    I'd lean towards A, too, but it's close. I'd prefer Monty and Burnes. I seem to be the board's pessimist, this winter. My guess is, we get E Cabrera via trade and sign Seth Lugo.
  15. moonslav59
    I really like Burnes, too. Trading for one year guys scares the bejesus out of me, especially if 2024 isn't an "all in" year, or if we don't extend him. Maybe I'm wrong, but the velo charts on fangraphs seems to show a slight decline in velo from '22 (94-96) to '23 (93-95): https://www.fangraphs.com/players/corbin-burnes/19361/graphs?pitchgraphs=true&statArr=&legend=1&split=base&time=daily&start=2021&end=2023&rtype=mult&gt1=15&dStatArray=FC&ymin=&ymax=
  16. moonslav59
    I don't know Japanese, but it would be interesting to know what he actually said and the most common translation. Certainly, the reason it was corrected is obvious.
  17. moonslav59
    Apparently, the translation was messed up. The comment was not technically "retracted," as I stated before. All things equal, he'd probably prefer a teammate who was Japanese, IMO.
  18. moonslav59
    Again, it depends on your view of what a "true #2" is. The guy has been top 30 in just about every significant category from 2021-2023. He'd be the best pitcher on 10-15 teams and the second best on almost all the rest. To me, that's a number 2, at worst. That being said, I hope he's the second best pitcher we add, this winter.
  19. moonslav59
    Apparently, the Sox were not "in on" Nola or Gray and are not "in on" Cease trade talks, either. They have been linked to Yamo, Snell & Monty, while reportedly seeking to trade for a top SP, perhaps Burnes, Bieber or Glasnow. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/11/latest-on-red-soxs-pitching-targets.html
  20. moonslav59
    We shoulda kept Pablito around.
  21. moonslav59
    Top Sox Prospects by Age: Younger non prospects in RED... Age 18: 10. Cespedes 11. Zanetello 14. Joh Garcia 22. Anderson 30. Arias Age 19 1. Anthony 5. Bleis 18. Romero 29. Alcantara 35. Brannon 37. C Coffey 39. Paez 42. Yuten Age 20 2. Mayer 7. Perales 13. Castro 19. Jordan 24. E R-C Age 21 3. Teel 6. Yorke 9. Wikelman 17. Paulino 20. Monegro 45. K Campbell Age 22 12. Meidroth 26. Bastardo 34. Rogers Age 23 Casas 4. Rafaela 25. Guerrero 44. I Coffey Age 24 Bello Abreu E Valdez N Robertson 8. Abreu 15. Drohan 16. Nathan 23. Dobbins 27. Mata 28. Hoppe 31. Fernandez 33. Troye 50. Rosier Age 25 Winckowski Murphy Age 26 Devers Duran 21. DHam 36. Gambrell 38. Penrod 40. Scott 60. Song Age 27 Crawford Houck Whitlock Verdugo Wong 32. Walter (Note: MLB player ages are from BR, and are not updated. Many are 1 year older than listed.)
  22. moonslav59
    BTV accepts this deal that I seriously doubt the CWS would agree to... Yorke Schreiber Perales Valdez Drohan (Yorke and Drohan not on 40, so a 3 for 2 roster trade) for Cease & Jimenez (The CWS do save a boatload of money.)
  23. moonslav59
    I think that comment was retracted. MLBTR reported... Martino also adds a clarification to a statement made by Wolfe earlier in the week, as the agent told Japanese media during a conference call that his client would have no problem playing with another Japanese player. Due to a translation error, this was incorrectly interpreted as Wolfe saying that Yamamoto was prioritizing teams that already had at least one Japanese player on the roster, which isn’t the case.
  24. moonslav59
    It does not appear to be Bloom's best draft, but it was the Covid year, we did not have high picks, there were only 5 rounds, and we lost the 2nd pick due to sign stealing, which was before Bloom's tenure. Current rankings by draft: Red= top 20 2020 6. Yorke (1st round) 15. Drohan (5th round) $236K over slot, too 19. Jordan (3rd round) NR Wu-Yelland (4th) 2021 2. Mayer (1st) 16. Hickey (5th) $600K overslot 23. Dobbins (8th) 24. E R-C (4th) 25. Guerrero (17th) 33. Troye (12th) NR Sikes (18th) NR Uberstine (19th) NR Kavadas (11th) 2022 1. Anthony (2nd Comp) $1.6M overslot 12. Meidroth (5th) 18. Romero (1st) 28. Hoppe (6th) $230K overslot 34. Rogers (3rd) 35. Brannon (9th) $550K overslot 37. C Coffey (2nd) 44. I Coffey (10th) $143K underslot 59. Mullins (12th) 2023 3. Teal (1st) $660K underslot 11. Zanetello (2nd) $1.3M overslot 22. Anderson (3rd) $650K overslot 45. K Campbell (4th Comp) 48. J Riemer (4th Comp) 56. C Early (5th)
  25. moonslav59
    It looks like a fair deal. I'm not sure matching it gets him to BOS. We might have needed to beat it by $5M- maybe $85M/3 or $95 to 100M/4. Depending on what Yamo and Monty make, and assuming they don't sign with us, I would not give Brez a pass. I guess, if we sign Snell, he's off the hook.
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