moonslav59

I also think Paulino continues falling. I think Drohan does, too. I project Cespedes, Gambrell, I Coffey and Penrod rise the most. I think Rafaela may prove to be more of a 5 tooler than Bleis. Part of me really likes Wikelman and Monegro, but I fear they be our next Walter. I see Perales and Meidroth as capable of a big rise or fall. Mata and Romero need to stay healthy to get a better read on them. Mata is out of options and may be dealt, because of that. As for Castro, SPs has this on the switch hitter: Avg hit tool Above avg power Avg speed Fringy on D in CF/Avg corner OF Avg arm "Signed as a middle infielder, moved to the outfield in 2021. " Summary: "Has the ceiling of an average regular. Wide range of potential outcomes as a lot of his value is tied up in his bat. Projectable frame and switch-hitting ability give him a leg up. Has already shown a solid approach and ability to make consistent, hard contact. If he can get stronger and tap into his raw power, could become a very intriguing prosepct. Has been on the radar for a few years, as scouts identified him as one of the more interesting hitters on a loaded 2022 FCL team."

Some observations on the soxprospects.com rankings: 1. There are 3 pitchers in the top 19: #7 Perales #9 Wikelman #15 Drohan Then, there are 14 in the next 20 that are pitchers: #20 Monegro #23 Dobbins #24 E R-C #25 Guerrero #26 Bastardo #27 Mata #28 Hoppe #31 Fernandez #32 Walter #33 Troye #34 Rogers #36 Gambrell #38 Penrod #39 Paez 2. I expected Gambrell (36) and ICoffey (44) to be ranked much more highly, but most of what I know about these two is what I read on that site and by looking at their stats. 3. Highest Rule 5 eligible: #13 Castro #15 Drohan #17 Paulino #26 Bastardo 4. Biggest drops since April 5th: (Graduated: 2 Casas, 15 EValdez, 17 Murphy, 27 Kelly) Mata 5 to 27 (out of options) Romero 7 to 18 Walter 9 to 32 Paulino 10 to 17 Lugo 12 to 53 Kavadas 20 to NR in top 60 Bonaci 22 to NR in top 60 C Coffey 23 to 37 Koss 28 to NR in top 60 McDonough 30 to 41 5. Biggest gains since April 5th: (Players added to system after April 5 or had not played in system prior to 2023: Teel 3, Cespedes 10, Zanetello 11, A Anderson 22, Arias 30) Abreu 24 to 8 (came in Vaz trade) Meidroth 29 to 12 Castro NR top 30 to 13 Monegro NR top 30 to 20 Dobbins NR top 30 to 23 Bastardo NR top 30 to 26 Hoppe NR top 30 to 28 6. ETAs: By the end of '25: 1. Anthony 2. Mayer 3. Teel 4. Rafaela 6. Yorke 8. Abreu 9. Wikelman 12. Meidroth 15. Drohan 16. Hickey 19. Jordan DHam, Dobbins, Guerrero, Bastardo, Mata, Hoppe Fernandez, Walter, Troye, Gambrell, Scott, McDonough, ICoffey, Rosier After the end of '25: 5. Bleis 7. Perales 10. Cespedes 11. Zanetello 13. Castro 14. Joh. Garcia 17. Paulino 18. Romero 20. Monegro Anderson, E R-C, Alcantara, Arias, Rogers, Brannon, C Coffey, Penrod, Paez Yuten, Ravelo, K Campbell, Cepeda, Sena, Riemer, Soto, Song A question: who do you see jumping up in the standings, the most, in 2024? Who will drop from the top 30 or 60?

soxprospects.com gradutaed E Valdez in November. Roberston graduated in SEP.

Soxprospects.com came out with their end of year rankings... https://www.soxprospects.com/history.htm (movement from July 6 rankings) 1. Anthony (from 4) 2. Mayer (down 1) 3. Teel (NR) 4. Rafaela (passed by Teel) 5. Bleis (down from 2) 6. Yorke (down 1) 7. Perales 8. Abreu (up from 20) 9. Wikelman 10. Cespedes (up from 23) 11. Zanetello 12. Meidroth (up 2) 13. Castro (up 11) 14. Joh. Garcia (up 2) 15. Drohan (down from 6) 16. Hickey (up 5) 17. Paulino 18, Romero (down 10) 19. Jordan (down 4) 20. Monegro (not in top 30)

I think some want a new starting catcher and Wong as the BUC.

Average the two WARs and it's about a 3 over 880 or 2.3 per 660.

It would be nice to see the overall numbers I. Groups like 1-5, 6-10… not just HOF, but maybe all star appearances or total WAR by positions.

Hard to say, but we do have 3-4 very highly ranked prospects with Casas and Bello recently graduated.

McGuire was hurt for part of the yr and his CERA numbers show he’s as good as Wong- pitcher by pitcher.

MLBTR say he could have gotten more, elsewhere.

I think the tandem should project to middle of the pack, with hopes they can improve, but it is one area we can improve. Just not Vaz. He’s in decline.

To me, it will always make the most sense to draft the best player, regardless of position, and part of the equation in the odds on the player making it to the bigs. Those odds favor everyday players. I’m

I wonder if Brez will push the Organization towards drafting pitchers earlier.

18 years ago, today, we traded HRam, Anibal Sanchez and others for Beckett and Lowell.

I’d rather have McGuire, even at equal money.

Christian Vazquez is being heavily shopped. I doubt the Sox would be interested in the journeyman catcher.

Yes! Enjoy your day and family!

It looks that way. At least Cease has2 years, not 1 like Burnes and others.

I get all this, but some pitchers are way better in the pen. I’d pick Pivetta over Houck or Crawford, and Houck over Crawford, but that choice is close. If we add 2, which is way more realistic than 3, we’d have 3 with Bello. If Sale is healthy, and Pivetta starts, we can have Crawford, Houck and Whitlock in the pen.

There was talk of Uriah being non tendered, but yes, he’s better than those on the list, but also much more costly. I don’t think everyone on my list is at DFA level, especially Murphy, Ref and maybe Mata/DHam/Walter.

I would, too, and cross my fingers. ExtendingCease would make it even better.

We have more fringe players than the 4 you listed. We just traded one to SEA, a team not looking for more fringe. I’m thinking more like Murphy/Walter/Mata or Refsnyder, McGuire, Robertson DHam or Kelly. I think some GM might like 2-3 of these players listed, and I’m not suggesting we trade 3 for a solid player: just 2-3 for 1 that is better.

I meant to say Pivetta not Paxton in my opening sentence. I can’t edit from my phone.

Yes. He has been much better as a RP than SP. Just because he might have been the closest to being a consistent “jack”as a SP’er does not mean he projects to be better than Bello, Paxton and others, next year. Remember, I’m for adding 3SPers to Bello and Pivetta/Sale, so I think the same way about Houck, Whitlock and Crawford. Adding 3 plus a healthy Sale would even move Pivetta, our most consistent SPer over the last 3 years, to the pen. (Note: Pivetta is the only SPer we’ve had every season of the last 3 (10+ GS.)

This makes sense, but trying to slightly improve on your #4 with a better#4 means you are not getting a very good pitcher. Just replacing your 3rd best pitcher knocks your 3 to 4 and your 4 to 5. In theory, adding any pitcher better than your 5th best starter is basically replacing the 5. Id prefer replacing the 5 with a 2 or 3 than a 4, but money and circumstances often keeps that from happening. Also, when you get to 4’s or 5’s, many are stabs in the dark and almost all of them are hard to predict what they will give the team the following year. In recent years, we added Kluber, Paxton, Wacha, Hill, Richards, Perez (twice) and Pivetta. To me, it’s not a successful strategy unless it is coupled with adding a 1 or 2.