moonslav59

Final ST'ing Numbers: OPS (30+ PAs) 1.129 Devers 1.072 Wong 1.033 Story .883 Rafaela .868 McGuire .857 O'Neill .838 Duran .820 Dalbec .765 Yoshida .728 Casas .715 EValdez .608 Reyes .586 Abreu Sent to AAA: .910 Westbrook .767 Contreras .670 R Gonzalez .329 DHam Notables under 30 PAs: 1.045 Sogard (AAA) 1.009 McDonough (AAA) .852 Heineman (AAA) .850 Refsnyder (Injured) .831 Kavadas (Injured & minors) Rotation ERA (K:BB) AAA 2.40 Houck (16:3 in 15.0 IP) 3.45 Whitlock (16:2 in 15.2) 3.72 Crawford (18:2 in 19.1) 3.93 Bello (18:8 in 18.1) 5.00 Pivetta (22:4) Long Relief/Spot SP: 4.60 Winckowski (10:3) AAA: 2.95 Criswell (17:3) Pen: 0.00 Campbell (9:2 in 8.1) 0.00 Bernardino (5:2 in 6.2) 0.00 Slaten (6:1 in 5.1) 2.57 Joely (9:3 in 7.0) 6.75 Martin (1:0 in 1.1) 10.13 Jansen (4:0 in 2.2) 2.61 Luetge (14:3 in 10.1) AAA? AAA: 0.00 Guerrero (6:3 in 6.1) 1.08 Weissert (10:3 in 8.1) 2.00 Booser (8:0 in 9.0) 2.35 Benitez (14:5 in 7.2) 2.79 Hagenman (8:3 in 9.2)

Cron out. Joely in. Chase Anderson looks to be the 8th man in the pen. (In my earlier post, I did not realize he had been pitching, this spring, with the Pirates. The 26 looks set: C: Wong & McGuire 1B: Casas, Dalbec 2B: E Valdez, Reyes 3B: Devers (Dalbec) SS: Story (Reyes) LF: Duran (O'Neill) CF: Rafaela (Duran) RF: O'Neill & Abreu DH: Yoshida SP: Bello, Pivetta, Crawford, Houck, Whitlock Long RP: Winckowski, Anderson Set-UP: Bernardino, Slaten, Campbell Closer/8th: Jansen & Martin Minor League Depth on the 40: C: Heineman MI: DHam OF: R Gonzalez P: Criswell, Weissert, Kelly, Walter, Jacques (Wikelman & Perales) 60 IL: Giolito 10 IL: Murphy (to 60?), Grissom, Refsnyder

MLBTR reports... A source tells Bowden that Montgomery has long-term contract offers from two teams. Bowden adds that a signing is "probably going to happen this week." Although the identity of clubs that made the offers and the number of teams currently in the bidding for Montgomery are unknown, Bowden writes that the Yankees and Red Sox "are still involved to some degree." He also mentions the Orioles and D-backs as teams to watch.

2021 was just 3 years ago. You forgot, already?

...and even that could not tip the scales. Grissom could end up being a big plus. Sale could get hurt, again, in 2025. Or, both.

They are not even going full throttle rebuild. It was a total sham.

He did make a few efforts, like offering Nate what he ended up getting, but later saying no, when Nate came back. He offered the same as TBR for Eflin, but lost out to "hometown" considerations. I'm not sure JH was open to any major signings, but missing out on those two does show he could have spent more than he did. That was certainly a big part of his downfall. He did well with Wacha. He did okay with Hill. He swung and missed wildly with Richards and Kluber. It looked like he miss times the Perez signings. That's pretty much it for 4 years.

1 year and maybe an early exit from the playoffs vs 5 years of Grissom may still not be worth it, and that is best case for no trade.

Nobody is denying Sale can be a great pitcher. Hell, he had a 3.16 in his last 15 GS, just last year. To me, unless Grissom is a bust, it can't be a bad trade, and even if he is, Sale was not leading us to greatness, this season.

Indeed, but even if Sale wins the Cy Young, this year, it might still be a good deal for us.

It looks like the 2 choices remaining for the opening day 26 man roster are: (Assuming Joely is the 7th RP'er and only the 2nd LHP on the 13 man staff.) 1B/UT: CJ Cron vs Dalbec (options remaining) 8th RP: (soxprospects.com has Chase Anderson, but he can't be ready by then) Weissert Luetge Kelly 60 Day IL: Giolito Mata 10 Day IL: Grissom Refsnyder

A look at the current 40 man roster by categories: One Year of Control: Jansen Martin Pivetta O'Neill Two Years of Control: McGuire Hendriks Refsnyder Two to Three Years (Option:) Giolito Probably not a significant part of our extended future (2026 and beyond:) Jacques (pre-arb) DHam (pre-arb) Heineman (4 yrs) Dalbec (3 arbs) R Gonzalez (4 yrs) Walter (pre-arb) Mata (pre-arb) Z Kelly (4 yrs) That's 16 out of 40 players who likely will not be in the system by 2025 or 2026 and almost certainly by 2027, except for maybe Giolito, Kelly and or Walter. We have several up and coming prospects that can replace most of those 16 players, but we will almost certainly add some players from outside. The remaining 24 listed in my order or importance and value (length of control is also a factor) The Core 16 (includes some prospects on the 26:) 1. Devers (9 yrs) 2. Casas (4 yrs) 3. Bello (4 yrs) 4. Story (3/4 yrs w option) 5. Crawford (4 yrs) 6. Grissom (pre-arb) 7. Houck (3 arbs) 8. Whitlock (3/4 yrs w option) 9. Yoshida (4 yrs) 10. Duran (4 arbs) 11. Winckowski (4 yrs) 12. Rafaela (pre-arb) 13. Abreu (pre-arb) 14. Wong (4 yrs) 15. Criswell (pre-arb) 16. Campbell (pre-arb) Borderline/Prospects 8 players/prospects on the 40: Bernardino (pre-arb) EValdez (pre-arb) Slaten (Rule 5: pre-arb) Weissert (pre-arb) Wikelman (pre-arb) Perales (pre-arb) Reyes (3 arbs) Murphy (pre-arb) Top Prospects Likely to be on the 40 in the next 1-3 years: (est. 10-20 players) By 2025: Anthony (Rule 5 2026) Mayer (Rule 5 2025) Teel (Rule 2026) Fitts (Rule 5 eligible) Yorke (Rule 5) ? Monegro (Rule 5) ? Gambrel, Rosier, Sogard, Castro, Paulino, W Mills, Bastardo, Dobbins, Sena, Troye (Rule 5) By 2026: Bleis (Rule 5) Sandlin (Rule 5) Meidroth (Rule 5) Hoppe (Rule 5) ?I Coffey, Rogers, E R-C, Ravelo (Rule 5) By 2027: Joh Garcia ? M Romero, B Brannon, Y Asencio, N Yuten, C Coffey, K Campbell, E Soto, C Early, N Judice

They basically gave Sale $11 to maybe $12M for the "extra year" (2025.) At today's rates, that seems about right.

Our Rotation ST ERAs (K:BB) 1.98 Crawford (13:0 in 13.2 IP) 2.40 Houck (16:3 in 15 IP) 3.45 Whitlock (16:2 in 15.2 IP) 3.93 Bello (18:8 in 18.1 IP) 4.50 Pivetta (22:4 in 18.0 IP) The rotation has 85 Ks and 17 BBs in 81 IP. That's slightly more than 9 Ks per 9 and slightly less than 2 BBs per 9 IP. Maybe Brez & Bailey are on to something. (Take away Bello and the bottom 4 SP'ers have 67 Ks and 9 BBs in 63 IP. 7.44 K:BB rate! (Only 2 SP'ers had a higher K:BB, last season.)

ST OPS (30+ PAs) 1.158 Wong 1.091 Devers 1.001 Story .934 Westbrook .895 Rafaela .879 Duran .868 McGuire .830 Dalbec .849 O'Neill .813 Contreras .732 Casas .715 EValdez .700 Yoshida .670 R Gonzalez .603 Reyes .577 Abreu .329 DHam Gotta like how our catchers seem to be hitting so well.

Some thought Pivetta was a dumpster dive. We've had some success with dives in recent years: Schreiber, Bernardino, Wacha, Strahm, Hill, Wink, Whitlock Renfroe, Duvall, McGuire, Refsnyder The list of failures is pages long.

He's been good to really good for half a season or more for 3 straight years. Holding out hope he can put together a full season is likely asking for too much. Crawford may be our true #2, but we'll see. I worry more about our 4 (Houck) and 5 (Whitman) starters. About our 2023 rotation: All 5 are RHPs. (Wink & Criswell are, too.) 3 of the 5 are homegrown. 4 of the 5 had their first MLB game w the Sox. We have no FA SP'ers in our rotation for the first time in whatever.

This dumpster overflow, laying in the alley in a dirty puddle.

Sox pulled off the win. McGuire had a big day: 3-4 w HR and 4 rbi. (.868 OPS) Duran 3-4 w 2B (.879 OPS) Story 1-3 w 3 rbi and BB & SF (1.001 OPS) Pivetta 6 IP 5H 2 ER 1BB 9K (4.50 ERA)

Here are the current soxprospects.com's rankings of remaining DD prospects and Brez additions: DD 4. Rafaela 7. Perales 9. Wikelman 15. Castro 18. Paulino 28. Bastardo 33. Walter Brez (Has not had a draft, yet) 11. Fitts 13. Sandlin 41. Asencio 51. Olivares 59. Judice

Agreed, but you might get some help from your first draft, if you drafted college players. Again, I'm not saying that should be a GM strategy, but Bloom's "long look" approach did not help him stick around. It may help Brez stick around longer.

6.19 ERA since 2020. Many pitchers signed to minor league deals look much better than this guy.

Sox sign Chase Anderson to a MLB deal. (I like some minor league signings better than this!) Since 2020: 40 GS 12 RP games 192 IP 6.19 ERA 5.75 FIP Good grief!

Indeed. Our team is stacked with players that juries are watching. (And, Sox fans are very shrewd jurors.)

I'd rather have Grissom, even if we sign Monty & Duvall and trade Duran for a decent SP for 2024 and beyond. 5 yrs vs 1 and possibly 2 tips the balance, IMO. Of course, Grissom might be the next Downs, but he has already shown some ability at the MLB level and should be a decent defender at 2B in a short while. Who knows, maybe he becomes an excellent overall 2Bman, very soon, and gives us 4+ years or stability at a position we have seen a merry-go-round of futility since Pedey.