moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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No. That's what we shoulda done.
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You can't handle the truth!
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I agree, but how worse off are our 6-10 SP'ers than other ALE teams. I'm sure they have guys they want to keep in the pen or are serious question marks, too. Again, I have no idea how ours compare. The less we use these guys the better.
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Sow are waiting for the price to drop on Monty, but if it does, other teams will join in the bidding. Sounds like another swing and miss being tee'd up. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/02/latest-on-red-sox-jordan-montgomery.html
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Is Whitlock, Wink, Fitts, Walter, Murphy and others all that much worse than other ALE teams 6-10 SP"ers? I would not say we are better, but we might be close.
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No. I answered why. You just didn't like my answer. I gave the 4 year numbers, also, since that is how long Bobby Dee has been on the Sox, and it included his best season (2020.) Yes, I like to use the 3 recent year sample size, mostly, because I think it is better than career numbers, as an indicator of what to expect. I'm not locked into 3 years. If the 3rd year is a rookie year, I'd probably think the recent 2 years is a better indicator. If a player is aging and had a big year, 3 years ago, I might also think the recent 2 years is a better indicator. I was not intentionally trying to make Ref look better than Bobby Dee. I went back 4 years, which helped Bobby Dee. Here are the 3 year numbers you are crying about: vs LHPs (250+ PAs) 43. Refsnyder .865 (142 wRC+) 67. Bobby Dee .836 (124 wRC+) Why would I try to hide these numbers? Ref blows BD away, again. 2 years and 3 years (and 4 yrs in wRC+, only.) Geesh! BTW, even the 4 year sample showed Ref with a wRC+ 10 points higher than BD.
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I was trying to show the Sox best hitters v LHPs, and Ref has only been here 2 years.
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Not real big differentials, here.
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I just posted 2020-2023. Try to keep up.
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Maybe Sale will cut up his pants.
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It's our weakest area, for sure.
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That, too, but some felt he set the budgets. By 2022 and 2023, the budgets were not a major issue.
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The 2 slot is considered the sacred slot, in modern times. I'm not sure Grissom is best placed there, either, at least to start the season. If we are going to go back-to-back with 2 lefties, just do it 1-2 (Duran, Devers), not 3-4 (Devers, Casas.)
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At being higher ranked in the power rankings than the Sox.
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It seems like everyone gets this, now. Under Bloom, it seemed like some felt he was setting the budget.
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2020-2023 OPS vs LHPs (300+ PAs) 10. Betts .936 15. Story .918 25. Bogey .888 28. JD M .874 43. Dalbec .855 (wRC+ 128) 49. Refsnyder .849 (wRC+ 138) 80. Turner .813 82. Renfroe .812
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Recency usually trumps numbers 3+ years ago, but Dalbec had some really good numbers, back then, and he's done well in AAA. If we didn't have Casas, he'd probably get another long look in the bigs. If it wasn't for our lack of 1B depth on the 26, he might not be on the 40. He seems like a lifer AAAA player, but I hope he can come back. The guy had an .819 OPS over his first 156 games in MLB. I've not given up on him, just yet, but I prefer going with a guy who has been our best (current) hitter vs LHPs in the last 2 years. One weakness we still talk about is our hitting vs LHPs, especially in the OF. O'Neill is injury prone, and Rafaela is a big unknown at the plate. Does it really a no-brainer to keep Bobby Dee on the 26 over Ref? I think it's a close call, unless we have nobody to back up Casas at 1B, in an emergency. (We also know Cora will never start Casas 162 games at 1B.)
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Sounds right. I do worry about his splits v LHPs, despite doing okay, last year with a .327 OBP. Could this be what we see? 1. L Duran CF 2. L Devers 3B 3. R O'Neill LF 4. L Casas 1B 5. R Story SS 6. L Yoshida DH 7. R Grissom 2B 8. L Abreu RF 9. L Wong/R McGuire C Bench: (McGuire or Wong,) Reyes, Refsnyder, Dalbec ML Ready Farm depth: C: R Perez, T Heineman (Teel) 1B: S Scott © (Jordan) 2B: Reyez, E Valdez (DH) SS: DHam (mayer?) 3B: Meidroth OF: Rafaela, R Gonzalez, M Contreras (Anthony, Rosier) DH: Hickey, Kavadas
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Who is our leadoff hitter, this year?
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Let the games begin!
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They were better than the RH'd choices, when selected.
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It's not Brez or Pedey. It's the budget.
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He'd need to be the owner.
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Red Sox best OPS vs LHPs from 2022-2023 (90+ PAs) 1.038 Bogey .998 JD .900 Turner .889 Refsnyder (The best of all players currently on the roster) .783 Devers .783 Story .777 Casas .772 Dalbec .756 Duvall .746 Yoshida wRC+ 192 Bogey 174 JD 148 Refsnyder 142 Turner 118 Dalbec Just sayin'
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sp's always seems brutal in their write-ups, and they seem to have eased off ranking pitchers in the top 2, since DHern in 2019. We have to keep in mind, that sometimes things click for some guys, and they become totally different pitchers. Usually, for us, it's a click to the downside, but look at guys like these and their highest rankings on soxprospects.com: I pointed out the busts, but here are some that did okay or well... 3. Bello (was not ranked in '2021, went to #5 in APR '22 and #3 JULY '22.) 3. Houck in '17-'18, shortly after being drafted in the 1st round, but then dropped to #7-10 for a couple years before his call-up. I'm not sure anyone expected him to do all that well. 9. Wink JULY '22 (was not ranked after the trade, then was around 14-15, before jumping to #12 and #9 in '22) 16. Crawford was drafted in 2017 and never cracked the top 20 until he hit #16 in APR '22. Now, he may be our 3rd best SP'er.
