Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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I am opposed to trading more talent from our farm, in general. Of course, if you get a deal you can't refuse, then that's a different story. I continue to go back and forth on Betts, and much of that has to do with really having no idea what the FO wants to do this offseason. I know that in the long run, trading Betts now would be better for the team. However, if we plan to be competitive next year, which I fully believe we will, then our team will be better with Betts on it than not. Needless to say, a lot remains to be seen. On the whole, I agree with your post.
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But that's because the playoffs are a crapshoot, not because those are not well run franchises.
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The Dodgers?
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Either way, the argument was about whether a team and farm system can be sustained long term. The answer is yes!
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Theo is the best. If it makes you feel better about Dombrowski that Theo operated a lot like him, then I can't blame you for that. But I do see Theo's situation being different than Dombrowski's for two big reasons. And regardless, that doesn't make that approach right. Also, that doesn't mean that having teams that are highly competitive can't be sustained, just that Theo and Dombrowski chose the short term only approach instead. Full disclosure: Had Ben remained as GM and made the exact same moves as Dombrowski did, I would still not like most of the moves, but I would be less critical of Ben than I am of Dombrowski, because Ben did all the leg work of getting the team to where it needed to be. Ben, like Theo, would be in the position where it's his right to decimate his own farm, not that is would be the correct path to choose.
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Confirmation bias is a very real thing.
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No, the lack of the existence of momentum, choke, and clutch show up in the stats.
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Or unless we're talking about momentum...
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They give it a lot of credit, and they openly acknowledge that they cannot account for everything statistically, due to the human element. That said, if statistics strongly suggest something like clutch not existing, then you're darn straight they're going with the statistics. But that is nowhere near the same thing as saying that they don't give much credit to the human element.
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The look on Chapman's face when Altuve hit the home run = priceless.
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Spot on. You and I are in agreement when it comes to those huge contracts.
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I can still see that Smiley-Beni avatar in my mind. LOL Anyway, thank you Astros!
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OTOH, I'm sure fans of other teams are sick of seeing the same teams in the playoffs over and over and over. I don't think super teams are what makes baseball great. Super teams are one of the things that are wrong with baseball.
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You keep bringing up Theo and the Cubs. A few things there: 1. Theo was more justified in 'going all in' because of the Cubs long drought. 2. That said, had he not gone all in, he might have still won the WS and not be in the position that he is is today. 3. Theo overpaid for relief pitching on a couple of occasion. In other words, Theo did a lot of what Dombrowski did. I can more easily defend Theo, however, because: 1. See statement (1) above 2. Theo built that farm from scratch, so he had the right to follow through with his plan in whatever fashion he deemed necessary. All that aside, my point is still that a GM does not have to go to the extremes to win a WS and/or to remain a contender. It is possible to be successful in both the short and long terms, especially when you have the payroll that the Red Sox have. I'm not saying that the farm system will always be top 3, but we should be able to keep it in the top 1/3.
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It's Ovah!!!
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That sounds good to me. I don't want to see him in pinstripes.
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Post of the day!
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Anecdotal evidence. For every example you give me in support of momentum, I can give you one against. Which is my point. Momentum means nothing in terms of predicting the outcome of the next game. It's 50-50.
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Momentum has no impact on what will happen in a series, the next game, or even the next inning. Do you think the Yankees had a mind/heart set that they would win last night's game after tying it in the 9th? I'm guessing they did. Their comeback momentum lasted 1/2 of an inning.
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Losing to the Cards would not hurt nearly as much as losing to the Yankees, but for me, it still would have hurt. And as I just posted, the Sox needed to finish it off in order to make the ALCS comeback more meaningful.
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When I say that nothing will ever top 2004, coming back on the Yankees was, of course, a huge part of that. The joy of winning our first championship was exponentially magnified by that ALCS. That said, if the Sox had not completed the journey by winning the World Series, then that ALCS comeback would not be as precious or meaningful as it is.
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2019 ALCS: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
Kimmi replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Other Baseball
Red Sox Stats @redsoxstats · 6h Happy Yankees Elimination Day 2019! The Yankees have played 10 seasons without a trip to the World Series. Next season is year 20 and $4 billion spent on payroll to win 1 championship. Brian Cashman is the torchbearer and model for front office stability. #moneyball -
2019 ALCS: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
Kimmi replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Other Baseball
I'd kind of like to see the Nats win, but I'm good with either team winning. -
2019 ALCS: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
Kimmi replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Other Baseball
There was some very good defense in that game last night. Great game to watch, but much too much stress for a playoff game that didn't involve the Red Sox. LOL
