sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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I am glad I tuned in to read such novel insights about Moncada's personality. These are the sort of insights which is colored with the bias associated with players in his demo through baseball history. The guy cannot hit a big league curveball yet - but you are talking about (for the playoffs) a roster with 25 roles. What does putting him on the roster mean? It means that all hands are on deck - including yours. Farrell was excited to see what Moncada could do - it turned out he struggled, which kids do - so Shaw got his job back. Nobody got hurt - and it wasn't really a dumb move by Farrell, just executing a piece of organizational business.
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they have carried guys just to run before - Quintin Berry in 2013 ... old what's his name in 2004
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I am glad this did not start out with dealing Pedroia - although that itch will be scratched elsewhere I am sure. Archer is precisely the sort of pitcher you wave prospects in front of Tampa for. Heck, throw in Pomeranz (young, under control) if the Rays want some major league value to go with it. Longoria is a tougher get - he is a franchise player for them under a really good deal - and enough of an injury risk that I would not want to trade for him necessarily.
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And I do think voters do look at that - narrative is powerful
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Trout has held his value for 5 years in a row - and does the significantly higher number of outs Betts makes get made up on the bases or in the outfield? I don't think so. .437 vs .363 is a .074 difference .... in other words 51 more outs over a full season (assuming 700 PAs for simplicity). That is a lot - even if you take his 14 IBB out of the equation, Trout has made 38 fewer outs over a full season. That is a lot to make up with the other stuff. I would applaud Betts winning - and it would not be a Mo Vaughn in 1995 level robbery ... but Trout should win it, and it is not particularly close
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i do not disagree but then you are measuring whether his backups stink or not - which is not in the players control
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He was a 2 win player this year. If he is the worst position player you have, life is good. I think if Sandoval is healthy 3B-1B becomes an interesting 3-man jobshare
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not when related to pitcher performance - although it says a lot of team run prevention ... Porcello is the probable choice because pitcher wins can hypnotize. He is also coincidentally entirely worthy.
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Note I totally forgot about Kelly - who could bump Ross I suppose. I could argue Tazawa also, but he has pitched quite well down the stretch and there is some "been there, done that" for what it's worth. Now the Sox could just carry 12 pitchers - but I am not sure I would agree.
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hernandez, merrero or brentz all make sense also ... but you want to play folks you will use ... i'd still go moncada but not with a ton of conviction
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value in baseball and separable enough that imo "best" is sufficient - without having to measure his teammates or GM
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he DID hit well in the minors - and struck out a ton. nobody got hurt by a look - nothing was set back. i'd still put him on the playoff roster.
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it is possible. voters are not as hypnotized by pitcher wins as they used to be though - and that is a good thing.
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(ducking lightning bolt) - now that it looks likely there will be at least 163 games in this season ... let's put a dedicated playoff roster thread ... for me? C : Leon 1B : Ramirez 2B : Pedroia 3B: Shaw SS: Bogaerts LF: Benintendi CF: Bradley RF: Betts DH: Ortiz RESERVES (5): Hanigan, Young, Holt, Hill, Moncada ... Red Sox have liked having an extra guy to PR in these short series - Moncada can clearly do at least that. Starters (4): Price, Porcello, Rodriguez, Buchholz ... it's clear Pomeranz is about to drop dead if he has to start any more Relievers (7): Kimbrel, Uehara, Tazawa, Ross, Hembree, Pomeranz, Barnes ... keep Pomeranz as a long man/LOOGY as needed.
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i think earlier there has been a level of managing the season - not to say I agreed with a lot of his pitching moves. But as the season has gotten later the hooks have gotten quicker. And I think Uehara's return has allowed a lot of other stuff to fall into place.
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I agree with you - but I am also sure that temporarily trades will cost the Padres a little bit more. But only temporarily.
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i think they wondered whether his athleticism could transcend the holes - and since 3B was not actually a desperate need, they could always unplug it. nobody got hurt.
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Kluber, Sale and Porcello will be very close. Fortunately, the Cy vote is usually entirely on individual merit. Kluber is perhaps a tiny bit ahead of the other two - but hard to argue with any.
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He has made more outs than the other big contenders - but the power, speed and defense are an amazing package - and the voters have an obvious bias towards winning teams (although of course, that is evaluating the player's 24 teammates and not the player). Trout could have deservedly won this thing 5 years in a row - including this season. He is the most valuable player in the league - I don't like any distinction between most valuable and best, because (as I said above) you are then talking about whether his teammates are good. But we know he won't win it because his 24 teammates stink. To me, it's probably a dead heat between Betts and Altuve with Donaldson very close, but the Jays slump will count against him.
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I am not sure how much time he spends in Pawtucket (which, like most AAA teams, is a taxi squad). But I expect back to either AA or AAA. The swing and miss has to be fixed. But the native talent is remarkable and the on-base skills at the lower levels were there. He is just a kid who had not played a ton of baseball - it will catch up eventually.
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What is most likely to happen is that the Padres might - MIGHT - in the short run face more or a "other team-favorable" trading environment.
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Papi went 2 for 28 or something in the ALCS - granted, half of those two was amazing. 2016 Papi has been better all season. Playoffs are obviously a book to be written.
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Indeed - and I am certainly not suggesting throwing away offense. I think you are right when you get close to zero. However, I think within the sort of range Bell talks about, there is some slight increased marginal value in going from 4.5 to 4.0 vs 5.5 to 6.0. Is it enough to prefer one strategy over another? (run scoring vs run prevention as an organizing concept) Probably not.
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A month's pay is a lot of money. That said, at some point the Padres will offer the best deal for a team and then things will be fine. There might be some additional hoops to jump through (stuff the commish's office is called in for) to make sure things are kosher. A team won't willingly close off a potential market for players and whatever over something like this ...
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Maybe Sandoval becomes that platoon partiner