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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. And Miller has proven he can be a legitimate "relief ace" in the way that folks like us have begged for. You bring in Chapman or Jansen, you aren't buying much versatility.
  2. Well it is modeling factors which have correlated with past Cys. So the methodology is sound, and we know that pitcher wins have historically meant a ton. I'd be surprised if he didn't win it.
  3. A strikeout is an individual accomplishment, any other out is a team one. Also - if you want a non-analytic take, missing bats is preferable with the season on the line (and the 2015 World Series showed exactly what can happen when you don't). Porcello has been magnificent, and I hope he wins the award. It's a three man race and all of them are good choices.
  4. Perhaps - although where Moncada's ultimate home is a very open question. There is very little chance Moncada has a starting job here. But 3B makes sense for the time being - and I am sure he will get some outfield work too. I am not off the train - but for all the hype of "#1 prospect in baseball", he might not have been the #1 prospect in the org.
  5. Okay, 20 is THE record - individual or team. So the Red Sox on the verge of joining among the most exclusive clubs in history
  6. what is the big league record for strikeouts in a game - not for a single pitcher, but a staff in general ... i mean only 3 non-strikeouts so far. Still 8 more outs to get 5 Ks.
  7. The Sox approach has been copied - has been for a decade - it has been best in class along with the Cards among FO types.
  8. which would be an emotionally satisfying, gratifying and VERY shaky outcome.
  9. There is a lot of subjectivity with the MVP - especially when the field is fairly close. This year is also fairly close - as I noted, Betts winning is not any sort of robbery. (the example I always bring up for an actual robbery is Mo Vaughn in 1995) Ortiz would be good narrative - which is fine - but he has played less than his compatriots, and since his contribution is entirely offensive - he has to be a lot better than other guys on that dimension, and he isn't. The voting for the mvp in 1931 was of course when tools to measure actual value did not exist - you had to look at your classic roto stats and take the plunge. For me, it's Trout vs Betts. Given the tools to measure value, those two have delivered significantly more value than anybody else - so to me they are the most valuable players this season. It really comes down to whether Betts' defense is enough to offset the sheer number of outs he made compared to Trout. In real life, I expect Betts to win it.
  10. One thing that is true about Sandoval is that he has always been good at getting his bat on the ball - the question with the playoff roster is what to do with the 25th spot if you are only sticking with 11 pitchers. Obviously Sandoval is useless for pinch running ... but as a fairly high contact bat with some playoff been there, done that - the idea is not insane.
  11. Britton certainly does. There has never been a closer who has deserved the award - and the years closers have won MVPs are the equivalent to that year Mark Moseley won the NFL MVP.
  12. Strikeouts are a pitcher accomplishment - fascist as they are ... other outs are on some level team accomplishments. Both guys have "unnatural" BABIPs so they are basically neutral on that front if one tries to infer some "not getting quality contact" from either.
  13. it's impossibly horrible. he was everything right about baseball - and his story is the sort of thing which makes it very hard for me to get into areas of "laziness" or "not caring" with players. What he went through to get here, what he did to make a life and flourish here, it's heartbreaking. That he was the best pitcher in the entire damn league this season is only 25th or so in the ways that this sucks on every level. RIP.
  14. his pitch framing is excellent - i don't knock the defense. But Leon has defended fine - although the pitch framing has lagged. And the pitchers have pitched a lot better - which I would never solely attribute to the change behind the plate, but it is a thing that is true. The actual game calling part of it might be lagging comparatively.
  15. indeed - but as i've noted, intangibles and stuff come out in the measurable results. I certainly do not think Mookie winning would be a travesty (Mo Vaughn in 1995 is the examole of one of those and Pudge in 1999 - not that is happened but why). But Trout has generated more value - value his 24 teammates, coaches and bosses has squandered.
  16. Kluber leads in FIP by a solid amount over 2-4. And the strikeouts matter as well. As I noted, Porcello probably wins - and there is no really wrong answer between him, Sale and Kluber.
  17. fwiw i do think this is moot as he is headed to the AFL ... which is just as well. Kid clearly needs reps.
  18. Berry did not see the field - only basepaths. Of course arguing over the 25th man is a good thing.
  19. no instead - you should have an extra roster spot due to needing one less pitcher possibly
  20. his tools are amazing - really comes down to two things: 1. Can he hit? The threshhold is low, but it is not zero either. 2. Do pitchers want to pitch to him? Other catchers have gotten better performance. There are a lot of factors, and I do not blame Vasquez 100%, but there is correlation and so that should at least be explored.
  21. i would not read much into it - season has gotten crucial, so the guys who were here are getting first dibs. But I expect he will continue to get more in the next week and change as our place gets cemented.
  22. tricky thing is that Tampa is a smart organzation who won't sell low on Archer because he lost 19 games ... but he is worth making a strong play for
  23. He will cost a lot to resign regardless - as well he should. And of course shame on the Red Sox if they cheap out on him or Bogaerts.
  24. He also stole 40+ on the farm ... i have no real conviction here, Merrero makes sense also, as does Hernandez. Now, the bigger question is 12 pitchers or 11 - I go with 11, so you can get an extra specialist out there.
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