sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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There are very few managers who (tactically) add value. Francona - in terms of handling the pitching staff - qualifies. But - in terms of the lineup - even with Cleveland - he is not much of a tinkerer ... it's really hard to make much of a dent there.
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All of this. Managing is really hard. Hell, simply being the Red Sox' press secretary (which is part of the job) would drive most people insane.
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I think the stat line helps ... but really it is about whether he just deal with the lesser level of instruction. Can he make the adjustments on the fly - turn scouting reports and video analysis into action at the plate? Is he ready for (what I imagine could be) a fairly lonely situation. (although it helps there are a lot of young guys on the team - he'd be the only one who couldn't go to a watering hole) If those answers are fine - there is almost no chance he'd be worse than status quo at 3B. Now this doesn't mean I won't give Sandoval a chance - but Devers deserves credit for making this a conversation we're having in May 2017.
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Funny
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From scouting fwiw, there is very little chance Moncada stays at 2B (there is a reason more 2B look like Pedroia than like Dez Bryant). Breathe - the team is playing .500ish ball ... just like the Cubs and the Guardians. They're 0.5 games out of a playoff spot. It has been a weird season so far - since the team has not actually been able to string anything together - good or bad. You are right about the Pomeranz deal and the Kimbrel one to a point. Sale - the price hurts some, but he is a really great pitcher. So far, DD's tenure includes a playoff berth, and a team with good chances of adding more. Now that is not all him - but no reason to panic yet.
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Fair enough - but again, the building blocks of runs - baserunners, solid contact ... all of that is still there. I wish the team were winning more games - but given how rough the start has been (injuries, luck) ... I am betting the over still
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They are 15th in the bigs in runs scored - but somehow 3rd in OBP and tops in lowest K-rate. I am pretty sure there were 35 games like this a year ago. There is more reason to expect improvement than regression (or even status quo).
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nothing that a few balls finding gaps won't fix. Generating tons of baserunners - not giving away outs. Essentially a middle of the pack offense with the underlying performance of a much better one, Really poor luck as much as anything right now.
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I think Pablo will get a fair chance. And if Devers comes up it is after the break - probably on the road. Just bat him 9th and let him figure it out.
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I think you are probably looking at for likelihood by July 50% Pablo 20% Devers 20% Patchwork (rotating cast - basically now) 10% Someone else The bar is very low for the position given what they have been getting.
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I do too. Last year just showed that A) Moncada was a little bit further away than it looked (but not at all "behind") The "bust" end of his range of outcomes (read Castillo, Rusney) was a little lower than it looked a year ago. The White Sox are in a better position for him to be a good player. They are not playing for 2017 - they can make moves with a longer view with him.
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I think the issue of dealing him was that he WAS going to be fairly low ceiling offensively - BUT if this what he is (modest power, average to above average on-base, good defense) ... that is a quality starter right now, and even if he doesn't get one bit better that is very valuable given cost control. The deal on its face is okay - Sox dealt surplus to get something they lacked. Could they have spun a blocked guy like Margot into more? I think so - but that is fair game at least.
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Guerra's stock has fallen as far as any 22 year old would - which is "some, but not that much". Plenty of time to bounce back from a rotten season.
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the market is pretty crazy ... now we can argue market efficiency (giggle, giggle) but whatever. I think what DD has done on this front is not atypical. And you can't deny Kimbrel's 55% K rate. This version of him is worth the bother - last year's model less so. I am happy with the output. He is starting to live up to his deal.
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i used to think this when i was little kid - until i realized that unless you miss games, injuries will not heal.
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Entering the season - there was a reasonable (30% or so) probability Rodriguez would end up this team's 2nd best starter - so far so good.
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The more interesting question is - how many relievers hold their value for more than a couple of seasons at a time? For the most part - very, very, few. And the second question is - how much of an edge does that give you over "above average" work - probably not that much. Now the ability to get 6 outs from time to time - that is worth paying for. But the ability to hold a lead for 3 outs with the bases empty is largely not that big a deal.
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Should the Red Sox Acquire Adrian Beltre?
sk7326 replied to a700hitter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
These guys self scout constantrly - I think they knew they had something legit in Benintendi and Devers. I don't think they thought Devers would be in Boston this season - but he could be forcing them to re-look at it. It's early - but the signs are interesting. And we know DD will promote a guy aggressively if he believes in the kid. -
His avg/hr/rbi was good at AA ... he also struck out a third of the time against sub-major league pitching. The former would have indicated he had developed his hitting - the latter would have given pause.
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They are ... the Red Sox won the World Series in 2013 with their 3rd choice for closer, they beat a Cardinals team who won the pennant with its second choice for closer ... the Giants won 3 world series with three different closers - with their 2012 closer getting demoted in 2014. Closers in baseball are the equivalent of running backs in football ... some teams want to spend a ton of money for a hoss ... great. But a lot of teams do well doing what the Patriots do putting no money into it. After all, reliever performance is so volatile that churn is built into things - and there is a bottomless pit of candidates (basically any failed starter - since that's what relievers are).
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I think it is pretty straightforward. This is him - there will be streaks, good and bad. The defense will be marvelous - the throwing arm uncommonly excellent for the position. He is a starting caliber CF, which is intrinsically valuable. I do think he is outside of Devers the best trade chip the Sox have to pick up something more than say a back-end starter.
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5/13 Rays at Fenway
sk7326 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Kimbrel manages to increase his strikeout rate which was over 55% entering the game - ridiculous -
Let me rephrase - Betts is their best player, and their most dangerous hitter. But Benintendi might be their best hitter in terms of craft, taking great at-bats and such. I am thinking along the lines of Allen Craig before his body fell to pieces, or like Harold Baines of my youth.
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In the regular season I am totally with limiting how often he does it - you don't want to ride him to death - but absolutely in certain spots, go right to your best guy. And Kimbrel has been really really good - he has nearly matched his 2016 fWAR already. (he's striking out over 55% of the hitters he faces - which is unsustainably insane)
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Defensively he might have a ways to go - although the talent is there ... but it is rather amazing that a kid in AA a year ago might very well be their best pure hitter.