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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    My theory is that analytics have no real way to account for significant differences between recent data and longer term data.
  2. Bellhorn04
    How does this add anything to a discussion?
  3. Bellhorn04
    "Baggins, we hates it forever!"
  4. Bellhorn04
    What is that third baseman's WAR since the trade though?
  5. Bellhorn04
    Yep, the $20's add up all too quickly.
  6. Bellhorn04
    You are hereby appointed the new Cooler.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Works either way...
  8. Bellhorn04
    Some are purer than others. This one is like Walter White's meth.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Ball bouncing off Jose's bean and into the stands, like Manny's high-five play, should have a place on the Top Ten Baseball Plays of All Time.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Cora not having interest in the job is pure speculation.
  11. Bellhorn04
    That's what it comes down to, I think.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Merloni thinks Bloom doesn't want Cora, and the meeting with him was mostly a professional courtesy.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Previous 6 appearances Oct 9-24 9.2 IP 7 ER 13 H 4 BB 5 K 3 HR
  14. Bellhorn04
    I certainly understand the principle there. The only issue is with how the analytics can take into account the conditions in play in that specific game. Such as the fact that Anderson had clearly been struggling in recent outings. Alex Speier (who said that pulling Snell was defensible in itself) said Anderson wasn't the same pitcher as he was in the regular season, and therefore was not an upgrade over Snell, so he disagreed with that part. I will also say that I'm no longer discussing this for the purpose of proving how wrong Cash was. It's time to give the man a break. I'm just interested in the analytical part of it.
  15. Bellhorn04
    We don't forget details like that, us Sox fans.
  16. Bellhorn04
    I like this idea.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Don't want to hijack the thread? Hell man, that's what we do best here. IMHO what Springer gets is a moot point, where the Red Sox are concerned. We're in the market for a Pillar or Marisnick this year. Pitching, pitching, pitching is what Bloom will be focused on.
  18. Bellhorn04
    If Springer does get 120 million, that would only be 40% of Harper and Machado, of course, or 180 million less.
  19. Bellhorn04
    MLBTR's rankings: 1. Bauer 4/128 2. Realmuto 5/125 3. Springer 5/125 4. Ozuna 4/72 I'd say Springer makes the cut.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Sure, he might. My guess is that a few of the premier free agents will get multi-year offers that are too much to pass up in these uncertain times. That seems to be what MLBTR is speculating as well.
  21. Bellhorn04
    I'm sure the guys at MLBTR took into consideration the expected down market. Their guess is $125 mill, and your guess is $68 mill. Something to watch.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Which does make sense.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Pillar has been a good value over his career. FanGraphs has his career dollar value at $103 million. B-R has his career earnings at about $15 million.
  24. Bellhorn04
    The issue isn't so much the draft pick. MLBTR predicts he will get 5 years/125 million, and that looks like it's being discounted a little for the COVID-19 factor. So that's 25 mill a year tacked onto the payroll. Springer is an excellent player that every team would love to have. But I would rather see that kind of money allocated to pitching.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Yes, exactly.
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