Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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I don't know about that. It's been around close to 30 years now. They keep adding bells and whistles. There's only so much you can do with a spreadsheet. -
No bias there!
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I think we could use a new thread on the crapshoot principle.
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You don't believe in the crapshoot principle?
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Has to be a good limerick in there somewhere.
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They're not signed by us yet, needless to say. Apparently a bunch of teams are interested in Kluber.
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It would depend on how fortunate we are with health and performance, wouldn't it.
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Wow, MLB is saying everything should start on time this year and a full schedule played. Finally some good news.
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Yes, they traded Scott to Milwaukee so he could have his prime years with them, then traded Cooper to Milwaukee to get Scott back for his post-prime years. Absolutely brilliant.
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Especially with Malpeque oysters.
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Dennis Eckersley
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The other premier trades were deadline deals. Dave Henderson Cabrera Eovaldi and Pearce
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I think those 4 are Mount Rushmore.
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Later to earn immortality with the Yankees as American Idle.
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Plus he's a dope.
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German was hardly awesome in 2019. He was a little above average.
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Sanchez is toast. Judge and Stanton can't stay on the field. If they lose LeMahieu and don't do much about the pitching, I think there's a good chance they suck.
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Everybody (except San Diego) is waiting on everybody else. Too many vultures and not enough predators.
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WAR is actually a counting stat, so on average, the more you play, the higher your WAR. As a result, an elite WAR for a reliever is only around 3 or so.
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FIP is the big difference-maker, I think. In 2020 Porcello's FIP was 3.33, his actual ERA was 5.64. He gave up 74 hits in 59 innings, but only 5 of them were homers. His BABIP was a fat .373. Basically he gave up a ton of singles.
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Porcello would make an interesting case study for the differences between fWAR and bWAR for pitchers. His career fWAR is 50% better than his bWAR. That's a hefty difference!
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But it's quite possible, even probable, that Porcello's physical makeup, preparation and pitching motion are the reasons for his durability.
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I think MLBTR said Springer has a couple of offers in hand over $100 mill, but that he's looking for something like $150 mill. We'll see where he settles.
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I'd go with Porcello because of his durability.
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You've gone into areas that don't exist in Old School. There's another one too: ERA can depend on the manager's philosophy on when to hook.
