Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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I have mentioned Leskanic before. He got 4 outs in Game 4, I believe, and never pitched again. Cabrera made a very fine play to take a hit away from A-Rod in extra innings of Game 4. Pretty sure it was a play 2004 Jeter wouldn't have made.
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2004 was, of course, the only time in baseball postseason history that a team came back from a 3-0 deficit. That has to show something in itself. And we were only able to do it because we had Schilling and Pedro, plus Lowe and Foulke pitching out of their minds.
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So here are the results for the last 5 postseasons, using my primitive method, which was to see how many games were won/lost by the team with the better regular season record. And if the teams had identical regular season records I ignored those games. 2016 21-13 2017 23-15 2018 24-9 2019 22-15 2020 32-21 Total 122-73 .626 I was a little surprised by how strong those numbers were. At the same time I can see that if you go back further, things were not as skewed. Maybe it's a short-term trend. Interesting, though.
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But in hindsight, it was always the hotter team who won. Pretty hard for the colder team to win.
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There are plenty of examples of stacked pitching rotations not getting it done in the postseason. The '71 Orioles with 4 20 game winners lost to the Pirates. The Phillies and Tigers in recent years. I'd have to dig up which years those were.
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Personally I liked Yogi's version: "Good pitching beats good hitting - and vice versa".
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Valid point, but we're not just talking about a single set of 5 games here. We're talking about that 60% rate holding true over multiples of five.
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In an election, a 60-40 split would be considered a landslide. Maybe we have radically different ideas on what a crapshoot is.
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Bloom wouldn't just unload Beni for a small return, I'm quite sure of that. He'll only trade him if the return is worth it.
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How high would the difference have to get to remove the crapshoot tag?
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Wait till you see the numbers for the last 5 years. Pretty interesting. I'll put them up later today.
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Here's my thought process: 1) Did the champ have one of the best regular season records? 2) If not, did they have one of the best second half records - like Washington in 2019? 3) If neither, then it was a crapshoot year.
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You're right. I think it's because things have been so slow so long you start thinking the players will be signing for deep discounts.
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moon, I think you need to go back and remove the multi-quote checkmark from your post #3495.
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Kyle Schwarber gets 1 year/$10 million from Nats. Wow, that ain't much of a bargain price.
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What might be interesting would be to go through the postseason games of the past 10 years, say, and look at the results of each game, and see how many games were won/lost by the team with the better regular season record. If the teams had identical regular season records you would disregard those games. It would be a primitive method, but the results might show something.
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Whatever you're trying to say there, it's not quite the same as 'the playoffs are a crapshoot' LOL
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If you really believe that's how it went down, you've probably been brooding about the trade a little too much.
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You Magoo'd my post. Read it again.
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I believe the news is going to start picking up very soon. Maybe the Sox are waiting to see Kluber pitch to start executing their real plan. Let's hope.
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RIP Tommy. Great baseball man.
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Probably at least 2/3 of major league pitchers have question marks of some sort, using that term the way we use it here, which is that you can't guarantee they'll be healthy and good in 2021. Go ahead and run through the starting rotations of other AL teams as they stand now and see what I mean.
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They can be relevant in 2021, seriously. Sign Kluber, Odorizzi, Hand or Bradley, and the best bargains for CF (maybe Pillar) and 2B. Plus a few other smart discount acquisitions. Still need a lot to go right, but it's certainly in the realm of possibility.
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Think this could bite Bauer in the ass too?
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Or maybe even 2022.
