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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Whitlock/Taylor/Barnes. I'm guessing not Otto, unless it's for 1 hitter (last out of inning).
  2. Bellhorn04
    Overall vs RHP 770 Overall vs LHP 767 RHB vs RHP 777 LHB vs RHP 757 RHB vs LHP 803 LHB vs LHP 658
  3. Bellhorn04
    But what does it mean?
  4. Bellhorn04
    Hard to say which fans get more excited about - a good signing, or a good DFA.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Duran is playing a lot.
  6. Bellhorn04
    I think it would be a tiny percentage. If you can come up with a tiny percentage of samples that fit, what does it show? That there's a tiny chance the postseason numbers can be attributed to randomness?
  7. Bellhorn04
    I thought it was supposed to be the most comprehensive of all defensive stats?
  8. Bellhorn04
    But we have the top UZR/150 in the AL.
  9. Bellhorn04
    LHP + Baltimore RHP.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Well, I'd like to see this applied to Kershaw. As I said, his worst monthly ERA is 2.84, so I'm not sure how you're going to generate a sample that has a 4.19.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Nice whataboutism. People who say that about Yaz are what you call...stupid. Yaz also made the last out in the 1975 WS, BTW.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Yes, the term "repeatable skill" is totally made-up and arguably useless.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Yep, can't be proved, can't be disproved. I think we're in agreement on that. But all the stuff about computer generated random samples just seems like gibberish.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Honestly, I don't even know what that first sentence means.
  15. Bellhorn04
    But repeatable skill is not well defined. It's a term I've never heard used except in this context.
  16. Bellhorn04
    The guy can swat the baseball when he connects, I must say.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Barry Bonds only became clutch after he discovered the magic of steroids. The juice made him a lot stronger physically and mentally. A-Rod was most likely on seriously good juice in the 2009 postseason as well.
  18. Bellhorn04
    My recollection is that in 2008, he was pitching hurt to some degree. They didn't know if he was going to be able to start Game 6 of the ALCS, and it was obvious he was struggling, but he pitched 5 innings and got the win. As I said to Kimmi earlier, I don't believe that clutch or choke are something pure and undiluted. I think it's more a belief that some guys are more confident or comfortable under pressure. Maybe the confidence factor comes from getting off to a good start in your postseason career. That would apply to guys like Schilling and Beckett. And we know that the postseason thing was a big burden on Price's head, and Kershaw's as well.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Most pitchers would kill for Beckett's postseason resume.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Speaking of Beckett, his 2 biggest clutch games were Game 6 of the 2003 WS, and Game 5 of the 2007 ALCS. Now doesn't the fact that he came up clutch twice like that show that it's a 'repeatable skill'?
  21. Bellhorn04
    No. My only hope is that the work they've presumably been doing with him on approach will ultimately pay off.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Now you're the one trying to chop it up into tiny samples. At least with Kershaw and Schilling the samples are a decent size.
  23. Bellhorn04
    According to this site, the chance of flipping 75 heads out of 100 is 0.0000001913, i.e. infinitesimal. https://www.omnicalculator.com/statistics/coin-flip-probability
  24. Bellhorn04
    It makes no sense with respect to Kershaw's numbers. Not with a disparity that big.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Kershaw's highest monthly ERA is 2.84. I think you would have to do an awful lot of digging to find that random sample you're looking for.
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