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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Betts AAV 29 Bogaerts AAV 25.5 Total 54.5 Story AAV 23.3 Yoshida AAV 18 Total 41.3 The delta between A and B is 13.2 mill.
  2. Bellhorn04
    We should be thankful we have him for another year. He's been great for quite a while now.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, I'm with you. Keep Duran, upgrade the pitching by free agency.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, the thing we always have to keep in mind is that Fenway is a hitter's park, so our offensive numbers are never quite as good as they look. By the same token our pitching numbers aren't as bad as they look.
  5. Bellhorn04
    2019 was disappointing, but the years after the Red Sox make the World Series usually are. 1968 1976 1987 2005 2008 (although they did make it to game 7 of the ALCS) 2014
  6. Bellhorn04
    Texas 86-68 (unexpected revival) Toronto 86-69 Houston 85-70 (back to back losses to KC at home!) Seattle 84-70
  7. Bellhorn04
    To make the playoffs in 2024 we need: a) 2 SP'ers a bat c) a bunch of things to go right Pretty big asks.
  8. Bellhorn04
    The teams all have the same tax thresholds. There's also a "revenue sharing" system which flows money from the higher revenue teams to the lower revenue teams.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, Bloom really brought back the fun.
  10. Bellhorn04
    OPS+ 103 T12 in MLB Home OPS .802 Road OPS .710 Conclusion: thoroughly mediocre offense
  11. Bellhorn04
    OPS+ 103 T12 in MLB Home OPS .802 Road OPS .710 Conclusion: thoroughly mediocre offense
  12. Bellhorn04
    So what do you suggest they do with him?
  13. Bellhorn04
    Just view him as a fungible #5 starter and hope for better. Nothing to lose at this point. He still does show flashes of top-caliber pitching.
  14. Bellhorn04
    They had a 14 game lead over the Yankees in July. Losing a 14 game lead is a collapse, in my books.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Well moon, as you say, last year you wanted a fire sale. That wasn't very optimistic about the 2022 team's chances. We really shouldn't be questioning each other's fandom.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Historical context is always important, and the fact it was the Yankees who overcame us was certainly part of that. To me it was especially crushing because it was the end of the dream for the powerful but ringless Red Sox teams of the 70's.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Can we all please stipulate this as Accepted Baseball Wisdom forever and ever, so we never have to hear it again?
  18. Bellhorn04
    They had a 14 game lead on the Yankees in July and they lost it all. I think it was a historic collapse, yes. Like I say, if you choose to see it otherwise, nobody can stop you.
  19. Bellhorn04
    And losing 7 out of 8 to the Yankees in September/October?
  20. Bellhorn04
    The problem is the baseball players have these things called "contracts" which have limited terms and can be hellaciously expensive and risky and under which the players continue to get paid full dollar even if they're at home injured or aren't good enough to perform at the major league level any more...
  21. Bellhorn04
    There's no hard cap. Teams can spend as much as they want. But there are penalties for going over the tax thresholds that get more and more severe the more you go over. The penalties are higher when you go over 2 years in a row or 3 years in a row. The first threshold for 2023 is $233 million. The 2023 Mets have a total payroll cost for tax purposes of $376 million, and will pay about $104 million tax on top of that. Plus there are other penalties that affect the team's draft picks and money available to sign International free agents. It's crazy complicated.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Here's an analysis of the Red Sox 2023 payroll from Cot's Contracts. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WWRsQNsGZkWuJZwlY8--xVBXMJGjh230D45KiHTHuvY/edit#gid=1520401900
  23. Bellhorn04
    Here's a recap from MLB.com. Competitive Balance Tax | Glossary | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM The Official Site of Major League Baseball
  24. Bellhorn04
    2020 was a little different though, you must admit. It was only 60 games and there were players missing because of COVID. It was the ideal year to tank.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Toronto 86-68 Texas 85-68 Houston 85-69 Seattle 84-69
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