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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    It's not really that puzzling, if the Sox really don't want to pay a fortune in luxury tax. They know they're going to lose some run production but they should offset that with run prevention.
  2. Bellhorn04
    It was a simple point, really. A GM can 'overpay' for a player and it can still be a smart move, even though critics will say 'Anybody could have done that'.
  3. Bellhorn04
    The Mariners weren't interested in Buchholz last year either, they preferred Miley.
  4. Bellhorn04
    But Theo's the one that actually did it, and I think it was a very good move.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Signing EE would be totally shocking.
  6. Bellhorn04
    That wasn't my point at all. I was only responding to the 'Anybody could have done that' comment about overpaying for Price.
  7. Bellhorn04
    I meant blind luck for the team he plays for.
  8. Bellhorn04
    You do sound confused LOL. Jose Fernandez would be a sad example, I guess, of the role that blind luck plays in everything.
  9. Bellhorn04
    If you really want to blame someone for a shift in philosophy, there's only one man you should be blaming and that's JH himself. He's the one who replaced BC with DD, and you can bet DD is doing exactly what JH expected him to do.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Us fans could always do things better than the real guys do them.
  11. Bellhorn04
    But by the same token, Theo only got Lester because he bumped our offer by 20 million. Most people said Theo overpaid for Lester. Anybody (with the money behind them) could do that too. It's not really the individual moves that determine a GM's success. It's the total package that he puts together.
  12. Bellhorn04
    The Chapman trade is not a good comparison point. Dombrowski's trade of 2 months of Cespedes for Michael Fulmer looks pretty shrewd, doesn't it?
  13. Bellhorn04
    You'd need a team of Philadelphia lawyers and Boston accountants to figure out some of this stuff.
  14. Bellhorn04
    You seem to be right that the players didn't get much. I wonder how the owners pulled that off? Maybe they produced some numbers showing that revenues were going to level off or something.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Clay's market value could also increase in the spring if another team loses one of their starters to injury.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Just found out that Chapman has an opt-out after Year 3.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Do like me, recite 'The Serenity Prayer' and the song 'Forget Domani' and be happy.
  18. Bellhorn04
    These are my exact thoughts.
  19. Bellhorn04
    I'm really not concerned about it. If we do fall off the cliff after 3 years, so be it. We'll just have to build from the bottom up again. We just went through back-to-back last place finishes and we survived.
  20. Bellhorn04
    What exactly is it all of us are in agreement on?
  21. Bellhorn04
    But is it prudent to count on one coming out of nowhere? Theo obviously went after proven guys in Chapman and now Davis and was willing to pay fairly heavily in talent and money. Personally I think you want to have a couple of guys who are proven. You can take the 'throw stuff against the wall' approach with the rest.
  22. Bellhorn04
    But a relatively proven lights-out guy like Chapman, Jansen or Miller is a nice thing to have, especially in the postseason. The Cubs and the Guardians paid a lot in prospects for Chapman and Miller, and the investments paid off.
  23. Bellhorn04
    moon, I e-mailed Alex Speier about this and here is his reply, which is linked to a column he wrote a few years ago about a similar calculation involving Jon Lester's AAV when he was with the Sox. There's always a catch! This explains the formula in play: http://fullcount.weei.com/sports/boston/baseball/red-sox/2013/11/08/creative-luxury-tax-accounting-201-jon-lesters-average-annual-value-re-explained
  24. Bellhorn04
    Theo is a clever little devil. I wouldn't be surprised if Buchholz ends up in a Cubs uniform at some point too.
  25. Bellhorn04
    I agree with you, the possibility of it happening exists.
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