Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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I am resolutely staying with the position that it's unreasonable to say that any team is well set up for the next 10 years. I think it's a ridiculous statement and it offends me. If someone wants to say something like that and be taken seriously, they should show exactly how a team can do that under our current system. Show me how we're going to pay guys like Betts and Bogey and JBJ and Beni or how we're going to replace the ones we can't pay. And that's just for starters. I don't think anyone has any sort of simulation tools that can do this. You can do it for a few years. But every year the accuracy diminishes considerably.
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What is concerning, though, is that in his last 7 postseason games, 41.2 IP, he has given up 30 earned runs (6.48 ERA) and a .457 SLG. It's a remarkably horrible stretch of games however you look at it.
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Damned if I didn't have to find out why it's called Steamer. The 3 guys that created it went to Saint Ann's High School in NY together and the nickname of the sports teams is the Steamers. Yes I know Spud, it's still a bad name.
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Did any of them give projected rosters for 2021 and beyond, taking into consideration all the provisions of the new CBA? I'm joking, but these guys say a lot of things that turn out to be speculative nonsense.
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They're non-entities whatever method is used.
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I have to vigorously dispute that any analyst would say we were set very well for the next 10 years. Take a look at our roster now and see what it might be in 10 years. All our Killer B's will even be past their primes in 10 years. As far as I know Dombrowski has traded away 3 guys who had blue chip potential: Espinoza, Moncada and Kopech. I don't see how these 3 guys, even if they reach their potential ceilings, would make all the difference in our team over the next 10 years.
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Maybe so. But Price's lack of postseason success is a little perplexing. You would think the law of averages would catch up faster than this.
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If we make it, I'll love the fact we have 3 Cy Young caliber starters going in. And you would think Price and Porcello are due...
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Maybe we should all wait and see what becomes of Buch...we know they had discussions with Florida about a trade...he's probably gone. And if he stays he'll probably have more innings as a starter than as a reliever.
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Scott is still Red Sox property, isn't he?
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That's a pretty negative way to look at it. I think they targeted Sale because a) he's a great pitcher (duh) and he was cheap dollar wise so he didn't hurt their plans to get under the tax threshold or stay close to it.
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Sale's postseason record is pristine.
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Because they're paying him 11 million this year and there's some flickering hope he might hit again? That'd be my guess.
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We play the Cubs at Fenway the end of April.
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I honestly don't care. If we're placing bets I'd go with Porcello. As Spud said, it's pretty much ceremonial.
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Joel Sherman has a column in the NY Post about all the big bats being hung out to dry this offseason and why. (Teams focusing on run prevention, supply exceeding demand etc.)
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What you are pointing out is how the system will be even more geared toward parity in the years ahead. All the more reason, perhaps, to capitalize on our window of opportunity.
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My position, in all seriousness, is this: 'That's why they (DD & baseball ops) get paid the big bucks.' I'm sure they have been spending a lot of time analyzing all this stuff. They get paid for that. We just do it for fun.
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So in 2021 the rebuild begins.
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Or we've recently drafted some good kids that we'll be able to trade later on.
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Out of the '4 for 2' of course, E-Rod is the only one who can be sent to Pawtucket. With Buch, Wright and Pom they have to be in the rotation, in the bullpen, on the DL or DFA'd. So if they all look OK in the spring, you'd rather stash one guy in AAA than DFA one guy. That's really the only point. If E-Rod looks great in spring I agree it's pretty unlikely they send him to AAA. The logjam may well be cleared by trading Buch anyway.
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You can't project 10 years without a lot of massive assumptions.
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Sure, hypothetically speaking it would be great to have a very good chance of making the playoffs for the next 10 years, but it's not realistic. Maintaining a winning team is only going to get more difficult. When you've got great young players like Mookie and Bogaerts and JBJ it's terrific, but how are you going to pay them all when they get past their control years? Even their later arbitration years are going to be expensive. And if you finish high a few years in a row you get low draft picks. The system is set up for parity. The Red Sox organization obviously feels they need to capitalize on their window of opportunity.
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My argument would be that acquiring Sale increases our chances of making the playoffs for the next 3 years. Yes, we were already playoff contenders, but there are a lot of things that can gone wrong even when you look great on paper at the start of the year. Even acquiring Sale doesn't guarantee we'll make the playoffs. It just improves our odds.
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B-R is projecting Frazier's arbitration amount at 13.5 million.
