I love the quote I came across in one of the columns about this. Apparently it comes from the great Donald Rumsfeld.
"Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence."
You're right in the sense that there are a pile of variables in the data, and the 'strength of opposition' has to be factored in. Analyzing this much data is a massive undertaking, that's for sure.
I think Leon will be quite adequate. We're lucky to have a pool of 3 catchers like this. Give Swihart a little time, he will be the man eventually. They'll trade Vazquez or Leon at some point.
The statistical clutch researchers haven't quite figured out how to define clutch or how to find it, that's all. They will. They have been making strides in other areas. They don't quit, those guys. I have confidence in them.
Yes, he was...I guess Kate Hudson was really good for him.
I think the concept of 'preponderance of data' applies with clutch as with any other measurement...
Players and coaches certainly don't like to talk about choking because it's a very delicate subject. But I did give the example earlier of Joe Torre talking about Clemens getting bombed in Game 3 of the 1999 ALCS and saying he thought 'the moment was too big' for Roger or words to that effect. An anecdotal suggestion of a player choking.
My definition of a clutch player would be a player whose performance in high-leverage situations is equal to or better than their overall performance. I think it's the 'high-leverage situations' part that needs better clarification. High-leverage situations within games have been defined, but I think it would be more meaningful if there was also an additional weighting factor based on the leverage of the game itself.
As much as I liked Buch, he was a huge disappointment last year, blowing his last chance with us, really. And for the second time in 4 years he forced the team to make a deadline trade to get another starter.
It matters that his velocity and stamina are both good at this point. Things like that start to matter a bit more toward the end of spring games, I think.
Really it's just raw spring training numbers that don't mean that much. There's stuff that matters to the players and the coaches though.