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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Maybe...we don't know what the hell's going on...it's bizarro world. LoMo was projected to get 3/36 by MLBTR.
  2. Bellhorn04
    I don't really disagree with you. I just want them to sign Martinez.
  3. Bellhorn04
    The Moreland signing shouldn't be a crippler though. It's Chris Young money.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Projections for Hanley are meaningless, don't you think? Most of our chat about Hanley has been about making sure that GD option doesn't vest. We have to do something to upgrade IMO. If it isn't JDM, sign Arrieta or something. Standing pat just doesn't cut it.
  5. Bellhorn04
    I'm a bit dubious about the offense if we don't add a bat. If we don't add one and the offense struggles like it did most of last year, it ain't gonna be pretty.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Morrison having apparently drawn such little interest seems to me one of the possible signs that something is amiss this offseason.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Also, I don't think the Who would split the gate if some up-and-coming local band opened for them.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Makes you wonder why he hasn't been signed yet, since, supposedly, all the front offices are crawling with stat geeks now.
  9. Bellhorn04
    By the end of May is my stab in the dark.
  10. Bellhorn04
    There's always gonna be some crazy talk...it's part of the entertainment.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Would you settle for 'cordial impasse in negotiations'?
  12. Bellhorn04
    I think the MLB minimum is more like $550,000. And it's totally fair, when you consider the amounts of money people are willing to pay to watch them play. Remember, you don't make it to MLB unless you are one of the very best in the world at what you do. For each one that makes it there are plenty who don't quite get this far. And remember, it's the entertainment business. Like it or not, the top entertainers get paid a lot of money. That's America, baby.
  13. Bellhorn04
    But as we have discussed innumerable times, if they had signed EE they wouldn't have re-set the luxury tax rate. Repercussions, repercussions...
  14. Bellhorn04
    Very good.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Sometimes I overlook just how young some of these prospects are. Especially when it feels like we've been talking about them for a long time.
  16. Bellhorn04
    The FanGraphs dollar values are just a historical calculation of the average cost per WAR of all free agent players. The reason they seem so inflated is basically that there have been so many free agent busts.
  17. Bellhorn04
    I'm pretty sure owners aren't going to reduce prices - certainly not when enough fans are willing to pay the current prices. What fans really have to watch out for is owners who not only won't reduce prices, but are willing to put a crappy team on the field for those prices. That's the real issue this offseason - are the owners all of a sudden much smarter about the inflated cost of free agents, or are they all of a sudden much smarter about how to put more profits in their pockets?
  18. Bellhorn04
    You're right, all these types of options and clauses would seem to be subject to manipulation by one party or the other.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Well, regardless of who's at fault for the agreement, I can't see how this offseason has been a good one for baseball. It's not just players that are frustrated, it's fans as well. (Well, maybe not Yankees fans, since everything has been going right for them.)
  20. Bellhorn04
    Well, one thing we do have to accept, I think, is that it's the entertainment business, and it's nothing without top-flight talent. If you remove Mookie Betts from the Red Sox they become a much less entertaining team and a much less successful team, and they might be a team nobody wants to watch by about July. That ain't good for business. And we're talking about a business that generated $434 million in revenue in 2017 and has a current market value of $2.7 billion. All things considered Mookie is a very valuable individual to this business. They need him. At the same time, he needs them too, to make this kind of money. It's an interdependent relationship.
  21. Bellhorn04
    But a lot of the grumbling seems to be that a number of small market teams are not making any effort at all to improve this offseason. They're just pocketing the revenue-sharing money. Maybe, as some have suggested, there need to be some penalties at the other end of the spectrum, to establish some payroll minimums.
  22. Bellhorn04
    What I mean is players becoming super-conscious of their numbers because of the incentive clauses, and trying to protect them. It's sort of a 'conflict of interest' situation, because the player is thinking about their individual numbers rather than the team. It already happens to a certain degree, I imagine, but incentive clauses could make it worse. Maybe this makes me cynical, but we're potentially talking about a lot of money being involved in a player OPS'ing .800 instead of .795, or whatever the incentive clause says.
  23. Bellhorn04
    What you may actually be pointing out, though, is that this was a bad agreement for everyone.
  24. Bellhorn04
    I'm not sure it's an appropriate comparison, since there's only one major league baseball organization, unless you consider moving to Japan one of the options. There's not exactly the kind of freedom of movement you have as an accountant or lawyer or doctor or whatever.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, I can see where incentive clauses could be a problem for players and managers as well. Aside from pressure, you could also run into situations where a player wants to sit out a game against a pitcher he struggles against so his OPS doesn't go down or something like that.
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