For this thread, i shall operate under the assumption that the Red Sox allow all four of their major Free Agents go with a focus towards making out like bandits in the draft. This is highly unlikely as there's a very significant chance that two of Salty/Drew/Napoli stay, but let's ignore this for a minute and see what kind of roster could the Red Sox build in 2014 without signing any of their own FA's or any QO'd FA.
Roster as it stands:
C-Lavarnway
1B-Carp
2B-Pedroia
SS-XB
3B-WMB
OF-Nava/JBJ/Victorino
DH-Ortiz
Bench:
Gomes
Berry
Ross
Pitchers:
SP: Lester/Buchholz/Lackey/Peavy/Doubront/Dempster
RP: Koji/Taz/Breslow/Workman/Bailey/Miller
As of right now, the Red Sox need a 1B/OF to platoon with Carp, a regular catcher, an ultility player, and pitchers to round out the bullpen.
What i would do:
Sign 1B/OF Mike Morse to a 1-year pillow contract to rebuild his value after a disastrous 2013.
Sign C Carlos Ruiz to a 2/20 contract with a $10 million team option for a third year with a 1 million buyout.
Sign Brian Wilson to a 2/26 contract with a vesting option based on appearances for a third year at 14 million.
Sign Rajai Davis to 2/10 contract.
Sign John Macdonald to a 2/4 contract.
Depth chart:
C-Ruiz/Ross
1B-Carp/Morse platoon
2B- Pedroia/MacDonald
SS-XB/Macdonald
3B-WMB/XB/MacDonald
OF-Nava/JBJ/Gomes/Victorino/Morse/Carp/Davis
DH-Ortiz
Bench: Ross/Morse/Davis/MacDonald
Pitchers:
SP: Lester/Buchholz/Lackey/Peavy/Doubront
RP:Koji/Wilson/Breslow/Taz/Dempster/Miller
Note: The only reason i would start Workman in the minors is because the Sox view him as a starter long term, and it would be a good idea to let him get regular rotation turns until someone inevitably goes down. I also get that Dempster would be one expensive mop-up guy, but these pitching "surplus" situations always sort themselves out.
The lineup would be:
Vs R:
Victorino
XB
Pedroia
Ortiz
Carp
Nava
WMB
JBJ
Ruiz
Vs L:
Victorino
XB
Pedroia
Ortiz
Gomes
Morse
WMB
Ruiz
Davis
Why it would work:
Pitching: The Red Sox still have stellar pitching, with Buchholz avoiding any major injuries, and Lester avoiding any major mid-season ruts. Lackey regresses a bit, but the presence of Peavy helps balance the rotation out. The Sox turn Wilson into their closer, with Koji becoming relief ace, allowing the Red Sox BP to work out of almost any situation. That, combined with a top-5 rotation, allows the Sox to steamroll the AL East once again.
Offense: The offense obviously regresses, but with steps forward from JBJ and XB, the offense ends up in top-three territory again, with both platoons working and the lineup once again churning out quality AB after quality AB.
Why it wouldn't work:
Pitching: Buchholz and Peavy both go down with significant injury, and the rotation can't provide the same quality it did in 2013.
Offense: Carp and Nava regress, WMB continues his sophomore slump and Morse goes down for significant time with an injury, and the infield corners become a little house of horrors for the Sox all season long.
The point of the exercise is to show that even in the worst case scenario, the Sox would still put out a quality team in 2014 with a couple signings without having to break the bank.
I will take the analysis a little further using available data projections for all players of this "fantasy" team.