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Everything posted by User Name

  1. He has an Aventador too. The Range Rover is for the purposes of installing a massive sound system, because this place is f***ing retarded.
  2. Yes. As i posted in another thread, the Sox have bashed their way to the POs before, and they can do it again. Look at the Angels last year after Richards went down. They had relievers starting games .every five days at one point, but that offense couldn't be contained.
  3. Big Papi's in the best shape of his life. He's old, but he's not fat anymore. I'll bet on favor from the BABIP Gods and bite.
  4. Check out the league average OPS and then check out the Sox' projected OPS. They have bashed their way to the POs before (as have the Yanks) and they can do it again.
  5. Because they have "Red Sox glasses". Whatever the hell those are.
  6. I'd take one and two, but i'm not dumb enough to take three. Give me another option.
  7. 1) I explained my reasoning in the initial post, and specifically stated i would take the optimistic side of the predictions whenever possible, but also, on the logical side, i expect that a combination of better D (again, an XB improvement needed) excellent catching and emphasis on dominance of the lower third of the strike zone will help the rotation's overall numbers. 2) Health. 3) Yes, i am not big on Castillo's ability to hit just yet.
  8. Also, note that my prediction hinges heavily on 170 IP of better-than-league average ERA from Henry Owens and a mid-season acquisition. Not trying to shy away from my projections, but rather explaining my expectations.
  9. When you wanna avoid controversy the best thing you do is not try to rile up the other party. Food for thought.
  10. .256 BABIP, which is incredibly low. Part of that is the shift, but with better table-setters this year, teams will be less inclined to shift on him, which is what happened in 2013. Having Hanley behind him won't hurt either.
  11. I'm a f***ing juggernaut. I don't lose. I'm also fairly confident that Ortiz hits 30+. A lot more than Pedroia hitting 10, honestly.
  12. 2014 average AL OPS: .706 2014 average NL OPS: .694 The "big difference" equates to .012 percentage points in OPS. The numbers aren't skewed at all.
  13. I'm taking all sig bets. If both don't happen, you win. If both happen, i win. One and one, it's a tie, and we choose each other's sigs for a month.
  14. I told Bellhorn i was going to bite on predictions for the current Red Sox rotation, and i here i am. But instead of focusing solely on the starting rotation, i will have a crack at projecting the entire team as currently constructed. The methodology i used consisted of looking at career statistics and and currently available projection systems. To make it a bit more interesting, i decided to embrace my "positive" persona and project using mostly best-case scenarios (return from injury, previous FIP marks, etc) while attempting to remain as objective as possible. Side-note: None of these numbers were pulled out of thin air, i simply put a bit more weight into career numbers and advanced (read, park-neutral) effects in order to predict the best possible, yet still likely outcome for the 2015 Boston Red Sox, in both the offensive and pitching aspects of the game. I am also willing to make a sig bet that the cumulative rotation ERA is, at the very least, league average if not slightly better for 2015. Just to show that i somewhat trust (you can never truly trust projection, or anything for that matter in baseball) the system i used to arrive at my conclusions: Rick Porcello: 3.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 150+ K, 202 IP. Wade Miley: 3.77 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 175+ K, 201 IP. Justin Masterson: 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 185+ K, 190 IP Clay Buchholz: 4.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 120 K, 150 IP. Joe Kelly: 4.10 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 100 K, 130 IP. Henry Owens: 3.54 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 80 K, 90 IP Mid-season acquisition: 3.20 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 80 IP, 82 K Offense: CF Mookie Betts: 287/360/430, 13 HR, 32 2B, 30 steals, 90 R, 62 RBI. 2B Dustin Pedroia: .290/360/430,12 HR, 35 2B, 20 steals, 80 R,70 RBI DH David Ortiz: 280/370/500, 33 HR, 40 2B, 1 steal (lol), 80 R, 110 RBI LF Hanley Ramirez: 300/380/470, 25 HR, 35 2B, 15 steals, 80 R, 105 RBI 3B Pablo Sandoval: .290/340/430, 15 HR, 30 2B, 0 steals, 65 R, 80 RBI 1B- Mike Napoli: .255/355/440, 23 HR, 35 2B, 0 steals, 70 R, 82 RBI RF- Shane Victorino: 270/330/405, 7 HR, 20 2B, 10 steals, 40 R, 44 RBI SS- Xander Bogaerts: 275/340/430 15 HR, 30 2B, 5 steals, 50 R, 60 RBI C- Christian Vasquez: 245/310/380, 5 HR, 15 2B, 0 steals, 35 R, 30 RBI Bench: Ryan Hanigan: 240/330/360, 2 HR, 10 2B, 0 steals, 18 R, 25 RBI Brock Holt: .270/320/370, 4 HR, 13 2B, 8 SB. 25 R, 20 RBI Daniel Nava: .270/350/400, 5 HR, 25 2B, 0 SB, Allen Craig:.270/330/410, 12 HR, 25 2B, 50 R, 65 RBI Bullpen: CL-Koji Uehara: 2.20 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 80K, 65 IP, 35 SV SU1-Junichi Tazawa: 2.95 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 70 K, 72 IP, 25 Holds SU2-Edward Mujica: 3.75 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 47 K, 62 IP, 18 Holds MRP-Tommy Layne: 3.15 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 30 K, 42 IP MRP-Robbie Ross Jr: 4.05 ERA, 1. 35 WHIP, 28 K, 38 IP MRP-Alexi Ogando: 3.40 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 42 K, 45 IP LRP- Brandon Workman: 4.12 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 38, 115 IP Notes: 1) I believe Castillo will start the season in AAA and will be brought up later in the year when Victorino inevitably gets hurt, thus no projection (even though he's almost impossible to project right now either way due to SSS) for what i assume will be limited time. 2) Nava/Craig are a platoon at RF after Victorino inevitably gets hurt, with Craig also getting some time at 1B/DH to spell Napoli/Papi against lefties. 3) The BP assignments are for how i envision them coming out of SP, not necessarily how it will shake out in-season particularly given Mujica's notorious streakiness. 4) I don't buy that Miley's "just an innings eater" xFIP (which accounts for HR issues) very much likes his work, and Fenway's a lot less of a HR park than it used to be, especially with decreased offensive numbers. 5) Regarding SP, my only real leap-of-faith here in current talent is Masterson, but he has always underperformed his FIP and i expect that a better defensive unit (banking on an improvement from XB here) will help the entire squad play up to its FIP instead of down. I am also expecting Henry Owens to make his debut in mid-season and be a little better than league average. I am also expecting a significant in-season acquisition to put up pretty good numbers during the stretch run.
  15. Yet more credence to the idea that Miley's main problem stems from Chase Field's homer-inflating environment. Whether Jacko in particular wants to believe it or not, the facts are there.
  16. I've got my umbrella handy, and i don't like basements. Again, it's too f***ing hot here, and i never, ever wanna deal with snow again. Michigan ruined it for me.
  17. In all fairness, you SHOULD be in a psych ward.
  18. We don't have basements in our houses here. First off, houses here are made of cinder blocks because the year-long humidity f***s wood up, and because of the whole constant hurricane warning thing. Also, it's too f***ing hot. I suggest you go upstairs and tell your mom those are reasons why she should let you move to your dad's entertainment room up in the main house instead of living next to the laundry machine.
  19. Two takeaways: I need my umbrella since the sky is falling per Jacko and his usual nonsense, and iortiz thinks like a Yankees fan, which explains a lot of stuff. A LOT.
  20. Cole Hamels has a 4.54 ERA and 1.32 WHIP against the AL in over 180 IP. Food for thought.
  21. Coverture: Coverture (sometimes spelled couverture) was a legal doctrine whereby, upon marriage, a woman's legal rights and obligations were subsumed by those of her husband, in accordance with the wife's legal status of feme covert. An unmarried woman, a feme sole, had the right to own property and make contracts in her own name. On a baseball-related note: With Owens so close to being MLB ready, and the existence of other high-upside assets, saying that the Sox are not in position have a youth movement at SP is pretty silly. We get it, you guys don't like anything the FO does, but at least try to be logical about it.
  22. A very impostant statement, and key to stop the "airing of grievances" around here.
  23. Yeah, that's what Max Scherzer said too. Then the Tigers offered him 144 mill, he said no, and got his payday from the Nationals. The hilarious thing is how selective some people are when taking things players, coaches or FO-types say at face value.
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