Paying for past performance is stupid, and Papelbon is at the twilight of his career. He was overpaid when he signed the contract, and he was exiting his prime years, and he's overpaid now because he's entering sudden decline territory and making ace closer money when he's a mid-tier guy. He was lights-out at the beginning of his career, borderline elite when he lost his splitter, and just very good- more than decent the last couple of years. I just don't get the adoration for Papelbon. He's been durable (that has value, ask Joaquin Benoit), but that's not worth top of the market money. This discussion is stupid. In synthesis: He's still good, but he's overpaid and I'd take both Kimbrel and Carson Smith over him in a flash, and if you don't, you need a reality check.