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Spitball

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Everything posted by Spitball

  1. I'm okay with Valentine. He isn't my first choice, but I don't really have a clear first place choice. I wasn't real happy when the Sox hired Francona. He had a .440 winning percentage and it appeared he was more of a ploy to convince Curt Schilling to accept a trade to Boston. At least Valentine has a winning percentage (.510) as manager.
  2. Catcher Ramon Hernandez just might be a nice signing. I know he put up his stats in Cincinnati the last two years, but his offense has been better than what the Sox have been getting. Plus, his defense has been very good.
  3. Are you for real? I asked you for proof of the Mets finacial woes!? Haha! That is funny. I guess I had been living under a rock and kindly asked you to enlighten me. Actually, we were discussing trade deadline. I was unhappy they didn't get starting pitching and you kept harping on Beltran. I pointed out that you had claimed over and over again that acquiring Beltran would only require a team to be willing to take on his entire salary. http://www.talksox.com/forum/talk-sox-forum/15414-2011-trade-deadline-thread-180.html
  4. Of course we believe Youkilis will bounce back from injuries and decline, but that is not the way the trade market usually works. Starting pitchers are hard to develop and expensive to sign. Youkilis is one of my favorite players, but I think his trade value, due to age/injuries/dropping OPS, is at its lowest right now. Do I think he will bounce back? I think so but would not expect another team to gamble on my faith in Red Sox players.
  5. If Joe Saunders is non-tendered by Arizona and signed by the Angels, that might change the Angels' rotation situation. I would still doubt they would be willing to gamble on Youk's health and age.
  6. Trout is not going anywhere, especially as a throw in on a 33 year-old. And for that matter, the Angels have options at third base that won't include trading their third best starting pitcher. They have other trading chips from depth like Bourjos or Trumbo (who is injured but talented/promising/inexpensive). I believe they'd rather have Arimis Rameriz and Santanta than Youkilis and no Santana.
  7. Motte is nearly 30 years old and wasn't promoted to closer until the end of the year. There are lots of guys throwing nearly 100 mph who are not closers.
  8. Papelbon was worth only two or three wins above replacement value. The Phillies seriously overpaid, and I am relieved the Sox did not try to match that offer. It is a positive step in the right direction. The Cardinals won the World Series with basically a closer by committee that combined to make far less than Papelbon made last year. Why overpay for a closer? The Red Sox finally are making smart economic/baseball moves. Currently, they can't afford to just throw a bucket of money at a 30-something player and hope he will play at his current level for the duration of his overpriced contract.
  9. Kaat compares pretty well with recently inducted Bert Blyleven.
  10. Just some red flag thoughts. Cahill has pitched about a run and a half better at home (pitchers' park) than on the road in his career. At Fenway, he has been hit with a .985 OPS. At Yankee Stadium, he has given up an OPS of 1.237.
  11. I believe Edinson Volquez is done in Cincinnati. He has had trouble finding the plate since TJ surgery, but he still strikes out a lot of batters and has a high ceiling.
  12. Because Ellsbury is surely gone in two years, and Lincecum is too big a long term gamble for what he will command. Two years is a perfect time frame for a dominant pitcher who will surely decline beyond that period of time. In that time, the Sox can develop their own starting pitchers.
  13. We are talkig about two years.
  14. The Sox have offense/outfielders. They have a woefully scary starting staff. I see a need being filled by a surplus coming off a career year.
  15. It comes down to two years. Ellsbury will be a free agent in two years. Lincecum will be a free agent in two years. Both seem inclined to test the market when their two years are up. The Giants are desperate for offense and need a center fielder. The Red Sox need starting pitching to compete in the AL East. Given two years with Lincecum, the Sox could regroup and develop their lower level starters. They have Reddick and Kalish. With the Red Sox infield offense, they can cover any weaknesses that might develop in the outfield in the next two years. Also, competent outfielders are easier to cover than competetive starting pitchers. Lincecum might not have the body for long term, but he surely has enough for two years. I believe he will make about what Bronson Arroyo will make over the next two years. Ellsbury may have just had his career year as his minor league power numbers are nowhere near last year's power numbers. I say roll the dice to improve the pitching.
  16. Maybe the Giants would trade Lincecum: http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/San-Francisco-Giants-Tim-Lincecum-will-team-trade-ace-110311
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