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iortiz

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Everything posted by iortiz

  1. Weeks? Geez I thought it was a minor thing. He has already spent a couple in the IL, hasn’t he?
  2. I think it is not always a bad idea give up top prospects when you are in a legit position to win it all. We have won four rings and we have given top prospects in the process. They haven’t done that and they never have won a single ring. Also the pressure in large market teams is completely different. The Rays can spend another 100 years without winning and nobody will bother.
  3. I guess the Rays have the pieces to land both. Glasnow will rejoin them late in the season as well. Maybe their owner is saying is time to push the money button now.
  4. Does anybody know when is Arroyo going to come back?
  5. Wonder what the Cubs are asking.
  6. And is not even close lol
  7. LOL I meant in pitcher's career. Well played, MVP. As I said, we have had our issues in the past but I think we have moved on. I guess we have probably disagreed more than agreed but I respect you. Yes, you are a great poster.
  8. In that year, yes. Not necessary in your career.
  9. Where does fangraphs ranks Orel Hershiser's career fWAR?
  10. Well, I just need to look at career ERAs to figure out whether a pitcher was good or not. Most of the times I think ERA will tell me the true. That's kind of my point. Said that, yes, using and contrast several stats help you to understand bit more specially in samples which are not large.
  11. But the chart is different. His career fWAR ranks where fangraphs calls you Solid Player. This pedigree is the 5th quality level out of 7 levels in that chart. To me is something between average and below average.
  12. To be fair his career ERA is 4.4, but yeah maybe he's not sure he can play at the MLB level or maybe his agent says that's what he is hearing from MLB teams.
  13. mmm in large samples it is pretty decent. As dga said the flaws in ERA should tend to balance out over a long career. You can't be unlucky/lucky or whatever for a long period of time. All-in-all Very Good Pitchers hold very good ERAs most of the times. Which stat do you like to rate pitchers? WAR? it has its issues too. RPE? they have their issues too. There's not single perfect stat. I would bet you that most of those ver good pitchers you bring based on whatever stat you like hold very good ERAs. I'm not saying you are, but people in baseball sometimes try to complicate things a bit to sound smarter. Stats are great but they will never tell you whole story with 100% of accuracy.
  14. LOL! I was very high on Richards starting the season. He started shaky but then he right the ship for a while, but then he sucked again with some ups. Problem with Richards is his inconsistency in his command. He can pitch 3 good innings then put runners on base and give up bombs.
  15. You are putting him in a top tier in terms of WAR, aren't you? or What? do you have more tiers? lol
  16. Yeah it is surprising. There's only two options. He is asking way more of what his recent value says or GMs don't see anything left in that tank.
  17. Speaking for myself I think some managers asked him to go to the BP while making RP money and see what is left in that tank. Probably he didn't want to accept the role; after all he is already a millionaire and won CY.
  18. mmm not sure what yo mean with goalpost but it was a honest answer. Probably it is what is happening. Probably he is trying to sell himself higher. I don't blame him, but I don't blame GMs for not buying either.
  19. Moon, putting Porcello in the same tier of very good & HOF pitchers in terms of WAR (for instance) doesn't make sense at all, reason why your analysis is flawed and out of context to start off. FG & BR built several levels with different thresholds in every stat in order to differentiate pedigrees. In almost every stat based on those charts, he ranks between average and below average in his career. Both sources can't be wrong of what they see in Porcello. Said that, sure, you can do all the the analysis you want and believe whatever you want, but your arguments are way different of what 2 of the most respectable baseball sources see in Porcello (Between Average and Below Average)—based on their charts.
  20. Probably he is trying to sell that he is still a good pitcher (No. 3), but most managers think he is nothing but a No. 5 these days at best. Last year he was destroyed in the NL. The year before that he was destroyed in Boston.
  21. LOL as always you have better and easier answers than me compadre. Yeah, some 31 yo players are still in their prime but he looks like he is done.
  22. The issue moon is that FG and BR don’t use your scale in their charts. This is why your analysis is wrong and flawed. In FG for instance, they have 7 levels in every chart for each stat in order to rate a player. Also, those levels and thresholds change depending on the stat. Said that, this is why your analysis don’t apply to rate players. Take a look at the charts.
  23. It was my bad. The 1.9 bWAR represents his average bWAR through 162 games, BBR say “This is an attempt to condense each pitcher's career into a single season's worth of stats. With batters this is easy. Just take their career games played and divide by 162 and then divide their career totals by that factor. For pitchers, this is more difficult. What we have done is treat a pitcher season as having Games Pitched + Games Started = 68 as a single-season. So we normalize everything, so a pitcher has Games + Games Started = 68. So an average season is 34 starts or 68 relief appearances” OTOH if you divide his 20.1 bWAR/11.4 years he averages 1.7 bWAR/year. In any case he is a career Reserve Level Pitcher based on bWAR— below average.
  24. I’m just pointing out what FG and BBR call a pitcher something between average and below average based on Porcello’s career numbers.
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