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Palodios

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Everything posted by Palodios

  1. Palodios
    At that point in the draft, the chances of the player turning into a quality piece is very high. It is roughly a 50/50 chance, which seems to be better odds than of the Red Sox signing an expensive player to a long term contract and them turning into a quality piece. That being said, I'm mostly being bitter and facetious.
  2. Palodios
    The Red Sox may have the opportunity to play spoiler for the Yankees at the end of the year. That could be a fun thing to watch-- seeing the Red Sox play like it actually matters.
  3. Palodios
    The Padres won last night too, so atleast we didn't lost ground in the draft.
  4. Palodios
    Do you really think he had anything to do with the Lackey or Crawford signings? The Red Sox had done well up until three years ago... the point at which they supposedly stopped listening to him.
  5. Palodios
    Wouldn't that be hilarious? Epstein leaves the team after completely sinking the ship with bloated contracts, and after Ben the Hero fixes his mistakes, Epstein is brought back in to screw things up again.
  6. Palodios
    This is a very interesting topic. Are you just throwing it against the wall? I'm sure you must know that there is no way that the Yankees go into a rebuilding mode. The most likely scenario that I see is that the Yankees will spend millions on some big free agents, make some big trades that completely rip off the other team, and then coast for most of the season in 2013 to a 95 win season. You know, what they seem to do every year.
  7. Palodios
    Come on guys, just a few more losses and you can catch the Guardians for the #5 draft pick.
  8. Palodios
    DH doesn't work like that. You're looking at small sample sizes for offensive numbers. Ciriaco will come down to earth, and Iggy will probably hit around .200. Fielding percentage is a terrible way to look at defense, especially when looking at small sample sizes.
  9. Palodios
    Let's say that some team is stupid enough to pay him 100M. Even so, by staying with the Red Sox an extra year, Ellsbury could possibly double that 100M over the course of his career. If Ellsbury takes the two years here, re-establishes value, he'll make 20 million in 2014, and then pull in a significantly larger contract at around 150-180 million for the rest of his career-- well beyond the 100 million he would otherwise make in 2014. Teams WILL give Ellsbury the annual value in 2014, but the length of contract is going to be the concern. 4-5 years is going to be the max anyone gives, and sure, maybe 5/20 is a possibility, but then what? He'll be a 35 year old, and his most consistent tool-- speed-- will be fading, who probably turned into a horrible contract the first time around. There are no absolutely no guarantees that he'll get another big contract at the end of 2018. There is also the matter that he will get a guarantee on 2014 if he has a poor 2013.
  10. Palodios
    I don't think you understand what I'm proposing here. The Red Sox would be buying out exactly one year of free agency with a 2/30 offer, paying Ellsbury's market value $20 million for the second year. This kind of deal would be meant as an opportunity for him to establish value in a park where he knows he can mash, in an environment where he will get more publicity than anywhere else. A 3/48 contract from another team would not be in Ellsbury's best interests because he would come back into free agency at 33 years old, and probably won't get the 150+ million dollar contract even if he'd been performing to MVP levels.
  11. Palodios
    I see absolutely no reason why he wouldn't. Ellsbury will make roughly 10 million in 2013 through arbitration. If he gets a big contract, 20 million a year is in the right neighborhood, so 2/30 simply pays for those years. The reality is that teams are going to look at Ellsbury, and see that he hasn't produced big numbers for two consecutive years ever. If Ellsbury goes for the big contract at the end of 2013, the best Ellsbury will see is 60-90 million. GMs are very dumb during free agency, but I seriously doubt any GM will be that dumb.... outside of maybe LA/DC. If Ellsbury performs through 2014 with the Red Sox, he will have the opportunity to make double or potentially triple that. Its a win-win for everyone involved.
  12. Palodios
    Here is the best solution to this problem: Offer Ellsbury a 2/30 deal. It is in his best interest to show teams he can stay healthy, and produce consistent numbers. The 2/30 deal gives him security and the opportunity to prove himself. He'll only be 31 in two years, so he can still get a big contract. It gives the Red Sox an elite player for an extra year, and gives Bradley an extra year to develop. It also gives the Red Sox another opportunity to trade him in 2014 if he has a monster year in 2013 and they know they won't be able to re-sign him.
  13. Palodios
    Valentine is a poor communicator, and it has not helped this team move forward. It is as simple as that. I don't think Valentine is the problem. However, I don't think he is the solution either.
  14. Palodios
    In all fairness, Crawford was on a very poor offensive team, and it seemed almost if he, Longoria, and to a lessor extent Pena carried the team on their backs. That being said, I'm a big advocate of bringing in a bunch of guys on one/two year contracts, and simply re-signing them if they fit.
  15. Palodios
    He's a young player who has spent his entire season focusing on defense. I think he's just going through a learning curve, as many young players do. Let's give him more than 20 games, shall we?
  16. Palodios
    2013 is a bridge year. Why waste prospects futures' when they can be called up at the tail end of 2013?
  17. Palodios
    It looks like the Dodgers are looking desperately for a closer. I wonder if the Red Sox could package Lackey and Bailey together...
  18. Palodios
    I was responding to the assertion that there are no perspective 3-4 hitters in the system.
  19. Palodios
    So that makes Bogaerts.... what exactly?
  20. Palodios
    A New Hope.
  21. Palodios
    Is that true? I heard he was going separately from the team, but I wasn't sure if that implied he was kicked off the team plane.
  22. Palodios
    I don't see David Ortiz leaving. The difference between this season and the past few seasons is that the Red Sox really want him now. Not only that, they really need him. And that's all he's wanted all this team. Give him a 2/24, and call it a day.
  23. Palodios
    Peavy is probably my favorite choice right now. You may not have noticed, but he's been pitching almost like an ace again this year. The White Sox have a 1/20 option for him, if they do excercise it, they'd probably be willing to move him for the right deal.
  24. Palodios
    I know everyone wants the Red Sox to come into 2013 guns blazing, but trading away a high ceiling hitter, and a quality pitching option that could bloom into a cost controlled #3 type is exactly what this organization will look to avoid. There are going to be lots of one year, and two year deals. The guys they give multi-year contracts to won't have red flags.
  25. Palodios
    I think there are better trade candidates. The Phillies seem like they want to hold onto him badly enough that there are better options. I'd sooner make a trade for Peavy, Santana, Lincecum, Floyd, or pick up one of Haren/Sanchez/Marcum, all of those guys are much cheaper options for prospect/money.
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