Yeah some drop off is to be expected, I see his ERA going from 2.87 to around 3.87, and his strikeouts will certainly go down, since about 30 of those are freebie's from other pitchers in the NL, and a lot of NL teams have 7, 8, 9 guys who are pretty terrible, along with AL East being the toughest division. Ether way he should be alright as a No. 4 guy