I don't know if Duran is easy to project either.
'23 828 OPS, 122 wRC+, 2.5 fWAR
'24 834 OPS, 131 wRC+, 6.8 fWAR (additional games played and defensive turnaround)
'25 774 OPS, 111 wRC+, 3.9 fWAR (offense went the wrong direction)
Does the offense get better? Stay like '25? I think the 2.4 fWAR that FanGraphs projects is light, but it's hard to say where he's deriving it from. If the defense takes a step back and the offense stays the same, he has way less value. His sprint speed DECREASED last season. 😶