His problem is he didn't do a teardown in '22.
At the deadline he should have traded Sale and JD as offers were on the table. Xander and Eovaldi were given QO's that offseason and the comp picks would have been higher. A case could be made that he should have sold high on Schreiber too. That puts the rebuild in motion sooner. Hill and Wacha were probably seen as damaged goods and unable to be dealt at the deadline.
At the '23 deadline or sooner, Paxton should have been traded.