@SportingGreenSF
The San Francisco Giants have yet to name a starter for Wednesday’s middle game of the three-game series in Boston, but Daulton Jefferies is among the options for manager Bob Melvin.
I mean, the Sox have done a TERRIBLE job drafting and developing pitchers for a long time. Aside from ERod (who spent much more time being developed by the Orioles TBF), the last successful starter that came up was Clay Buchholz was 2008. The Sox have finally found someone (Bailey) that can maximize the tweeners that they have drafted and traded for. I think there has been solid short term improvement, but we need to see this success over longer than one month and maybe less time spent on the IL too.
The pitching looked pretty good in Mid March, so I don't think my opinion has changed since then. I think we believed there'd be some sort of Bailey bump. I was expecting more out of Bello TBH.
Dalton Rogers has not been a very good draft pick so far. He was really a reliever in college, so I'm unsure why they keep trying to have him start when he's been really bad at it.
@BOSSportsGordo
Garrett Cooper is starting for the Red Sox tonight.
Vaughn Grissom is not, because he has the flu. No word yet as to when he could see the field.
I've heard this draft is very top heavy with talent (first 18 picks or so) and then falls off. They should take best available and then just grab a couple high octane HS arms. Sox have a good track record of taking HS arms: Groome, Ball, Owens, Scherff, Kopech, Buttrey.
It's hard for me to single out which defensive metric I prefer because I never know which one I need for the current argument. However, I've read a lot of arguments against OAA for IFers and that small samples of DRS are extremely skewed. I really don't look at UZR/150 much anymore.
I can say quite certainly that any OF that included both Manny and Wily Mo was going to be s***. That the Sox put Wily Mo in the OF for 154 games is wild in retrospect.
The original argument of "well they had good fielding SS's in 06, but got worse" ignores what happened with the rest of the ballclub at the time.
If you actually look at Statcast, he was in a higher percentile last year for hard hit and barrel %. Hit ball have been harder this year against Cooper.
Average exit velo '23: 87.1
Average exit velo '24: 88.4
The main improvements are chase % and bb %.
The reason they sucked in 2006 was pitching and defense.
Pitchers with an ERA under 4.30 and over 20 innings:
Schilling 3.97/204
Paplebon 0.92/68
Gabbard 3.51/25
19th in fWAR, 25th in ERA (4.83), 14th in xFIP (4.50), 28th in BABIP
30th in DRS, fewest errors committed
Manny -13 DRS
Wily Mo - 8 DRS
Loretta - 7 DRS
Coco Crap - 6 DRS
Youk LF - 5 DRS
Kapler - 4 DRS
Criswell:
'23 AAA 84 Inn, 4.33 xFIP
'23 MLB 33 Inn, 4.54 xFIP
'24 AAA 10 Inn, 4.75 xFIP
'24 MLB 11 Inn, 4.57 xFIP
Seems that the xFIP has been pretty consistent as of late regardless of your concerns over SSS's impact on his current xFIP. I guess he's just a 2.50 ERA guy now? He has never had an ERA under 3.70 outside of the Complex League FFS.