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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. mvp 78
    10.2 bWAR, 49 HR in 471 G pre pumped and jacked 5.1 bWAR, 47 HR in 560 G post pumped and jacked
  2. mvp 78
    20 lbs of muscle.
  3. mvp 78
    Clockwise: Buehler, Masa, Wilyer, Crochet
  4. mvp 78
    xISO uses statcast data (EV, launch angle) to determine probabilities for expected extra base hits. Since Paredes overperforms his xISO, there is an assumption on my part that he is going to fall down to earth with his baseball card numbers and it could get kind of ugly. If he's not a flyball hitter, that Monster is going to turn his HRs into 2B's which will greatly reduce his SLG. For a guy without a lot of extra base hits to begin with, less than Bryan De La Cruz, it's not going to be a big boon for him to move to a stadium like Fenway. Only 26 of his career 72 HR would have been a HR at BAL.
  5. mvp 78
    It's xISO, not ISO.
  6. mvp 78
  7. mvp 78
  8. mvp 78
    Because an MLBer bulking up always works out! Was looking forward to committee talk again...
  9. mvp 78
    You can get xSLG on FanGraphs too, where Paredes is 124 out of 129 qualified hitters in 2024. xISO is just calculated by xSLG - xBA and xBA is also on FanGraphs.
  10. mvp 78
    I wouldn't say it's a need, more like a rabbit hole of worry: 1. Injury Risk (though that stands for most of MLB rotations these days) 2. Closer 3. Catching 4. 3B defense 5. LHB? 6. 1B defense
  11. mvp 78
  12. mvp 78
    That's what 11th percentile means typically. Time to check out Statcast for once rather than talking about Helsley trades.
  13. mvp 78
    It should be settled by the time hitters report IMO
  14. mvp 78
    Catching situation Bad defense at 1B Bad defense at 3B Not enough LHP mashers No viable closer Overall health of everyday lineup and rotation Duran's predictable fall back to earth Anticipated slow starts for prospect callups Masataka Yoshida's impact on the 26 man roster Was Cora a one hit wonder in 2018?
  15. mvp 78
    Yup. I'm not sure if they actually pull the trigger. I think the beat writers are getting antsy now that pitchers and catchers are reporting tomorrow.
  16. mvp 78
    Per offensive bWAR this is how Bregman would have stacked up on the BOS roster the past few years: 24 - 2nd 23 - 1st 22 - 2nd 🫠
  17. mvp 78
    I'm not going to get worked up over hypothetical bad trades until one actually happens. Plan 1: Sign Bregman to a 3-4 year deal Plan 2: Trade low level prospect(s) for Arrenado's full contract Plan 3: Shrug and say "at least we tried" to the fans
  18. mvp 78
    Attaching Casas for them to take Yoshida is fricking stupid.
  19. mvp 78
    He's been an 800 OPS hitter every year except for '21 and '24. If he had a normal bb rate last season, he would have been there again.
  20. mvp 78
    His hard hit rate was up, but his bb rate was the lowest of his career. He was selling out for power in a contract year and the numbers barely moved a blip IMO. His OBP crashed out by 50 points and his OPS was an all time low. If you look at his spray charts, he only had success as a pull hitter. OR it's just one season and the numbers can be fluky year to year... There isn't a great trend with him though.
  21. mvp 78
    Crawford is the odd man out pending a ST injury to one of the starting 5 which is not unlikely.
  22. mvp 78
    I was showing you the xISO and xSLG for a guy with no power that you claim has power. Duh.
  23. mvp 78
    Impossible? No. Improbable? Yes and only because of the 300k and OPS number reached. He k'd 191 times in 2017 at a 34% rate and carried a 765 OPS. For another 100 outs, he'd have to have an insane BABIP and SLG to be above 750 with 300K.
  24. mvp 78
    Strong disagree.
  25. mvp 78
    I underlined the part about them making bad decisions and wrong turns while on a path of eventually succeeding. That's what I believe they are trying to do.
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