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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. mvp 78
    WAR is still a counting stat and Duran led all Sox in PA's. If you go by bWAR, Rafaela has more WAR with over 100 fewer PA's.
  2. mvp 78
    When we all play fantasy CBO, we all value the players differently. Funny how that works.
  3. mvp 78
    I think he shouldn't be ranked that high. Dude didn't throw 40 innings and was barely pitching 3 innings per start when he was out there. Had blister issues and a crazy walk rate. Bullpen arm IMO.
  4. mvp 78
    It just comes down to them playing about the same number of total games played TBH. They really aren't similar hitters. Yandy's OPS+ is about 30 points higher, his bb rate is like twice as high and he has like 50% more career HR's than Verdugo. The math of the similarity scores just produces weird results.
  5. mvp 78
    Helps that it's skewed by him playing out of his mind last season. Over half of his career fWAR is from 2024. Will he be that good again? Hard to say. If his offensive numbers don't bounce back, his WAR won't get to that 3 year average ever again.
  6. mvp 78
    They'll get a good return for him. Hard to say what the Sox would give up. They reportedly had interest.
  7. mvp 78
    Not for Hamilton, but I wouldn't trade Witherspoon for him. Hamilton and one of Sandlin/Clarke/Valera? Sure. Yandy for Justin Gonzales? I'd think about it. My personal rankings are also different. I wouldn't trade Fajardo/Godbout/Eyanson/Phillips in a deal for Yandy.
  8. mvp 78
    25: 31 DRS, 11 OAA, 116 errors 24: 49 DRS, -18 OAA, 115 errors 23: -20 DRS, -51 OAA, 102 errors Better than 23 when they had Kiké at SS, probably! Better than 24? Not so sure! Seems like it's close enough to be about the same. IDK. Maybe it's a big improvement if we just ignore DRS, but I honestly hear more people state DRS throughout the season than OAA.
  9. mvp 78
  10. mvp 78
    Anthony - extended Rafaela - extended Duran/Abreu - cheap and under control I don't see them going large on any position player TBH. If Freeman was on the market and 4 years younger, you do it, but only for a guy like that.
  11. mvp 78
    You know it's the offseason when you start seeing things like this discussed. 😎🔫
  12. mvp 78
    Casas was terrible at 1b. Romy was really bad early on (was injured because of it), but became playable over time. Toro was bad IMO. Lowe was capable. If you have a bad 1b, it really brings down the IF.
  13. mvp 78
    LOL no. One year for a 1B/DH like Yandy isn't fetching a top 100 guy. If Brezzz trades Witherspoon for Yandy one for one, he should be fired on the spot.
  14. mvp 78
    And Duran isn't a guy that gets a great jump on the ball. He's bad at reading the ball and needs his athleticism to catch up to the ball. He's not a good OFer. His speed in LF skews the metrics. The metrics are what they are. We don't have anything better right now. I've read that some people use OAA for OFers and DRS for IFers. IDK. 2025 in LF: DRS 11 OAA -3 (dinged by LF wall with formula)
  15. mvp 78
    At times it was ok, at times it was not good. Behind the plate, it was much better. 1b was on and off a train wreck. Story was average at best. Bregman was average. 2b felt like 1b to me. Duran was worse than last season. Rafaela was great in CF but stunk at 2b. Anthony was good. Abreu missed a lot of time which made the defense worse. Sure, you didn't have the bad version of Connor Wong or Enmanuel Valdez/Rafael Devers out there, but you can't convince me that Romy is an average defender no matter what the metrics say.
  16. mvp 78
    That's all I'm saying. If they want to make that next step from playoff team to WS winner, they need to tighten that up. Go from 30th in errors to 15th or whatever. Just don't be SO boneheaded. I've seen at other places people say "well, they only get errors because they are just so dang athletic and get to balls that no other players would get to." It's just not the case. Duran gets to those balls and if it doinks off of him, it's NOT called an error. He doesn't even get called for an error on 80% catch balls that just drop right next to him. What they are getting errors on are just the normal plays where they throw the ball away or just goof up so bad that the scorer needs to call it an E. Even Merloni has said on the broadcast that they barely call errors anymore, but somehow the Sox are getting them in droves.
  17. mvp 78
    The Yankees are a terrible fundamental team. The Dodgers famously wanted to play them last WS because of it.
  18. mvp 78
    I've said all season that you can't play bad baseball and expect to win in the postseason. I've talked about the issues with errors long before now. I don't think it's the only thing to go by, but you can't hand wave it away and say "well, the METRICS say they were good."
  19. mvp 78
    852 vs RHP, 600 vs LHP Maybe he should have been a platooned more, I agree. Hard to have Abreu AND Duran in the same lineup with those splits.
  20. mvp 78
    Sandlin would definitely get picked based on his stuff. Compare his numbers to Slaten's.
  21. mvp 78
    Duran also led the team in PA's by 42. Third highest was 109 behind him. Fourth highest was 200 behind him. He had a worse OBP than 5 guys with 200+ PA's. There were 6 guys with better OPS's with 200+ PA's.
  22. mvp 78
    Teams aren't going to want to load up on Rule 5 guys prior to the draft.
  23. mvp 78
    I would have traded him last offseason. Sox didn't want to.
  24. mvp 78
    The trades could look better down the line, but they set the 2025 Sox back. Maybe the 2026 Sox too. Hard to say right now.
  25. mvp 78
    Narvaez great. Rafaela great. Abreu very good. I don't know why the metrics keep giving Duran such high marks. If you just look at the metrics, you'd think he's a great LFer. If you watch him play, you wouldn't trust him with a flyball to clinch a WS win. He has said that he doesn't want the ball hit to him during the game. Hamilton is also seen as a plus plus defender, but only plays parttime. Story has taken a huge step back in his defense and is now average to below average. Breggie is about average. Wong had a better than expected season. Romy was really rough at the beginning when playing 1b, but got a little better. Casas is awful. Rafaela should have his cleats in the grass only. Overall, I'm not worried about Story's defense, but it would be better at 2b. I think they'd be better off with Mayer at SS and Story at 2b. Find a solid 1b that can pick it a little, unlike the schlubs they threw over there in the beginning of the year. I'd trade Duran because he is just untrustworthy out there. An OF defense of Anthony/Rafaela/Abreu is one of the best in the league. I would NEVER play Rafaela anywhere but CF.
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