https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-economic-impact-of-yesterdays-cba-proposals/
In 2021, teams spent roughly $3.842 billion on player salaries, per Spotrac. Minimum salaries accounted for roughly $289 million of that, or 7.5% of the total outlay.
On the other hand, those players accounted for roughly 47% of the service time accrued in 2021. That’s not quite the same as games played – you accrue service time while on the injured list or while on the 26-man roster but not appearing in games – but the player pool skews heavily towards pre-arbitration players no matter how you slice it. 58% of all players to appear on a 26-man roster in 2021 haven’t yet reached arbitration.
I'm surprised the % of players on minimum salary is that high, but it makes sense.
But now that the two sides have common ground on how they’ll address this part of compensation, a solution strikes me as likely. This part of the argument is over how much more money pre-arb players should get — and the disagreement is roughly $150 million, or a bit over 1% of league revenues. That sounds like a bridgeable gap.
If the sides can reach an agreement here — not a given, but something I’m optimistic about — that’s one item crossed off the list. All that remains is the competitive balance tax, changes to the draft, restrictions on tanking, a new playoff structure, a proposed international draft… well, lots of things remain. But at least a little bit, Tuesday’s meeting moved one thing to the “likely to be resolved” side of the ledger.