mvp 78

Steamer 0.8 ZiPS 1.0 MViPS 0.5

ZiPS 2021 Sox vs Actual C: 2.6 - 1.3 1B: 1.1 - 1.6 2B: 1.0 - 4.7 (6th best in MLB) 3B: 3.2 - 4.7 (5th best) SS: 4.2 - 5.2 (5th best) RF: 1.4 - 1.8 CF: 2.2 - 5.2 (5th best) LF: 1.4 - 2.4 DH: 2.1 - 4.3 (2nd best) Eovaldi: 2.1 - 5.6 Houck: 0.8 - 1.8 ERod: 2.6 - 3.8 Pivetta: 0.9 - 2.1 Sale: 2.6 - 0.8 RP: 2.9 - 4.6 So did every player play out of his mind except for Sale, Plawecki and Vaz? Or is ZiPS just not a great predictor?

What gives you the right to inject semantics here?!?!?

Cecil Cooper? I feel like he is always massively underappreciated.

Wait... If the Mariner's win 2 WS, you'll just give up and move on to something else?

The article stated that the Yankees had highly variable results due to injury.

San Diego Padres, Colorado Rockies, Texas Rangers, Tampa Bay Rays, and Milwaukee Brewers have all played in the Series but have never won it. SEA 1977 (no playoff appearances in last 20 years) 20th in 2021 attendance (2004 was the last time they were top 10 in attendance) SDP 1967 (3 playoff losses last 20 years) 3rd in 2021 attendance COL 1993 (1 WS loss and 3 playoff losses last 20 years) 7th in 2021 attendance TEX 1961 (2 WS losses and 3 playoff losses last 20 years) 5th in 2021 attendance TBR 1998 (2 WS losses and 5 playoff losses last 20 years) 28th in 2021 attendance (will never have good attendance at the Trop) MIL 1969 (6 playoff losses in last 20 years) 10th in 2021 attendance It's hard to say the Mariners fans are even "long suffering" if they can't even bother to go to a game. Would Rangers fans be considered the most hard up (high attendance and nothing to show for it)?

If they lose, how does that change the 2004 offseason? Do they re-sign Lowe and Pedro?

The Dodgers and Astros are always at the top of these rankings. I think the problem is that the A's haven't been to a World Series since 1990 and the Rangers and Mariners have never won one.

@SoxProspects The Red Sox have re-signed C/3B Roldani Baldwin. Spent last year with Portland, hitting .242/.321/.389 while also playing for the Dominican Republic in the Olympics.

As for the ChiSox being projected to win the Central: ok.

Once the A's start selling off pieces, they'll get leaped by the Mariners. Mariners and Angels may be too close to call depending on injuries.

On the 4th place Sox: Four teams in the division projecting as real contenders has a real effect on the projected win totals versus the overall quality of each team. This is perhaps most obvious in the projection for the Boston Red Sox. ZiPS doesn’t think they’re really just an 83-win team in 2022, but when the prospective schedule is actually simulated, they fall a bit short compared to the division’s top trio. The projection swings aren’t as wild as they were before the 2021 season, as the depth of the rotation has improved a bit: Boston is slated to start the season with Chris Sale, and both Tanner Houck and Kutter Crawford come out with better forecasts than the last time around. That said, the Sox are still short at least one outfielder and their short-term situation at first base is one of the weakest in baseball. If they don't make any more additions, they probably are a 3rd or 4th place team. I'm used to the Yankees being at top of the preseason rankings. I'm also used to them not even getting into the World Series let alone winning it. Jays and Yanks have been preseason favorites for the past few years.

It could have been a dynasty, but they couldn't figure out the pitching rotation in 2005 and 2006. 2003 - 2007 could be the most important 5 year stretch in Sox history.

Burkhart's first hit was a single off of Mike Mussina that advanced Nomar to 2b. He had 5 career HR's and none of them were grannys.

@NBCSEdgeBB MLB, MLBPA meet for around 90 minutes on Tuesday

I don't think he would have gotten much glory, but maybe they could have worked with him at an earlier age and got him to be a serviceable major leaguer? Dude clearly had pop and was able to take a walk.

In his last season of indie ball, he hit 404 with 36 HR and an OPS of 1417. I wonder if his career would have turned out differently if he got into an MLB org earlier in his career.

@OverTheMonster Red Sox lineup on the day of Brady's first start: 1. José Offerman, 2B 2. Darren Lewis, LF 3. Trot Nixon, CF 4. Brian Daubach, RF 5. Morgan Burkhart, 1B 6. Scott Hatteberg, DH 7. Shea Hillenbrand, 3B 8. Doug Mirabelli, C 9. Lou Merloni, SS SP: Frank Castillo I don't remember the Morgan Burkhart experience. I must have been blackout drunk the summer of 2000.

Downs and Duran both have a lot to prove this season. It's probably a bigger season for those two than anyone else in the org.

Burleson's worst BOS season was 1.7 fWAR. Hard to even consider him on a "worst" list.

I agree about Pena, Barrett and Burleson. With some of these guys you have to look at WRC+. For Remy, the majority of his years in Boston were above 80 WRC+ with decent defense.

He had 453 PA's last year as a fulltime player. I think he'll see a bit of a reduction from that.

Schaeffer was in line to be my "worst" but then I remembered how horrible Grebeck was and had to search for him. Somehow I had overlooked him in my original run through. Gaetti was toast in ST. He looked like a beer league softball player, but that's about it. He was terrible in 300+ PA's as a 40 year old. No idea why they brought him in the following year.

Alex Gonzalez erasure.