Dipre

First off: It's You're which is a contraction between you and are. Example: You're making assumptions. Your denotes possession: Example: Your ideas make no sense to me. On point: As i noted a couple posts ago, i am weary of Crawford's lack of discipline, but if that is their target, then instead of bitching and moaning until the end of the universe i may as well get used to the idea of the possible signing because i understand and acknowledge that this FO knows more about evaluating talent than i do, therefore, they must have a reason for him to be their primary target. Second, in my initial post i said Kalish + people not named Kelly. Kalish straight up for Gonzales would probably cost Hoyer his job.

Giants sign Tejada: Blue Jays close to deal with Pierzynski:

Pfffft.......what a brainfart. How about Gonzales + Crawford. Period.

I have a question. Who here besides me thinks that trading Kalish+ (without Kelly) for A-Gon and signing Crawford then Konerko makes sense?

That was a long-ass post, but i forgot two things: In those 19 games, he collected 51 TB's in 77 AB's for a .662 SLG%. In 25 games in Bal, Toronto and Tampa, he collected 65 TB's in 100 AB's for a .650 SLG%. Why do i bring this up? Because you specifically said that the "big boost" in OPS came from the AL West, which is simply not true, seeing as the impact from the two righty-friendly and the neutral stadium were just as big on his OPS jump than the smaller-sample sized (and fluked by his outbreak in Oakland) stay in the AL West. Also, notice how horrible he was at Yankee Stadium and Target? Those are both lefty-friendly and righty-neutralizing places. You want more statistical data, or is another victory claim in the making? 2) GoBruins2011 agrees with you, even though he probably has no idea what is being said.

Excuse me? Does this mean you have bypassed most of the other posts? Let's go step by step: Number one: His road performance was a fuke: Both ORS and i pointed this out in posts made before. He hit above his career averages in BABIP on the road, and also hit an inordinate amount of XBH on the road, pumping his SLG waaaay above his home numbers. And also, as noted in a post above, most of those XBH came in AL East stadiums! (and he played a grand total of 19 games in the AL West, a SSS that wouldn't have a third of the impact when compared to the division he actually played in ) maybe you simply glanced over it, so let me post it again. Let's break down his numbers by ALE and other divisions: Beltre's overall numbers: .321/.365/.553 49 2B, 28 HR, 2 3B, 189 hits. Now let's check out his numbers in Fenway: .314/.351/ .881 19 2B, 13 HR, 0 3B. (By the way, this is the first part of the massive hole in your argument, since his career home OPS is below .800, so even the boost to his home stats was massive). Now let's get into the meat of the argument: Total Bases. To calculate Slg% you can simply divide total bases by AB's, therefore, the number of total bases is what inflates your slugging percentage, which is what created the massive statistical difference in his home/away splits (which wasn't even that massive, but don't tell anyone). Here's the thing: Beltre collected 72 TB's against the AL East in less than 50% of the AB's. (140) than he collected against the rest of the stadiums with a SLG%: of 512. The issue with this is that, while it makes a part of your argument correct (He wasn't just feasting on AL East stadiums) it also undermines another part of your argument. Beltre did almost of his damage in stadiums which had a positive park factor for RHH (you can verify that by going to hit tracker and checking out the amount of XBH hit by righties in any given stadiums when stacked up against lefties as well as common sens) last year with the exception of Oakland and Seattle. Beltre SLG% by park and their park factor: (I'm using three-year park factor and XBH data for the rankings): 1) Coors Field: (1st) SLG% 1.000 2) Oakland Coliseum: (19th) .875 3) Angel Stadium: (13th) .769 4) Citizens Bank (11th) .727 5) Camden Yards (5th) .667 6) Rogers Centre (8th) .636 7) Tropicana Field (15th) .611 8) US Cellular (4th) .600 9) At&T: (12th) .600 10) Kauffman: (10th) .556 11) Rangers: (3rd) .538 12) Fenway: (7th) .521 13) Comerica: (17th) .444 14) Yankee: (2nd) .243 15: Target: (16th and single-year data) .231 By compiling some information about the amount of XBH (mostly HR's and 2B's) in www.hittracker.com and www.mlb.com (most of which i had handy from a previous park factor discussion) i was able to highlight the parks that are most conductive to RHH power (which are highlighted above and the "launching pads" italicized), and we can come to the following conclusion, and it's that Beltre, a RHH, performed reasonably in parks conductive to RHH power than in stadiums much more suited for LHH power (Comerica, Yankee, Target, which are coincidentially the bottom 3) and also hit the lights out of the launching pads. Combine that with the fact that on the 3 stadiums in the AL East where RHH boast the best power boost (Fenway, Rogers, Camden) he had a composite .636 SLG% over 347 AB's. And if we include Tropicana that could be characterized as "neutral" in terms of both Park Factor and XBH ratio, we get the following: .550 SLG. Now i could go into greater detail about how he performed notably better in stadiums that are known conductors for RH power (US Cellular) or those that surprised me (AT&T), but know this, the way a park is constructed does influence how a hitter hits and how much power he generates on a stadium-by-stadium basis, and this is why players need to be analyzed depending on the environment they play in. Also, your initial argument was that the "FO got lucky with Beltre's production" which was disproven long ago, since you admitted that they were probably expecting increased production from Beltre (even admitting you did expect a mid- high .800 OPS out of him) but that production was inflated by a fluky road performance, while you conveniently ignored the fact that his home production had also spiked to near-2004 levels. In conclusion, Beltre, like most hitters, is affected by the park they play in if said park has extreme factors, and this research has been very informative for me, and i expect it to be so for you as well even though, to be honest, i did all of this research strictly out of boredom while i wait for my friends to get out to class so we can go clubbin'. That is all, smart-ass.

Hey now, no need to get all mad and defensive. A simple "I liked when they signed player X" or "I liked it when they extended player x" would have sufficed.

I have two questions for you: 1) With Boras as an agent, why do you believe Werth will sign before Crawford? 2) Can you name me an instance where you think the FO has done something right? Just one will be enough....

That wasn't part of the class. However "Troll-spotting" and "Multiple-account spotting" were. On-topic: Jose Lopez has been non-tendered. Possible utility player candidate?

By you did your homework, you mean you yelled "I've been discovered!" and came up with this post? Because BOY wasn't the guy's actual handle you know.

Trolls are not people. They are mythical creatures with spiky hair and cute little outfits sold at the Dollar Tree for .99 Cents. Besides the fact that this dude is clearly BOY aka Fire_Theo aka countless other tags.

Option A: You're busting my chops. Option B: You are an idiot, a troll or a combination of both. I'll take B for 400!

Beltre hit 49 doubles, and only 19 of them were at Fenway. His 19-13 2B/HR ratio was actually out of line with what you'd normally expect. Fenway is a good park for doubles, and it's also good for HR's by RHH. Do i have to look up HR numbers by again? By the way, i've never actively advocated the re-signing of Beltre, just in case. And also, Crawford is not a hitter who drives the ball the other way with authority, but that probably wouldn't matter if they bring the fence in anyway. The thing i dislike about Crawford is his lack of discipline.

Baseball for dummies, lesson 2: Evaluating players: When you going to evaluate player for signing, you need know everything about player because sometimes player benefit or is harmed by the specific nature of ballpark player used to play in. If you notice that player on little ballpark no hit well on the road, you can conclude that player stats is product of the ballpark, and could flop if taken to bigger park, and vice versa. Things like that are important because you need to know how player skillset will react to new ballpark, as seen by players like everyone who ever played in Coors in the early 2000's, and players like Adrian Beltre and Adrian Gonzales who hit well outside of big big home park.

Are you retarded? Weren't you bitching about how you don't want "NL hitters on the team"? If you're going to keep being a f***ing idiot, at least be consistent at it. You were blowing your load all over Crawford, who seems to be the guy they want, now you're bitching because Dunn signed elsewhere. For the love of God, go away.

Adam Dunn to the White Sox:

In the end, i think bringing back Varitek was the right choice (after V-Mart signed elsewhere). He'd be the ideal mentor to Salty who they seem to view as the catcher of the future, and since he can still mash lefties, he can certainly make up for some of the young guy's offensive deficiencies. Salty has a .765 career OPS against RHP despite a couple of abysmal presentations due to injury, but is absolutely horrendous against LHP .592 OPS. Varitek, as we all know, struggles mightily against righties but still mashes lefties. Who knows, it may just work.....

Baseball Reference. Who'd have thought that the "over-rated" park factors would force people to create a statistic that accounted for them.

As usual, there's a difference between what a player wants and what he will get. Any smart negotiator will shoot for way more than he what he's looking for so he can finally settle in on what he's actually looking for or a bit better. Unless it's the Red Sox, who have a built-in multiplier when it comes to FA prices according to most Yankee fans......

The lack of fighting has more to do with me not being around than anything else. As for the rest of your post, relax, you'll get your break. "Good things come to those who wait". A couple months ago i was heartbroken, jobless and with absolutely no prospects of getting anything whatsoever, then guess what? Got a job, got my scholarship, and here i am, living it up. Some people told me i would never get out of the DR unless i married an American woman, came in a raft or some other stupid s***, and guess what? I kept my head tall, worked hard, and here i am, completing my master's degree and traveling inside the US, living the good life, all paid for by someone else, why? Because i never gave up. Stay positive, stand tall and understand that in the end, we all get our chance, and so will you, now when you do, grab it hard and don't let go, because life is unforgiving, but even with all the s*** it flings at us, remember to always be thankful since, after all, there are millions of people who would kill to be in your position right now, and you are in that position, not because you are entitled to it, (life owes you nothing) but because you were lucky enough to be one of the fortunate people who got a roof on their head and food on their plate. When the going gets rough, always remember that.

Why are you so awesome?

I'm not saying he's worth 50 mill, but if i had to assign "value", i'd use WAR and account for the fact that it's usually a bit inflated, and adjust the salaries and years as follows: Dunn: 13 per, 3 years. Werth: 15 per, 4 years.. Crawford: 17.5 per, 5 years.. Of course, these are numbers i came up with by "glancing" at their stats and taking age and projected future performance into consideration, however, these are obviously now an accurate reflection of what will happen seeing as i'm not an expert in baseball statistics or talent evaluator, nor do i claim to be one. This is strictly my opinion.