The Red Sox have been pretty spot on with their contract deals for pitching, IMO. Rarely are they giving the "franchise savior" deal to a pitcher. Lester on the open market will get a 6+ yr deal. Plus, after 2014, Lester will be 31. A 6 yr deal takes him to 37, and with all the pitching this guy has done, will likely entail him losing his velo early on in that deal. Also, the warning flags are still there on Lester. Even though his ERA has improved, his K rate is still low for his standards and his FB velo is 1.3mph off from his peak in 2009. I honestly think the sox are going to definitely ride it out this yr, then consider dealing him in the off-season. If they don't get a deal to their liking, they'll let him reach FA and take the pick. A guy like Lester on a 6 yr deal starting in 2015 is a disaster waiting to happen