Pitchers with 1,100 innings under their belt don't usually improve from the bottom of the rotation to the top of the rotation. In the rare cases that it does happen, it is often a junk baller like Jamie Moyer or a knuckleballer like Dickey. The examples of sinker balling back of the rotation becoming top of the rotation power pitchers after accumulating 1,100 innings would be hard to find. Even if improvement over his career 4.40 ERA was to be expected, a 3.80 ERA would have been a huge improvement. Expecting anything beyond that was pure fan enthusiasm. A 3.80 from Porcello still would have had the group of 5 projecting at a combined ERA of 4, and that is not good. It isn't even mediocre. It is bad.