a700hitter
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Everything posted by a700hitter
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Winning streaks are a beautiful thing.
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Pedey is doing it all tonight.
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Pedey is doing it all tonight.
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He could club a high fastball.
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Pedroia is a great player.
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One damn pitch, by our old friend
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That didn't take long.
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Odor had no chance on that pitch.
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Need to get the ball to Kimbrel.
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But he can't continue giving up multiple HRs in ech game he pitches.
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Pedroia with the non-repeatable clutch hit for the lead.
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Groin issue.
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Porcello allows far too many base runners.
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Porcello needs to keep the ball in the park. He can't be giving up 2 HRs if we are going to have a chance.
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Comfort level with where a player hits in the batting order is real and measurable, but clutch is neither?
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I don't think the union can prevent a player from opting out of a lucrative contract, but good sense would prevent him from doing so. I am sure that the Red Sox would have released Carl Crawford from his contract if he had asked, but that would be an unfathomable level of stupid for him to ask for that.
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What is wrong with the human bean bag now. I have lost track of him. I don't think he factors into any plans. You don't disappear from your teams plans because you have an earache.
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Pomeranz is a big part of this team's rotation. We are rolling out a legitimately good starter every 5th day in the 4/5 hole at the cost of $4 million/year. Unless Espi becomes Pedro, this trade didn't mortgage our future, it helped builf the present and the future. This guy is not the tomato can that most teams have in their 4/5 slots. He is a good pitcher.
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We had a cliff before 2013 and a bigger one after 2013, and it felt like a cliff --no meaningful baseball after July in 3 seasons. That was the worst stretch of futility in my lifetime.
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I didn't disregard the value of prospects, because they were not in the scope of the discussion. The discussion centered around the market value of major league arms. I don't see any of this discussion as being relevant to prospects in the minors. That is a whole different type of market as it involves exponentially more imprecision regarding level of performance and ceilings. I don't disagree, but was just noting that the exercise/non-exercise of the opt out clause would not have positive financial effect for the Red Sox if it sought to replace him in the rotation. Redeployment of assets for hitting is a different issue, and I did acknowledge that.
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Walking away from a healthy contract for less money? Who has done that?
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There would be a much better chance that the Red Sox could inadvertently benefit from Price opting out if he had no known elbow issue and was younger. Any fall off in performance due to injury would be more unexpected and would not have been heavily factored into his market value. However, Price's elbow issue is known and his age will be mid 30's. These factors will weigh heavily on his marketability. If he can opt out under those conditions and get more than $31 million a year, that would mean to me that the market for younger healthier pitchers would be through the roof. So, even if he signs somewhere else and his arm falls off, it isn't going to help the Red Sox much as his replacement is likely going to cost more than what Price gets, and the new guy's arm can also explode.
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This is a lot of research for an issue that has nothing to do with the point that we are discussing-- opt out clauses and who they benefit.
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That could happen with any player as could an injury. How they perform after signing has no bearing on their market value when they sign. You hope you get what you paid for. Whether or not a signing ends up being good or bad has nothing to do with what I am saying. All that I am saying is that the opt out clause is a provision for the player to maximize his value. It can't benefit the club. For Price to opt out of his Red Sox contract with his age and elbow issue, it would have to be that the market for pitching is sky high. That would benefit Price, not the Red Sox as a replacement would likely cost much more than what we were paying him. If his age and elbow issue are such that he is not worth $30 million/yr, the Red Sox will have the privilege of paying the remainder of his contract.
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And the Pujols signing may be on the high end of the spectrum and maybe the Angels were negotiating against themselves so it isn't a very good gauge for market value, it still has an influence on market value for future contracts. Most big long term contracts seem overvalued, but by the end of the term they no longer seem so outrageous, and many seem very reasonable but they all influence market value -- just like comparable sales in real estate-- the highest sale doesn't establish the market, but it does influence the market.
