a700hitter
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Everything posted by a700hitter
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If you have 3 guys with approximately the same OBP but one of the 3 has HR power that stands out from the other 2, in what order would you bat them?
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There assumptions have to be wrong in this instance, because there is no way that the conclusion fits this current lineup. The numbers are pretty straight forward as to the additional base runners that Betts would see batting behind XB and Pedroia, unless you are a Math -denier.
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And there is a study confirming that too.
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I hope that he doesn't start playing like Braun or I will be very upset that we traded him.
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The OBP of our bottom of the order guys, i.e. Marrero, Pablo, Rutledge, Leon and Vasquez is not even close to .325, and the difference in combined OBP for XB and Pedroia is about 80-90 points higher than the bottom of the order.
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I don't think that the stat geeks are factoring in that the bottom of our order will stay this bad. I don't think they are factoring in an 80-90 point differential from the bottom of the order and the top of the order. You are a math geek. Crunch the numbers. That is a huge difference that would translate to many more men on base for Mookie.
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It is not just how good that Pedroia and XB are at getting on base, but couple that with how bad the bottom of our order is and Betts is missing a lot of opportunities with men on base. The OBP of the likes of Marrero, Pablo, Rutledge, Leon and Vasquez are atrocious. XB and Pedroia have an OBP that is approximately 80-90 points more than the bottom of the order slugs. That translates into lots of extra base runners.
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Winning is the biggest cureall for even the dumbest of managers.
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Not at all thinking traditionally. Betts batting leadoff would be fine if we had lineups from past years that were strong 1 through 9, but that is not the case this year. If he bats 3rd, he will lose very few ABs, so we will still be maximizing his PAs. However, the guy's batting in front of him get on base at a very low rate so that diminishes his opportunities to do run producing damage. I think if you bat him behind Pedroia and XB his opportunities to produce runs will increase tremendously. It has nothing to do with traditional thinking, but probabilities and math.
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Winning streaks are a beautiful thing.
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Pedey is doing it all tonight.
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Pedey is doing it all tonight.
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He could club a high fastball.
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Pedroia is a great player.
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One damn pitch, by our old friend
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That didn't take long.
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Odor had no chance on that pitch.
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Need to get the ball to Kimbrel.
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But he can't continue giving up multiple HRs in ech game he pitches.
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Pedroia with the non-repeatable clutch hit for the lead.
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Groin issue.
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Porcello allows far too many base runners.
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Porcello needs to keep the ball in the park. He can't be giving up 2 HRs if we are going to have a chance.
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Comfort level with where a player hits in the batting order is real and measurable, but clutch is neither?
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I don't think the union can prevent a player from opting out of a lucrative contract, but good sense would prevent him from doing so. I am sure that the Red Sox would have released Carl Crawford from his contract if he had asked, but that would be an unfathomable level of stupid for him to ask for that.
