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Posted
I don't know about that' date=' but the expected runs are 2.3 with the bases full, and 2.0 with second and third.[/quote']

 

That makes sense. I read somewhere (so I don't have a link) that the odds of scoring one run are 86% with 2nd and 3rd and something like 80% with bases loaded. Whatever.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
When did I mention the intentions of the defense? I'm simply stating that I HATE it when it happens' date=' regardless of intentions.[/quote']

When you complain about the walk, the logical conclusion is that you want the player to avoid the walk, ie chase to put the ball in play.

Posted
I don't have a good link right now but MLBTR and Amalie Benjamin are reporting it.

 

 

 

You're correct that 2nd & 3rd with 0 out gives a greater chance to score 1 run than bases loaded and 0 out. But, as stated, Drew didn't get any pitches to hit.

 

I embedded the video of car jumping up thread.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
That makes sense. I read somewhere (so I don't have a link) that the odds of scoring one run are 86% with 2nd and 3rd and something like 80% with bases loaded. Whatever.

The two things under examination here aren't mutually exclusive. The ER matrix means that your chances for a big inning are greater with 3 on / 0 out. The 1-run probability tells you how often you score. They aren't the same thing. Early in a game, I'd play for the RE matrix. Later, as situation dictates, I'd play for the higher scoring probability.

Posted

Red Sox get OF Gathright in trade with Orioles

 

(AP) – 44 minutes ago

 

BALTIMORE — The Boston Red Sox have obtained minor league outfielder Joey Gathright from the Baltimore Orioles for a player to be named or cash.

 

The deal was completed Saturday. Gathright has 428 games of major league experience, including 20 this season with the Chicago Cubs. The 28-year-old speedster was traded by the Cubs to the Orioles in May for Ryan Freel, but Gathright never played a game for Baltimore.

 

After coming over from Chicago, Gathright was immediately assigned to Baltimore's Triple-A affiliate in Norfolk, where he hit .329 with 24 steals, 11 doubles and 20 RBIs in 80 games.

Posted
The two things under examination here aren't mutually exclusive. The ER matrix means that your chances for a big inning are greater with 3 on / 0 out. The 1-run probability tells you how often you score. They aren't the same thing. Early in a game' date=' I'd play for the RE matrix. Later, as situation dictates, I'd play for the higher scoring probability.[/quote']

 

Oh yeah, I understand they're not the same thing. I was just taking the opportunity to spout something from my vast depths of random knowledge.

Posted
Now I understand how frustrating it is to face the 2008 Dice-K' date=' or the 2009 Papelbon.[/quote']

 

:lol::lol::lol: Very true.

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