Bill James' Handbook 2006 Projections

[Plumpamania]

Hitters:

C-

 

Kelly Shoppach: .242/.310/.466/.776 17 HR 55 RBI 47 RC

Jason Varitek: .286/.353/.457/.810 20 HR 75 RBI 78 RC

 

1B-

 

Kevin Youkilis: .278/.395/.442/.837 14 HR 68 RBI 87 RC

 

2B-

 

Mark Loretta: .299/.369/.400/.769 7 HR 45 RBI 40 RC

 

SS-

 

Alex Cora: .241/.308/.344/.651 5 HR 28 RBI 32 RC

 

3B-

 

Mike Lowell: .269/.341/.441/.782 16 HR 72 RBI 69 RC

Andy Marte: .252/.353/.459/.812 7 HR 28 RBI 26 RC

 

LF-

 

Manny Ramirez: .305/.407/.603/1.010 45 HR 141 RBI 141 RC

 

CF-

 

No Option (not posting Reed or Crisp)

 

RF-

 

Trot Nixon: .283/.373/.486/.860 19 HR 72 RBI 78 RC

 

DH-

 

David Ortiz: .289/.382/.574/.956 40 HR 132 RBI 129 RC

 

 

Pitchers:

Name----------------GS----IP----W----L----ERA-----------BB-----K

 

Bronson Arroyo---32----206--12----11--4.09----------58-----135

Josh Beckett------31---194---14-----8---3.42----------69------192

Matt Clement----32----190--12-----10--3.98----------83------166

Keith Foulke-----0-------66---3------1----3.09-33SV---8------31

Curt Schilling---31------190--14----7---3.31----------35------193

Mike Timlin-----0--------74----5-----3----3.63---------18-------52

Tim Wakefield--34-----241--14----13---4.11--------86-------173

Guillermo Mota--0----68----5-------3----3.41--------26--------57

Rudy Seanez--0------62----4-------3----3.62-------28---------68

Julian Tavarez-0------76---4------3-----4.18--------24--------35

[yankeessuck013]

Kelly Shoppach: .242/.310/.466/.776 17 HR 55 RBI 47 RC

 

that's in AAA, right?

[ksushi]

They only make big league projections. Its a big league book. So no.

 

 

But yeah, how can they make pitcher projections for wins? I hope no one takes this as gospel because there is no mathematical formula for how a game will unfold. I think thats a little weird.

[Cityofchampions33]

Yeah, i wouldn't stake my life on the wins/losses, but who knows, it's Bill James.

[jimmycarter05]

Wow, Trot is making a pretty good rebound, and Shoppach has 17 HRs.

[Beckett95]

why isnt papelbon on the list?

[ahhchon]

his calculations are based on big league stats.. papelbon didn't have enough big league stats while james was putting together this book.

 

john

[RedSoxRooter]

2B- Mark Loretta: .299/.369/.400/.769 7 HR 45 RBI 40 RC

 

My Bill Mueller fix.

Thank you, thank you, thank you.

[Beckett95]

his calculations are based on big league stats.. papelbon didn't have enough big league stats while james was putting together this book.

 

john

 

doesnt papelbon have more big league stats than shoppach though??

[ksushi]

Holy god man, I'm as happy as the next guy about Tavarez but he must be the ugliest man this side of sloth from the goonies. Please don't make me look at that long.

 

Yeah that threw me too, Shoppach didn't have much ML experience at all. I think it might be because Papelbons role is undetermined.

[riverside sluggers]

Yeah that threw me too, Shoppach didn't have much ML experience at all. I think it might be because Papelbons role is undetermined.

 

True but Shoppach's role has yet to be determined as well. This spring training we will see Shoppahc, Huckaby and Flaherty contend to see who can catch Wake better.

[ORS]

Most of these systems work on a weighting system, such as 3-2-1. Meaning one year ago is 3 times more relevant than 3 years ago, and two years ago is 2 times more relevant than 3 years ago. That explains why Cora and Lowell have such pessimistic, IMO, numbers for next year. I expect both of them to be better than those numbers since they are coming off down years, and a bounce back isn't unrealistic.

[ORS]

True but Shoppach's role has yet to be determined as well. This spring training we will see Shoppahc, Huckaby and Flaherty contend to see who can catch Wake better.

Huckaby and Flaherty are complete drek. They are only there in case Shoppach totally shits the bed, otherwise the job is his.

[seabeachfred]

Red Sox Rooter, been off this board for awhile. Glad to be back on. Don't you worry about Mark Loretta. This is guy is the real deal; a good hitter, sharp in the field, works the count and is a very intelligent ballplayer. Besides he's all class. I know him personally. After this season we are going to want him to stay for awhile. Have a good day.

[Beckett95]

Holy god man, I'm as happy as the next guy about Tavarez but he must be the ugliest man this side of sloth from the goonies. Please don't make me look at that long.

 

hahaha, he's one of the funniest looking guys ive seen in a red sox uni

[Plumpamania]

The predictions weren't made by James himself as he doesn't believe in predictions. They were made by two of the men who helped him write the handbook and whom work for him.

[seabeachfred]

The more I see James' projections the more I think he's full of crap. Shoppach with 17 Major League homers? The guy couldn't even get out of his own way in his minimal attempts at hitting in the Bigs last season. In fact, he probably ruined Boston's chances of trading him because his value kept going down with every fruitless at bat. If this Crisp trade goes through, and with the better pitching we will have, how on earth can we win less games than last year? Pure bs!!!! Try again James.