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drewski6

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Everything posted by drewski6

  1. drewski6
    How would you (or anyone else who wants to chime in) rank these reasons of why the sox stopped at 700M for Soto A. They stopped at 700m because it was all a sham and they knew 700 wouldnt get it done and they didnt actually want to spend, just say they tried B. They do not see Soto as a generational player C. They are shy to commit these kind of dollars to any one person D. They reached a point where they determined, if we go any higher for Soto, we are crossing a threshold where we are now in a place where we think we can have a better team if we use this money elsewhere (e.g. instead of going 750 for Soto, we think wed be better off with 3 additions that sum to 750) E. They knew that no matter how high they went, Mets would go bigger , so they moved on Heres my order of likelihood: D, C, E, B, A So I honestly think they will spend.
  2. drewski6
    Its also feasible
  3. drewski6
    IF they sign Manaea, TH, and Bregman, I think they have a good chance at making the playoffs.
  4. drewski6
    Or like Crochet
  5. drewski6
    But hes vocal about welcoming a chance to start , and you dont know that his recent success as a RP wouldnt translate to SP. Im not against signing him if he can be had for a modest contract (lets say under 15 AAV), but try him in the rotation first, likely, as 1. this will help you sign him and 2. if he works out as a starter his contract becomes a steal. Worst case scenario transiition him back. But hes a good call out, by you, as a target that I initially overlooked when I said "Another SP not named Burnes (Buehler, Manaea, Pivetta, Castillo)" He may ultimately be a reliever , even a closer. BUt he should still go into the above category as my grouping of #2 most likely pick-ups
  6. drewski6
    Theres something to be said for changing your culture and giving us playoff baseball, even if they arent favorites for WS. Meaning: Im not a championship or bust guy. Also, no way they are done.
  7. drewski6
    I dont think the plan is to fool us and still go cheap. This might ultimately be the end result, but I think Crochet's inexpensive contract was sought after because it allows you to flex the spending muscle elsewhere. Im expecting one of TH, Santander, Bregman (maybe even 2) Im expecting another pitcher like Pivetta, Hoffman, Buehler, Manaea , Castillo
  8. drewski6
    Im not so sure Hoffman sees himself as a reliever. BUt if we are still hunting for a SP also, he could make sense as you could try him in either role. Especially if hes paid like a reliever (thinking 14m AAV vs 23)
  9. drewski6
    To me, Bregman and Arrenado are not in the same universe. Mostly because of Bregmans defensive versatility (he's a SS by trade). You can play Breg at 2b, ss not Arrenado, also Breg had a very good second half of the season with his bat also. I think defensive versatility will play a significant factor in decisions. For example, if you have Bregman signed to term, he can move around the infield so you are most likely able to accommodate getting Campbell and/or Mayer in there at some point. Similar reason, this is why I think we are more likely to see Campbell than Anthony in the nearish term. If Story spends time on the DL, I think Id rather have Bregman at SS than Cedanne.
  10. drewski6
    Here are the moves I see coming , in order of likelihood 1. Teoscar OR Santander 2. Another SP not named Burnes (Buehler, Manaea, Pivetta, Castillo) 3. Another Catcher 4. Reliever (hopefully via trade, dont love remaining options in FA) 4. Bregman 5. Burnes
  11. drewski6
    1. I think Yoshi is here to stay, and I think if we got Bregman, he would most likely slot into 2B to start the year. Campbell is not even on the 40man (neither is ANthony). Frankly, I do not think the plan is to start the year with them on the big club. Things can change, of course, if Campbell is mashing at AAA and our infield D really stinks and Masa rebounds some trade value, then maybe you add Campbell to the 40 man and shift some things around. Likewise, I feel confident that our most likely move is a righty OF bat (Teoscar or Santander). I dont think the plan is to just pencil in Anthony who is not on the 40 man. Again things can change, you can always flip Abreu mid season to create a spot for a prospect, but I dont think they are going to start the year in MLB>
  12. drewski6
    Most catchers dont.
  13. drewski6
    Agreed. Im sadder for montgomery.
  14. drewski6
    He had a .717 OPS at AAA
  15. drewski6
    I love it. Teel has a high bust chance. Got a lot of Blake Swihart vibes about him.
  16. drewski6
    see that moon, he can say something positive about the red sox
  17. drewski6
    Hows Jo. Garcias knee rehabbing? Call him up!
  18. drewski6
    Im with you. ANother thing is how many Ryan Lavarnways and Blake Swithart came and went. There have been so many catcher busts throughout MLB , its a hard position to project. This was not an overpay. Crochet is really really good.
  19. drewski6
    Yall might want to check MLB trade rumors, Bout to land Crochet for a prospect package headlined by Teel
  20. drewski6
    I agree. My point is merely that Castillo's BTV stands out to me as low, as Iast I checked it was negative and that caught my eye. So I used Hamilton as an example to illustrate my point, by pointing to a) he has +13 BTV (modestly higher than Castillo) and b) the fact that I think the Sox would do that swap (not to imply Seattle would). Pretty much: heres a player who has +13 who I think the Sox and Sox fans would be happy to swap for Castillo, showing that I think Castillos BTV should be up around 13 and if he can be had for an outgoing package that nets to less than 15, hes a good target (for any club). I like Castillo, and people are worried about regression, but apples-to-apples youd also have to be worried about Burnes regression if you were to go that route as well. Whatever contract Burnes lands, Im quite confident, that the next day his BTV will be negative. Because you dont beat the entire open market for a marquee FA and then have an immediate surplus asset. The market is more efficient than that and will force you to overpay to get the last remaining FA ace. I would still offer Burnes 260 / 8, but if you cant land him, Castillo makes sense to me as a target (and I think Sox would have competition trying to land him from other clubs, and would have to submit an offer that tops whatever Castillos BTV is right now).
  21. drewski6
    I didnt meant to imply that DHAM for Castillo was the trade, just saying I would consider Castillo a tradeable contract with value, not a ton of value due to the high AAV on an aging pitcher. I just picked DHAM because he was around +11. But Harmony rejected the (non proposed) deal because apparently he thinks hes the GM and in his eyes every Mariner is apparently better than every Red Sox player, despite the fact that the (again non-proposed) deal would be a swoon for Ms per BTV. And we got off track.
  22. drewski6
    Nope, the point was: that Castillos value per BTV appears to be low, and Hamilton was just an example of a guy with 10+ BTV trade units who most of us would move for Castillo to illustrate that I dont agree that Castillo's contract is currently underwater.
  23. drewski6
    Lets say the Yankees get Burnes, the Blue Jays get Fried and the Mets trade for Crochet. Sasaki to the dodgers and Seattle offers you Castillo for Hamilton (+13). You laughing them off the phone? Cuz that doesnt sound terrible to me.
  24. drewski6
    Id give him +11, personally.
  25. drewski6
    I honestly think if he can stay healthy, hes very far from a problem. Maybe when you consider his contract, but thats a sunk cost.
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