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5GoldGlovesOF,75

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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75

  1. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    The biggest question is what is a fair offer TO Bogey? Correa has to factor into the answer, because Boras just advised him to opt out of a contract worth $35M per. Granted, it was only for two more years, so maybe he'll settle for another five or six at the same rate... but you know Boras will be leveraging whatever Correa gets to establish any offers that Bogaerts may consider. It's doubtful Correa opted out to make less than $35M AAV. Carlos is two years younger than Xander, but X just had a better year. Based on that alone, does any poster seriously believe Bogey's market value is less than even $30M? Or that he'll insist to his superagent that he'll settle for less? Who opts out of a contract to be underpaid a second time?
  2. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I'll always disagree with this order because I always want my three best hitters guaranteed to bat in the first inning. In a way, it's an uncomplicated extension of the manager who loves a home run hitter batting leadoff: to get a quick lead (plus, they get more at bats than the bottom in the game). I prefer longball guys get more opportunities to go yard with men who are frequently on base. I know, I'm Old Fool, stuck on a line-up strategy that's been around for over a hundred years.
  3. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    The front office knows all about Boras' methods. They're smart enough to have already been prepared to move on from Bogey since Spring Feigning (their lowball offer). Xander giving another hometown discount and/or telling Boras to get it done before Christmas may actually be Bloom's Plan C or D.
  4. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Wha -- you're disagreeing with the analytics?!?! These guys have spreadsheets that will prove to you that it's better to have a leadoff man homer with nobody on base (all game, since the bottom of the order features the worst batters), rather than with a top contact hitter often on base in front of him.
  5. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Wait until the last minute? What self-respecting Chief Baseball Officer would accept that strategy? Don't tell me you think there's a GM type guy who may actually use the stalling of his main target's decision as an excuse for not making any other big moves all winter? By the time Bogey finally signs, all the best available starting pitchers, relievers and power hitters may already have new homes... oh.
  6. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Some trade candidates whose availability BTV classifies as "medium" in order of "value" (cost for us): Bryan Reynolds -- the most costly, good bat, negative dWAR; Taylor Ward -- classic sell-high guy, coming off career O year for perennial also-ran, another negative dWAR; Tyler O'Neil -- coming off a crappy year after 34 dingers and a .900+ in '21, bats RIGHT, plays LF, valued below Nootbar (St. Louis is going to trade some outfielder); Adolis Garcia -- all-or-nothing Ranger, "high" availability; Jack Suwinski -- another Pirate, all-or-nothing but age 23 and his 19 HRs were more than any Sox except Devers, BL; Mike Yaz -- 31 years old already... or maybe we'd be better off instead with Trent Grisham, who is 25, but also all-or-nothing... though he does have 20 longballs, including 3 in the playoffs so far... Teoscar Hernandez is also on the list with a low value for some reason -- Sox would take a recent two-time Silver Slugger in a second. A lot of big whiffers on this list, but none we'd have to give up top prospects for, except Reynolds.
  7. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    The Yankee fans I know hate Gallo with a passion and would love to see the Red Sox sign him. I'm guessing those emotions aren't because of his Gold Glove defense.
  8. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Ceddane's 2022 season: 63 XBH, .342 OBP. Before anyone goes all Duran on those stats, note that Rafaela is only 21 years old. Excelling at that age in A and AA gives much hope for continued improvements.
  9. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    No way. Unless you mean maybe 140Ks (the all-time record for most strikeouts in a season is 223)... This past season, 46 players had OBP of at least .340, with about a dozen over 140Ks. Here's one that had a .341 OBP, 60 XBH and 145 Ks... and he drove a lot of Red Sox fans crazy, with what looked like a mediocre year at the plate -- JD Martinez. We know it was just mediocre for him, but do we want him back?
  10. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I care about Ks -- I can't stand them as a fan, and as a student of the game. And as far as OBP, a walk is just not as good as a hit. A walk can't advance another baserunner more than one bag, but a single can move a guy two bases or even score him from first (if he's fast and running on the pitch). All or nothing offenses are also boring, and bad bets to go deep in October against quality pitching. This final ALDS is quite the contrast on both extremes, with Cleveland contact vs. an opponent which can't muster a hit unless it goes over the fence.
  11. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    What were they thinking, letting him face the top of the order a third time! If you overlay a bar graph on Snell's smile, all his teeth trend toward taking a bite out of a Philly cheesesteak.
  12. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    How could you possibly hold any future Red Sox discussion by ignoring Enmanuel Valdez, the Mexican Home Run Derby champion? Valdez just set the all-time points record for HRs in Mexico City, leading the Sox to victory over the Yankees, Dodgers and Cubs. Of course, where would Boston be without Jocelyn Alo -- she of the 400-plus tape measure blasts?!?! Red Sox win Home Run Derby X grand final in Mexico City WWW.MLB.COM MEXICO CITY -- They traveled the world, crisscrossing the globe to spread a brand new game of baseball to fans new and old. There was music, there was food, and there were so many home runs. On Saturday at Mexico City's legendary Campo Marte, the Red Sox, Dodgers, Cubs, and
  13. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    The writer isn't saying LA's regular seasons are failures, but is questioning following rigid blueprints in the postseason, when situations continually change and often require modifications. Sometimes, those involve not making changes. Every time a new reliever enters the game there is a chance the new guy won't have it that night. That's what makes the Astros-Ms 18-inning game so amazing: 17 pitchers, and none of them choked -- only four BBs in the entire "doubleheader," including two by starter McCullers... one walk by Seattle pitchers in 18 innings.
  14. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/hern-ndez-blame-andrew-friedmans-064220812.html Interesting take from the LA Times. Choice quotes: "What the Dodgers are doing with their pitching isn’t working. Any review of the Dodgers’ failure starts with the organization’s overarching philosophy implemented by Friedman that devalues starting pitching and calls for the use of an assembly line of relievers. This is an industry-wide trend, and it works — to a degree. The Dodgers have taken this concept to an extreme, as their management apparatus has demonstrated an inclination to stick with their pregame script rather than allow a starter who is performing well to pitch an extra inning or two. They can’t continue scripting pitching matchups for entire games. They can’t remove a starter when he's pitching well just because they decided to do so beforehand." From this perspective on the postseason, those that hope Bloom can be a future Friedman might rethink the hope...
  15. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Sox can use an outfielder like the 20-20 Beni at the beginning of his career... but the '22 version only had a slugging percentage of .399, which is just below Steven Kwan's .400 and Verdugo's .405. Part of the problem in Boston is that they need more outfield production than the average Verdugo type.
  16. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    For the discussion about outfielders potentially available to join new clubs, the following data includes players in a minimum of 100 big league games who played outfield in 2022.: Judge, Alvarez, Soto, Donovan, McNeil, Benintendi, Kwan, Trout, Moore, Canha/Nimmo (tied for 10th at .367).
  17. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I'm all out on Gallo: 1,465 combined strikeouts and walks in 2,811 career plate appearances means in over half his times up he hasn't even touched the ball. That's not going to help the AL's most losingest team in extra innings -- you know, the one absolutely petrified with disturbing the ghost runner on second.
  18. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    St. Louis has too many young hitters; perhaps they can be persuaded to shed some for young pitching... Houck, Gonzalez and Duran for Lars Nootbar, good RF with some pop and a .340 OBP. However, Bloom may prefer the more versatile Brendan Donovan, who plays infield and outfield; his .394 OBP was fourth in the big leagues, behind Judge, Yordan and Soto. But if the Cards insist on Donovan instead of Nootbar, the Sox must demand they throw in Juan ("Gone") Yepez...
  19. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I like his righty power better at Fenway than Nimmo's lefty stick. The latter's D has improved (still a career negative dWAR), and Haniger is a good rightfielder. If Bogey leaves, I'd sign them both, for CF and RF... Spotrac lists their combined AAV under the $30M that Bogey wants.
  20. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    WAR is incomplete for pitchers because it doesn't track those who can actually throw to a base and those who can't... (every Red Sox pitcher is a POW).
  21. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Bogey, Haniger, a real MLB closer and an ace pitcher. Boston has to get a top starter asap, whether they're going for it or not. Luis Castillo cost Seattle a ton of prospects, but they signed him longterm, and now have a legit starting rotation locked in for the next five years of contention. The Ms could afford to lose a few minor leaguers, because they already have youthful future stars in the line-up. Castillo threw 76 pitches yesterday 97 mph or harder, more than any pitcher has thrown in an outing since pitch-tracking began in 2008.
  22. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Top WAR Integration Era 1947-2022 (bb-ref; rounded off) 1. Bonds 163 2. Mays 156 3. Aaron 143 4. ARod 118 5. Henderson 111 6. Mantle 110 7. F.Robinson 107 8. Schmidt 107 9. Pujols 102 10. Morgan 100 11. Yaz 97 12. Mathews 96 (most underrated HOFer?) 13. Ripken 96 14. Musial 95... (The Man could play in any era) 15. Clemente 28. Williams 77 (him, too... and we know he'd be close to the Top 10 if he didn't serve a second time in the military)
  23. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Even a Blind Chicken Finds a Kernel of Corn Now and Then
  24. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I have had the same thought. Trades often involve positions of depth. I'd also keep Rafaela because he's already the system's best defensive player. Maybe he won't have a repeat Mookie extra base hit season, but good defense doesn't go into slumps (and having solid D is the quickest way for pro teams to regain respectability). I also think he'll be in Boston sooner than most predict, depending on how much infield Kike has to play.
  25. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It all depends on one's definition of "worth it." If you asked a hundred Red Sox fans at the end of the '21 regular season if they thought signing Kike Hernandez for $14 million after he hit .250 was worth it, what do you think the majority would say? What if you asked them after the postseason, when he hit .408 with four doubles, one triple and five homers in 11 games?
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