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5GoldGlovesOF,75

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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75

  1. Trade Deadline Day, July 31, 2004: Red Sox acquire glove whiz Orlando Cabrera, who hits a combined .293 in regular/postseason, Doug M. -- who catches the last out of the World Series -- and Dave Roberts, who runs faster than Kevin Millar. Oddly, all soon have quirky character issues in Boston...(Roberts' character issue was named Machado).
  2. I don't know about the juice, but here are the five AL guys who played a minimum 900 games at shortstop from 1997-2003: dWAR Nomar 9.6 Vizquel 8.0 ARod 7.6 Tejada 3.5 Jeter -1.5 (that's negative) ... only one of the above is statistically horrible.
  3. I'm already on record predicting Kike at short in '23. I'd even take KK in center. But I really don't want to watch 2,000 strikeouts from the same guy in right and DH for the next decade. What's more likely five years from now if the Sox break the bank for Judge: him smiling down the streets of the Bronx playing "Dirty Water" on his boombox or Yankee fans laughing and pointing at Sox fans stuck with the back end of "the big stiff's contract -- Whoo-HA!"
  4. I'm noting this year only in reference to someone overpaying for his future. The point is no one is giving him the Bonds treatment, even after a record-breaking season. His good D doesn't slump though.
  5. Postseason opponents are pitching to him, and he's struck out 12 times in 24 at bats so far (with only one walk). This is right after Judge had what some scribes call one the greatest regular seasons in AL history. How bad will it get when his bat slows down with age?
  6. All or nothing offenses don't typically go far into October, when really good pitching usually beats really good hitting. Yanks have scored 82% of their playoff runs on homers (18-for-22), just ahead of the Stros' 76% (13-for-17). Who has the better staffs? Houston hasn't even thrown Javier or Urquidy yet, and both are postseason battle-tested... Conversely, the NL finalists are much better balanced offensively: Pads have scored 35% on HRs (14-39), Phils 33% (13-39).
  7. When I said TO Bogey, I meant what does he feel is a fair offer. If Correa gets a penny over $30M, then why would Bogey deserve or take less than $30M? So a fair offer may be 6 at 180 -- that's probably his market value, like it or not... but you know Boras will be insisting on at least 8 or $200M, whichever comes first. Ponder this: say another club offers 5 for 150, and the Sox offer 6 for 160 -- does X stay in Boston?
  8. The biggest question is what is a fair offer TO Bogey? Correa has to factor into the answer, because Boras just advised him to opt out of a contract worth $35M per. Granted, it was only for two more years, so maybe he'll settle for another five or six at the same rate... but you know Boras will be leveraging whatever Correa gets to establish any offers that Bogaerts may consider. It's doubtful Correa opted out to make less than $35M AAV. Carlos is two years younger than Xander, but X just had a better year. Based on that alone, does any poster seriously believe Bogey's market value is less than even $30M? Or that he'll insist to his superagent that he'll settle for less? Who opts out of a contract to be underpaid a second time?
  9. I'll always disagree with this order because I always want my three best hitters guaranteed to bat in the first inning. In a way, it's an uncomplicated extension of the manager who loves a home run hitter batting leadoff: to get a quick lead (plus, they get more at bats than the bottom in the game). I prefer longball guys get more opportunities to go yard with men who are frequently on base. I know, I'm Old Fool, stuck on a line-up strategy that's been around for over a hundred years.
  10. The front office knows all about Boras' methods. They're smart enough to have already been prepared to move on from Bogey since Spring Feigning (their lowball offer). Xander giving another hometown discount and/or telling Boras to get it done before Christmas may actually be Bloom's Plan C or D.
  11. Wha -- you're disagreeing with the analytics?!?! These guys have spreadsheets that will prove to you that it's better to have a leadoff man homer with nobody on base (all game, since the bottom of the order features the worst batters), rather than with a top contact hitter often on base in front of him.
  12. Wait until the last minute? What self-respecting Chief Baseball Officer would accept that strategy? Don't tell me you think there's a GM type guy who may actually use the stalling of his main target's decision as an excuse for not making any other big moves all winter? By the time Bogey finally signs, all the best available starting pitchers, relievers and power hitters may already have new homes... oh.
  13. Some trade candidates whose availability BTV classifies as "medium" in order of "value" (cost for us): Bryan Reynolds -- the most costly, good bat, negative dWAR; Taylor Ward -- classic sell-high guy, coming off career O year for perennial also-ran, another negative dWAR; Tyler O'Neil -- coming off a crappy year after 34 dingers and a .900+ in '21, bats RIGHT, plays LF, valued below Nootbar (St. Louis is going to trade some outfielder); Adolis Garcia -- all-or-nothing Ranger, "high" availability; Jack Suwinski -- another Pirate, all-or-nothing but age 23 and his 19 HRs were more than any Sox except Devers, BL; Mike Yaz -- 31 years old already... or maybe we'd be better off instead with Trent Grisham, who is 25, but also all-or-nothing... though he does have 20 longballs, including 3 in the playoffs so far... Teoscar Hernandez is also on the list with a low value for some reason -- Sox would take a recent two-time Silver Slugger in a second. A lot of big whiffers on this list, but none we'd have to give up top prospects for, except Reynolds.
  14. The Yankee fans I know hate Gallo with a passion and would love to see the Red Sox sign him. I'm guessing those emotions aren't because of his Gold Glove defense.
  15. Ceddane's 2022 season: 63 XBH, .342 OBP. Before anyone goes all Duran on those stats, note that Rafaela is only 21 years old. Excelling at that age in A and AA gives much hope for continued improvements.
  16. No way. Unless you mean maybe 140Ks (the all-time record for most strikeouts in a season is 223)... This past season, 46 players had OBP of at least .340, with about a dozen over 140Ks. Here's one that had a .341 OBP, 60 XBH and 145 Ks... and he drove a lot of Red Sox fans crazy, with what looked like a mediocre year at the plate -- JD Martinez. We know it was just mediocre for him, but do we want him back?
  17. I care about Ks -- I can't stand them as a fan, and as a student of the game. And as far as OBP, a walk is just not as good as a hit. A walk can't advance another baserunner more than one bag, but a single can move a guy two bases or even score him from first (if he's fast and running on the pitch). All or nothing offenses are also boring, and bad bets to go deep in October against quality pitching. This final ALDS is quite the contrast on both extremes, with Cleveland contact vs. an opponent which can't muster a hit unless it goes over the fence.
  18. What were they thinking, letting him face the top of the order a third time! If you overlay a bar graph on Snell's smile, all his teeth trend toward taking a bite out of a Philly cheesesteak.
  19. How could you possibly hold any future Red Sox discussion by ignoring Enmanuel Valdez, the Mexican Home Run Derby champion? Valdez just set the all-time points record for HRs in Mexico City, leading the Sox to victory over the Yankees, Dodgers and Cubs. Of course, where would Boston be without Jocelyn Alo -- she of the 400-plus tape measure blasts?!?! Red Sox win Home Run Derby X grand final in Mexico City WWW.MLB.COM MEXICO CITY -- They traveled the world, crisscrossing the globe to spread a brand new game of baseball to fans new and old. There was music, there was food, and there were so many home runs. On Saturday at Mexico City's legendary Campo Marte, the Red Sox, Dodgers, Cubs, and
  20. The writer isn't saying LA's regular seasons are failures, but is questioning following rigid blueprints in the postseason, when situations continually change and often require modifications. Sometimes, those involve not making changes. Every time a new reliever enters the game there is a chance the new guy won't have it that night. That's what makes the Astros-Ms 18-inning game so amazing: 17 pitchers, and none of them choked -- only four BBs in the entire "doubleheader," including two by starter McCullers... one walk by Seattle pitchers in 18 innings.
  21. https://www.yahoo.com/news/hern-ndez-blame-andrew-friedmans-064220812.html Interesting take from the LA Times. Choice quotes: "What the Dodgers are doing with their pitching isn’t working. Any review of the Dodgers’ failure starts with the organization’s overarching philosophy implemented by Friedman that devalues starting pitching and calls for the use of an assembly line of relievers. This is an industry-wide trend, and it works — to a degree. The Dodgers have taken this concept to an extreme, as their management apparatus has demonstrated an inclination to stick with their pregame script rather than allow a starter who is performing well to pitch an extra inning or two. They can’t continue scripting pitching matchups for entire games. They can’t remove a starter when he's pitching well just because they decided to do so beforehand." From this perspective on the postseason, those that hope Bloom can be a future Friedman might rethink the hope...
  22. Sox can use an outfielder like the 20-20 Beni at the beginning of his career... but the '22 version only had a slugging percentage of .399, which is just below Steven Kwan's .400 and Verdugo's .405. Part of the problem in Boston is that they need more outfield production than the average Verdugo type.
  23. For the discussion about outfielders potentially available to join new clubs, the following data includes players in a minimum of 100 big league games who played outfield in 2022.: Judge, Alvarez, Soto, Donovan, McNeil, Benintendi, Kwan, Trout, Moore, Canha/Nimmo (tied for 10th at .367).
  24. I'm all out on Gallo: 1,465 combined strikeouts and walks in 2,811 career plate appearances means in over half his times up he hasn't even touched the ball. That's not going to help the AL's most losingest team in extra innings -- you know, the one absolutely petrified with disturbing the ghost runner on second.
  25. St. Louis has too many young hitters; perhaps they can be persuaded to shed some for young pitching... Houck, Gonzalez and Duran for Lars Nootbar, good RF with some pop and a .340 OBP. However, Bloom may prefer the more versatile Brendan Donovan, who plays infield and outfield; his .394 OBP was fourth in the big leagues, behind Judge, Yordan and Soto. But if the Cards insist on Donovan instead of Nootbar, the Sox must demand they throw in Juan ("Gone") Yepez...
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