5GoldGlovesOF,75
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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75
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You're just saying that because Soto's career On-Base Percentage is ahead of every single batter in history since Ted Williams, except one (Bonds)... and just ahead of Mantle. -
The numbers don't matter, as long as Soto bats directly in front of the next-best longball hitter, who will benefit immensely facing exhausted pitchers after Juan's trademark marathon and terrifying (to them) at bats. See Judge, circa 2024.
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IF... gotta believe Soto-Devers hit 2-3 in the batting order for the next decade.
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That's why they have to overpay for Fried, which is going to kill John Henry -- but it may make a really interesting winter, as Brez will then have to rely on some major trades after that. Unfortunately, that will preclude also signing Jack Flaherty and reuniting the old Harvard Westlake rotation... and that means no Jon Lovitz reprising his role from League of Their Own (he also went to their high school).
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What is more likely is that Soto signs with a NY team and Boston immediately overpays for Fried. That would be a horrible move if -- and I'm sure Brez and Co. know this -- the Sox don't improve the infield defense. So the corresponding dominoes will be signing a third baseman, and trading Casas for pitching. If they also lose out on Fried, expect another overpay for Burnes, a reliever, and Teoscar... and Devers stays at third for another year. In either scenario, eating Yoshida's contract and trading Abreu for more pitching (and to make room for Anthony) are also likely. I don't expect Brez to also sign a #2, as they will also be overpays, if Kikuchi's contract is any portent. They will try to add another starter in a trade. Any leftover budget will be spent on more relievers and a back-up catcher.
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They can want whatever they want. What they'll ultimately get might be a little south for a guy with only two years of control who has only ever had one half season of stardom.
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How many times has a Minor League Player of the Year not moved up to the big leagues the next season? What more does he have to prove -- that he can be a repeat winner at AAA? Or that he's not already better than at least the 26th player on 30 MLB rosters?
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Mookie's going to carry a bowling pin in his back pocket the next time he plays in Yankee Stadium.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Crawford - Fenway, still = 21 home runs on the road (more than Houck or Bello anywhere) -
Probably because all other team sports regularly feature humans slamming into other humans as hard as they can -- as part of the game. Baseball, on the other hand (femur, acl, thorax, etc), has actually made recent rules to avoid such collisions. But you're right about baseball being hard on the body. Pitching or just throwing a ball overhand is a motion unnatural to the anatomy. And so for baseball players -- especially the bigger, stronger, faster modern types -- the threat of significant injury exists merely from participating.
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Snell was also assured by LA if he's throwing a World Series shutout into the 6th inning that they'd leave him in... ... for one more batter.
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Or the Dodgers...
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It's true, even for elite athletes. For every Rickey Henderson still stealing 30 bases in his 40s (there was one Rickey), there are probably hundreds or even thousands of fast guys who went from zipping in their 20s to slipping in their 30s to tripping in their 40s (it's the being part of human). I wasn't elite but semi-fleet, and still swiped some bags in adult leagues. But everyone I played with or against agreed that every time we hit the ground -- whether it was sliding or diving on defense... or just falling down -- it would take two or three days for our aging bodies to recover. And we only played a couple games a week.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Unless the Red Sox are going to make the big rumored change on infield D, they'd better get the high K guys: Snell, Crochet, Gilbert, Sonny Gray (all SO/9 at 9.0 or better last year). Snell has the inconsistent rep, but has also overtaken Sale as the all-time leader in baseball history in S0/9: 11.4 to 11.1. Somehow, Pivetta is 13th all-time at 9.9589... but there's hope: Giolito is currently 19th at 9.5623 -- just ahead of Nolan Ryan. Seriously. -
Probably not, to old fans like most of us -- who may not have enough gray matter to know the difference or even care by then. But if in the next decade, Soto continues to do what he does -- lead teams to the World Series -- it would be worth it (for whatever lucidity we have left). Ok, I'm going to go have some tea, now... or a pint.
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Marcus Betts 35 bWAR age 21-25 Faaaack...
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Since I have yet no reason not to still be a cynical Cyox fan, have to believe if they're signing an infielder, it will be Adames instead of Bregman. Alex is a Boras guy, who somebody will have to overpay, and thus Adames makes more sense for this Boston baseball front office this decade... especially since they insist they're investing on pitching this offseason.
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First thought: at least it keeps him out of the AL East. Second thought: might have to overpay for Teoscar, if he becomes a consolation prize for the other Soto losers.
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For an unfortunate few it is... but not repeatable.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Only if he keeps it in his back pocket. But these guys are so loaded, a lot just keep a money clip or roll in their front pocket, right below where their arms hang naturally. -
I'm optimistic that by the end of the offseason, we'll still be realistic.
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Maybe the credit should go to the Giants' other Bailey, catcher Patrick? Last month in SF, 2023: "After regaining a regular spot in the Giants’ rotation on Sept. 12, Manaea allowed only six earned runs over 24 innings (2.25 ERA) in his final four starts" Sounds a little like Sale's situation: looked pretty good in his last few starts, gets recruited in '24 by a new team, who he nearly pitches into the World Series (... except, Sale got hurt right before the playoffs). Over the Monster: "he’s a strike-thrower and worked with Andrew Bailey in San Francisco. Bailey has emphasized limiting walks and competing in the strike zone. While Manaea isn’t going to dominate hitters over the middle of the plate, he’s not going to hand out a ton of free passes either." I
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If the Red Sox miss on Soto, they can pivot two ways to still have an offseason that can make them contenders, according to Russell Dorsey on MLB Network: sign Teoscar and a pitcher, and trade for another pitcher. 1. sign Fried to top the rotation, trade for Gavin Williams to close... or 2. trade for Crochet, sign Tanner Scott. None of those moves involves improving the defense, so I'd have to choose Option 2 and recruit the strikeout pitchers. Fried is more of a pitch-to-contact guy -- which is scary in Boston.
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I like Manaea as a mid-rotation signing and as a southpaw that might cost around the same amount as a Pivetta replacement. Soto -- wherever he winds up -- can hit anyone, but Baltimore has a lot of young lefty swingers who will be threats in the division for a long time. Manaea seemed like a natural recruit for Boston, since he thrived under Andrew Bailey in San Fran a few years ago. But if he improved last year because of actual changes made after the pair split, maybe not?
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I've speculated from the time Casas went on the IL with a core injury from swinging the bat -- the specific act that makes him so valuable -- if his career is at risk. Have to think pros in front offices wonder the same... ... I'm also surprised that zero reporters anywhere have attempted to delve into this story, and interviewed sports medicine people unaffiliated with the club, as well as any veteran ballplayers, even at non-pro levels, who have dealt with a similar ish.
