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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    People who put up drastically better numbers vs. their minor league numbers is almost non existent. There are a few, but it is rare. I wouldn't be surprised if Shaw is a guy who can do marginally better (and those are good numbers) but he wasn't ever good against LHP in the minors too. So why would we think he's going to start being good now vs. LHP when he didn't hit it well in the minors nor is he hitting LHP now?
  2. Hugh2
    Ok so a larger body of work is meaningless to you if it's not at the MLB level, but when the stats fit your narrative a sss is fine but when it doesn't it's "just a small sample size" You literally just said you don't care what a SSS says, except when it says Shaw is doing something he didn't do for 5 years prior....and one of those things is NOT hitting LHP. I wouldn't bet the Sox platoon Shaw because I think his numbers will improve vs. LHP but I think they should. And I will be in here posting what the numbers say when that day comes as well.
  3. Hugh2
    Really? except for his poor numbers vs. LHP pretty much his entire professional career except for 1 month last year? I like Shaw, but he does not look good vs. LHP.
  4. Hugh2
    I fixed it for you.
  5. Hugh2
    You want more data??? In 2015 in the minors he was .230/.263/.347 vs. LHP in 2014 in the minors he was .228/.292/.347 vs LHP
  6. Hugh2
    Young is a .263/.363/.475 lifetime hitter vs. LHP and in 2016 he is .250/.400/500 hitter vs. LHP. He might stink....but not vs. LHP.
  7. Hugh2
    No Holt is .273/.429/.273 this year vs. LHP while Shaw is .080/.115/.120 vs. LHP I suspect Shaw won't be that horrible vs. LHP but he's not beyond a platoon given his performance vs. LHP.
  8. Hugh2
    and as you may remember, some of us wanted to exercise patients and thought his bat could still develop after being rushed several years ago.
  9. Hugh2
    Shaw must of heard me talking trash about his ability to hit lefties.
  10. Hugh2
    OMG I can't believe I forgot about Young. Young has actually hit LHP this year and had some good games lately. I wouldn't exactly put him in a platoon role immediately, but if Shaws splits continue I'd start Holt at 3B vs. FTR, I really like cheap cost controlled assets too. I happen to think they are part of a championship caliber team.
  11. Hugh2
    SLG is more of a component of OBP than OBP is a function of SLG. Every possible way you can slug a double, single, triple or HR contributes to your OBP but not every way you get on base contributes to your SLG. Maybe a "big chunk" is a bit of an exaggeration but that statement itself would be open to interpretation...no?
  12. Hugh2
    Owens might have better stuff and more potential, but you can't have a guy in the big leagues walking a guy an inning. He will get crushed and O'Sullivan has pitched in the big leagues before. He's an up/down depth guy for this precise reason and will not be here long. If something happens to where we need SOS for a prolonged period of time I'd bet we make a move for a starter.
  13. Hugh2
    I understand that, but to further the clarification saying a guy is about average....isn't exactly the greatest argument in his favor. This isn't a knock against Holt, nor is it a cry to replace him in LF, I'm merely stating that it should be an option. This is a thread about roster moves and trade speculation no??? what does this team need? an improvement against LHP. We are currently 26th in BA against LHP, 24th in OBP and 25th in SLG% I was merely suggesting an upgrade in LF against LHP. Shaw can't hit LHP....now I'm not saying to take him out of the lineup now against LHP but if he still has horrible splits come July I'd consider plugging Holt at 3B vs. LHP. In that scenario I'm looking for a bat to put in left. I'm not necessarily even talking about Holt not being a starter. But depending on what's out there or if Castillo takes a step forward I would consider it. In that situation we would be better....what's wrong with making the team better???
  14. Hugh2
    He doesn't have to close the gap by hitting like a HOFer, if he improves his defense then it takes less of an offensive upgrade for him to close that gap. This is a kid rushed to the majors who was only last year a top 20 prospect in all of baseball. I'm not against the move, and am definitely pro Vasquez to Swihart right now....but Swihart has the potential. The team might of made the right decision to send him down...but moving him off the position is premature and a bit perplexing to me.
  15. Hugh2
    Holts career high OPS is .727, he falls off every year and until he doesn't I'm not going to think he will not. Anything short is just speculation. What we do know for a fact is that he can play average to better than average defense at almost any position and that is a void left unfilled by having him in LF. A .725 OPSer isn't exactly screaming "I need to stay here" in LF. This team could do better in LF, and Holt would go a long way to spell Shaw at 3B vs. tough Lefties. Again, I don't buy that a second half drop isn't coming. It would be nice but I just don't see him staying hot in the dog days of summer till October baseball. I'm fine riding the hot hand as well, but if we are still in this thing come trading deadline that should be priority....unless Price never puts it together and other injuries open up a huge hole elsewhere because LF isn't a big hole.
  16. Hugh2
    Everybody always thinks about the big move, sometimes it's the little ones that help win championships. We don't need a big time pitcher if....WHEN Price picks it up. If Buccholz/Kelly/Owens/ERod never step it up this year we may need a good back of the rotation starter. Also, I'd like to see a 3B depth option that can hit LHP, because Shaw looks lost out there vs. lefties. Holt has always had good reverse splits so he could see some time there if someone steps up in LF like Castillo but in the absence of that another outfielder should be in the cards as well.
  17. Hugh2
    up/down guy. Looking at his career it looks like he's had some good stints in the MLB and other times he's been horrible. Hopefully he can at least keep us in the game and not tax the bullpen.
  18. Hugh2
    Sullivan is a place holder for E-rod/Kelly. I want to put Johnson B. in there but I have no ideal where he is on his rehab....time to do some digging.
  19. Hugh2
    Erod hasn't exactly had the greatest results in AAA so far but to be fair this is effectively his ST. After a very rough first inning in his last rehab start he did retire 13 of the last 14 batters he faced. Inherently I think they would like to give him more time........but I'm not sure who else they have to match up with Owens spot next week. It will be interesting to see what they do.
  20. Hugh2
    I agree, draft is all about process and judging one is stupid. The same process that brought the team Trey Ball brought us Andrew Benintendi (although ultimately the book is still open on both of them) I'd say you're right about trades as well, and that must partially be due to the fact that you're often trading for a known commodity such as Giancarlo Stanton, there is a book on him. There's not much of a book on a draft prospect, we can read baseball america but odds are teams know more about the guys they are looking at than they do. However there is a lot more information out there for me, you and the media to look at the guys a MLB player gets traded for.
  21. Hugh2
    I agree, but you need a large sample for hindsight, and I think you need to judge a process and not individual decisions. For example, if a team has drafted on average more MLB talent than any other team in baseball over the course of a certain period of time it is kind of nonsensical to complain about one draft pick or even one bad draft. But you are absolutely correct that both teams need to feel like they've won the deal, and for that to happen it also has to hurt on both sides as well. You're not getting quality back without giving up quality.
  22. Hugh2
    Well I'm happy this board has this level of insanity, I guess I just assumed the mix between ideals, rational, and rationality would be the same over here. I'm still learning, although I believe even over there most people were willing to give him more time.
  23. Hugh2
    Exactly, trades should always be evaluated at the time they were made. Everyone can tell you now that it was a good ideal to buy Apple stock 10 years ago but not everyone would have 10 years ago!!! I think there is real value to an evaluation process, and investing in a good scouting department, but at the end of the day.....no one has a crystal ball and you can't scout everyone.
  24. Hugh2
    Well then, this place should be better for my sanity.
  25. Hugh2
    If you evaluate trades in a vacuum you can build any narrative you want if you pick the right trade. Trades almost always end up being lopsided because sometimes none of the prospects develop into good players and sometimes they all do. If you look at the aggregate of major deals, it appears the team acquiring young talent seem to make out better in the long run. That doesn't mean you should ever trade prospects for talent thought because you're also trading future value for present value and a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow.
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